Two things stood out during the debate. The first is that Sanders is incapable of admitting a mistake. When asked if he would cast a different vote if he could have a do-over on the 1994 crime bill, Bernie did his usual defense of his vote, followed by stating that he wished he had a better bill. Bernie cannot openly admit that he was wrong.
The fact that Sanders will likely lose the nomination, however, isn’t simply about race; the Democratic electorate is more liberal, but it’s still not all that liberal in an absolute sense. Moderate and conservative Democrats still form a larger base in most states than very liberal voters. A little less than 40 percent of Democratic primary voters so far this year have identified as moderate or conservative. That’s 14 percentage points bigger than the very liberal bloc, and 4 points higher than the somewhat liberal group.