Maiello's Book-Almost Hits the Metaphorical Stands
Miami Fans Mistakenly Chant "Let's Go Eat" During Playoff Game
As a New Yorker, I've always been willing to vote third party in general elections. Heck, when my wife and I moved this year and needed to re-register, we both switched form Democrat to Independent. We'd only joined the Dems to vote for Hillary when she ran in the Senate primary. Overall, we both have the same problems with mainstream Democrats that many of you do.
Before I lived here, I lived in New Mexico. That's a purple state that's blue leaning. But I had reason to vote Green as often as possible because, during the 90s, the Greens were earning major party status there. It didn't work out, but the votes were worth whatever they might have cost anyone. [Read more]
Time is running out on Mitt Romney's campaign for President, which seems to have roared back into a competitive posture, but not the lead its cheerleaders in the media would wish. Here's what the polls showed in another day that provided some good news for Obama, and no more good news for Romney. [Read more]
I had a bout with bronchial pneumonia this week, which left me breathless enough to now be able to cross "ambulance ride" off of my bucket list. I spent two days in the hospital and, while I feel almost human again, a strange thing has happened. When I sit down to write, I'm finding that the last thing I want to write about is the current political situation.
October 26 was a good day for President Obama's re-election prospects, though not for the portrayal of his campaign in conservative media. The volume of positive state polls for the President provide very good news for him as the campaign heads to its last full week, though as we discussed yesterday, it can be challenging to reconcile them with national polling that tends to show an even race or a tiny Romney lead. Meanwhile, the Romney campaign and its allies in media are very assertively advancing the argument that Romney is surging. This blog explains the implausibility of that claim, and how President Obama is closing in on re-election, with ten days of campaigning ahead. [Read more]
Today was a strange day of polling, like many others in 2012 -- it showed that Mitt Romney apparently leads in national polling, but is unlikely to win the Presidency. All campaign long, the national and state polls have been subtly but clearly irreconcilable. Today was more of the same, as the Obama momentum from the President's debate win Monday seemed to continue in state polls, but not in national polls. The path to the White House is clarifying further, and it runs through Nevada, Ohio, and Wisconsin. Here's what today's data set showed. [Read more]
Republicans can't seem to keep from diving into the nexus between rape and abortion during this "jobs, jobs, jobs" election. Aside from the obvious - that this is probably a bad political play for a party that has a big gap with women voters nationally - it's been quite common during this cycle. The latest such comment from a running GOPer comes from Richard Mourdock, the Tea Partier who primaried Indiana's Dick Lugar. Mourdock recently made comments that have people comparing him with Missouri's Todd Akin. [Read more]
There's just no nice way to say this. Greece's creditors are murdering Greece's citizens. When Greece went to the Troika (the European Central Bank, the International Monetary Fund and the European Commission) for a loan to keep itself solvent in 2011, the country had to agree to stop covering hospital treatments for unemployed, uninsured citizens. These people, sick and with no hope of finding work, are now required by the terms of the loan agreements to pay for medical treatment up front, in cash.
A few have been saved by underground charitable organizations. [Read more]
Today was undoubtedly a good day for President Obama. Both national and state polls suggested that he gained as a result of his debate win on Monday, state polls showed that Mitt Romney's electoral path is narrowing, and the national political story of the day impliedly aids President Obama. Here's an analysis of the day's data. [Read more]
Someone keep Mitt Romney out of Boca Raton. Last time he was in town, it was all 47% and I'd be President if I were Mexican. Tonight? Oy. You know how you can tell Barack Obama peeled the bark off of his debating opponent this evening? Click on RealClearPolitics.com. It's burying the snap polls about the debate. (What debate? There was a debate?) Or look around the Internet -- Kudlow tweeted that Romney was on Valium, and Hannity is angry that Libya was not a topic this evening. This was Denver in reverse -- Romney assuming the role of the front-runner who didn't want to disagree, and who accepted harsh criticisms without rebutting them. Just as Romney won the CBS poll of undecided voters by 24 in Denver, President Obama won that poll tonight by 30. It is hard to see after tonight how President Obama does not win re-election. [Read more]
So tonight Mitt Romney is going to try to outflank President Obama on foreign policy. Romney doesn't know much about foreign policy, but both Romney and Obama represent long-standing traditions of American thought on international security. The President represents the practical tradition designed to guide policy by the party in office, whichever party that is. Romney speaks for the strand that is designed only for opposition figures. Romney's tradition was developed not to protect America from foreign enemies but to attack domestic political opponents, and it has no other genuine value.
A quick bit of history on where these two strands of thoughts come from:
For two years, the prehistory of this race was one of Bush-Kerry -- an incumbent during war with a middling economy, a firm base, a modest deficit with independents, a middling flip-flopping opponent with big hair from Massachusetts, and just enough popular desire to stay the course to win a narrow re-election. The race now looks a bit more like Bush-Gore: it is rational to think that the Democrat might win the Electoral College and lose the popular vote, the Republican electoral path is narrower, but the Republican candidate has surprising momentum through the debate cycle and heading toward the wire. I still see President Obama's re-election as likely, but I am downgrading the probability of his winning from 80% to roughly 65%, as a result of the week's event [Read more]
I really think that we should forbid the government from passing temporary laws, especially tax cuts with sunset provisions. By enacting tax cuts that would eventually expire, George W. Bush was able to win the long-term "budget scoring" game, while also setting a trap for whoever occupied the White House after him. [Read more]
The second of three debates between Romney and President Obama is in the books. The instant post-debate polls all had Obama winning. Nevertheless, Rasmussen and Gallup have now published their first tracking polls which include data compiled after the thrill(a) at Hofstra(uh) and they ain't pretty. Gallup shows Romney up among likely voters 52-45 (7 points!) and Rasmussen has Romney up 49-47. The Thursday data moved both polls 1 point towards Romney.  [Read more]
Mitt Romney keeps swinging and missing on the Libya issue, but it doesn't seem like anyone in the media is telling the Republican nominee to move on. The attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi is still being treated by the mainstream as some sort of Obama administration failure.
Yet, the complaints seem very picayune in the context of Libya's recent history.
Romney's first complaint, issued nearly as the attack was underway, was that the Obama administration had signaled weakness by "apologizing" for an anti-Muslim Youtube video.
Romney got burned on that one, but he didn't let go of it. Obama apologizes and Americans die is his line. [Read more]
Gentlemen, your objectives are clear.
Obama: Get those nuts on the table or the pedestal or whatever it is you're using. Wait, it's Town Hall style. Just thrust out your pelvis then. You're big! You're bad! You're mad as hell and you're not going to take it any more! (It's OK, it's just pretend.)
Romney: No apologies! Keep on rolling out those double-speak plans and fake studies. Americans suck at math! They do not care if man means what he says so long as he says what he means. You know that I mean.
Crowley: You are the master of your domain. I want to see some alpha males asses get kicking!
Uncommitted voters: Try not to look dumb, you're on national television. (Seriously, you're still uncommitted?) [Read more]
I think that most of us Americans who work for others worry about keeping our jobs. Today, the board of directors of Citigroup has reached an agreement for Vikram Pandit to leave the board and step down as chief executive. Pandit was the successor CEO to Charles Prince, who followed the legendary Sanford Weill.
WARNING: Cheers for Obama here, at least until Tuesday, November 6. Don't come looking for relief from Obama luv. You won't find it on these pages. I'm getting ready to panic and, if past history is any indication, it's not going to be pretty.
Romney/Ryan have a chance to win this thing. That revelation is so shocking we should be calling for a congressional investigation into how right wing billionaires and clueless teapartiers were able to pull that off. (Right. . .that'll happen) [Read more]
With twenty-four days to go until the final votes are cast, it is clear that the Obama-Romney contest has narrowed drastically. The number of states that are “in play” remains small, and the number of states that could realistically decide this election is smaller still. Taking a close look at data from the last week and reading it against what we know from 2010 gives us a window into how narrow this contest is, where it will be decided, and likely how. As I will explain, I am more bullish on President Obama’s likelihood of winning re-election than others caught up in the national trackers, Nate Silver’s plummeting assessments of the President’s prospects, or the gloomy post-debate narratives (Andrew Sullivan being the undisputed champion of that particular raindance). So here – with close attention to polls and what they do and do not show – is why I see President Obama’s chance of winning re-election at roughly 80% today. [Read more]
I wanted to believe Lance Armstrong, even after he wrote, "Enough is enough."
I thought it was strange that he declined to contest the allegations of the U.S. Anti-Doping Agency, but I couldn't help empathizing with this man, so confident and earnest, a sports legend and a survivor. [Read more]
At the easternmost edge of Michigan's Upper Peninsula, where I live, the land is low. In the deep south it would be called the low country. Here it's called the cedar swamp. Where there isn't swamp there is rock, where thin sheaths of earth allow only the shallow-rooted trees to thrive--the quaking aspen, white birch and the Michigan cottonwood known as Balm-of-Gilead. The weed trees.
The Supreme Court may forbid any use of race in college admissions in the case of Fisher v. University of Texas, being heard today, because the conservative wing really wants to overturn previous rulings and because Justice Kagan has recused herself. If that happens, the winning plaintiff will be a classic poster child for anti-affirmative-action litigation: a white kid who got 1180 on her SATs.
I used to be proud to invite people to contribute to dagblog. Whenever I met a writer, I would encourage them to share their work here. We're not the biggest blog in the sphere, but I would boast about the intelligence and civility of our discussions.
We still have plenty of those these days. I think that the interpersonal rancor has even declined. But the hostility and disrespect towards outsiders has grown. I do not feel comfortable inviting writers to contribute here anymore. [Read more]