The Bishop and the Butterfly: Murder, Politics, and the End of the Jazz Age

    David Brooks, the insouciant conservative.

    The insouciant conservative is back to work after Christmas, sharing his typical rationalizations of the core beliefs of conservatives and the failings of, for example, Obama. 

    Framing his criticism of Obama's Teddy Roosevelt pitch within his own vast perspective of three centuries of social norms and economics, Brooks debunks Obama's attempt to compare the Progressive movement in the early 1900's with our current state of affairs. In criticizing the Obama team for making inept comparisons, he does worse himself.

    While I liked Obama's speech I found an element of truth in Brooks' comments, and his conclusion: "The Progressive era is not a model; it is a foil. It provides a contrast and shows us what we really need to do." I agree. It provides a contrast. But the contrast is irrelevant in Brooks' case because the solutions which he offers are no different than they would otherwise be---other than the inclusion of misappropriated references to the early Progressives. (Oxy, that sounds kinda like insouciance from the Left)

    Coming out of the gate, Brooks refers to the Depression era, contrasting it to today in terms of folks' views on "big government"---i.e., a recent Gallup poll showing 64% of Americans fear Big Government. Much different---says the pundit---than in the 1930's when people " genuinely looked to big government to ease their fears and restore their confidence". The 64% poll number was seized upon by a number of conservative pundits a few weeks ago when it was published and apparently having giving it considerable thought, Brooks has morphed it to a response to Obama's "activism"---no mention of the fact that in a 2000 poll, the comparable number was 65%. 

    The 64% number might also be misleading from the aspect that it was a forced choice question, listing Big Business as the alternate choice. But concurrent polls asking folks about both Government and Big Business in differently framed polls show that there is not only a necessary role for government to improve paths to income equality, but that about 80% of the people think that big corporations have too much power. But the nature of the polls is not the most embarrassing flaw in Brooks' comparison of big government views. Research by Gallup itself destroys Brooks assumption that things were different then.

    In a 1935 poll Gallup asked the question, "Do you think expenditures for relief and recovery are too little, too great, or just about right?" 9% said too little, 31% said about right, and 60% said too great. Three months later they asked, "Are you in favor of government old age pensions for the needy? 11% No, 89% Yes. Gallup's conclusion about these early polls: "Americans wanted to have their cake and eat it to. And why not? It's a pattern that continues to the present day." People today fear big government except when they don't. The 64% number in a current poll by itself doesn't prove anything, leastwise a reaction to Obama's activism  

    With a lazy article launch like the above, the rest of Brooks' article is pretty much sabotaged by his other inept analogies. 

    The economy is not an adolescent as it was in early 1900, so call it a mid-life crisis, the task is to rejuvenate it. Thank you very much, but total GDP is just great, couldn't be better. But it's an adolescent---in fact a juvenile delinquent, judging from the escapades of the financial industry. GDP is fine but workers are getting screwed.

    The information economy widens inequality for deep and varied reasons that were unknown a century ago. (He gets paid for a sophomoric generalization like that?) Thanks, David, didn't know that but let us know what you come up with. In the meantime, consider that information, being money, accrues quite well to the financial industry where $20 Trillion a year is speculated. On the other hand, the financial industry, which in quaint definitions of the past was seen as an instrument to direct capital to companies---manages to issue only about $200 B a year. Yes, the information economy is indeed complex.

    One of Brooks' best: "The government spends so much on poverty that if we just took that money and handed poor people checks, we would virtually eliminate poverty overnight."  Now the insouciance of that statement is hard to top, but I'll give it a try.

    "If we had just dropped $100 bills all over Iraq for ten years we probably could have achieved regime change for about $100 billion instead of $800 billion."

    Obama's team may be inept, the early Progressive period is different from today---all that might be true. But as far as a mid-life crisis is concerned, it seems that the analogy should be reserved for the writings of David Brooks.

     

    Comments

    I actually agree with the statement that our anti-poverty programs would be more effective if we just gave cash to poor people, without many conditions. Money is an effective cure for poverty.

    Thanks, Destor. It's tempting, I agree. But more efficient distribution to where it's needed is different from Brooks' statement that so doing would "eliminate poverty overnight", which confuses short term lack of funds with long term societal deficits. His paragraph began as a reference to education and imo the statement about anti-poverty programs is a back handed way of working around to applying the same concept to the Dept. of Education---and from there to no role for government to address the roots of poverty through long term strategies via education---including falling down buildings, no Summer programs (which is where rich kids really accelerate past poor ones), poor nutrition, and a host of other factors related to the poor.   


    A good example of why one just doesn't hand the money over is in public transportation.  Studies have show that for many public transit systems it would cheaper to just send transportation to ridership's homes, pick them up and drive them to the exact location that wanted to go.  But if you offered such a service, then demand would skyrocket and it would longer be a less expensive approach. 

    The issues of poor nutrition and diet alone are a complex issue.  In many poor areas there are not any supermarkets providing fresh vegetables, etc. close by (and then we are back to transportation) - so people end up shopping at little markets that provide chips and cookies and frozen dinners.  Fast food restaurants are the other outlet. 

    And so on and so on.  You are so right there are a host of factors, some of them "cultural," which just giving people some money will not address.  Brooks is doing what I believe is a major disservice by presenting the challenges we face with issues like education and poverty as simple problems.  It is exactly what I was touching on in my last blog.  As long as there are folks like Brooks pushing the simplification of what are problems in an intertwined mass of complex (adaptive) systems, we are not going to make any progress on this front.


    Good points, both of you.  But I'd argue that the Earned Income Tax Credit, which really amounts to writing a check to working poor people, is one of the most effective anti-poverty programs we have.  It helps solve the immediate problem (these people don't have enough money) without discouraging work.


    The EITC does require them to work, however. I'm of two minds on the EITC. On one hand, it seems reasonably effective. On the other, it underwrites corporations' willingness to pay less than a living wage. Of course, raising minimum wage (the most reasonable alternative, I believe) could result in lower employment, so maybe EITC is the best solution we have while not being a great solution.


    The wrinkle with EITC to keep in mind is that is provides a higher payout the more one earns, until an individual reaches a particular point.  In this way it does offer the individual an incentive to increase their income. 

    Moreover, it is primarily a credit that is effective for those households with children. Individual household without children I believe cannot claim after they make something like 12K. 

    Ultimately, EITC is a supplement to an income for a family.  At best they might receive back 3K (which is a nice chunk), but the average credit for individuals is about 1.2K.  Hardly enough to shift someone out of their current economic position for the most part.


    Thanks for the details. I readily cop to being mostly ignorant about EITC other than the general theory.


    No problem.  For the past couple of years I've been working with free tax preparation initiatives that push the EITC.  There is a whole system (with HR Block in the lead) set up to get people in poverty to go through them for a quick refund, at a nice cost, and then a up front loan.  They provide a debit card, which then swipes off up to 10% on each transaction.  It is all part of the large check cashing/payday loan system that takes money from those who can least afford it.


    What's your take on "encouraging" people to have children? I think we have similar beliefs about the overpopulation problem, but at the same time, once children are born, I don't want their needs to go unmet. It provides a real logical conundrum to me.


    It is conundrum for me as well.  I guess the whole embracing of the "family"  perspective is so deeply woven into the culture(s) in America that it is just one of those challenges to be put aside for the time being (in part because America itself isn't a major factor in population explosion). 

    EITC does stop with I believe three children.  So you receive the same credit if you have three children or seven.


    A woman I know used a fast refund service. After it was completed and she left the office the service revised the return and over-deducted, somehow pocketing the difference. Eventually she was audited and it took a lawyer and several years to straighten out the mess. Glad you are working to prevent this particular form of fraud. 


    There are coalitions in a number of communities across the country working to provide free tax services to the low and moderate income households.  AARP is one the biggest players, providing it to everyone, not just seniors.  These coalitions are always looking for volunteers to help out, and not just to assist in preparing taxes - although they could use help there, too.  Potential tax preparer volunteers do need to go through a little training, but you don't need a CPA background.  So if one is looking for a way to volunteer that makes a difference, this is one option.


    Brooks and Will both claim a Buckley heritage.

    The funny thing about Brooks is that he does not get mad like Will and he does not make me mad like Will does.

    Will masks (ineffectually in my opinion) a real hatred toward the peasants. George always retreats to his bag of tricks (the gd Federalist Papers) in order to find scholarly reasons to slap down the poor and honor the moneyed oligarchy.

    Will is a prick of the first order.

    Brooks, on the other hand, appears to really believe what he writes. And his opinions are all over the place.

    Therefore, Will really is a corporate front.

    Brooks is also a corporate front, he just does not really know he is. hahahahah


    Agree that Will is off putting; but on the other hand he doesn't make rookie mistakes on facts.

    Brooks is not objectionable in persona but cherry picking a single poll result and then making a blanket comparison to the 1930's when 5 minutes of research brings up the 1935 Gallup poll is inexcusable, imo. Or heedless, or carefree attitude, kinda lazy---that kind of definition.