The Bishop and the Butterfly: Murder, Politics, and the End of the Jazz Age

    Mining the 538 data

    Nelson/Scott

    Nov 3      St.Peter's polls          N 48; 49                                                                                               .............. Harris                         46;  48 

    Nov 2        Harris                    N  45;  50                                                                                                     ...............Vox populi                    50  50

    Nov 1       CNN                       N  49,  47                                                                                                 ...............Harris                          45,  43

    Oct 31      Cysnal                    N  50    48

    Oct 30      Suffolk                     N  45    43         v 

    Maybe it's an indication that on Nov 1 Nelson led Scott on both the Harris and CNN  polls

    but not only did Nelson lose that lead wth Harris  on Nov 2 but by Nov 3 Nelson was trailing Scott on both  polls that reported that day.

    The  results I posted here for about the last 10 days can be displayed as above

    and , maybe, could make us a little smarter.  If that's possble!