dagblog - Comments for "Juan Cole on OBL's "illegitimate" end "

Just like with polling, the

Desider — Wed, 11 May 2011 08:19:09 +0000

Just like with polling, the odds are examined after the fact to get better predictions next time. Depending on the field, predictions can get much much better with post-analysis.

Huh? So, you think it's

kgb999 — Wed, 11 May 2011 07:42:17 +0000

In reply to Saying what the odds were of

Huh? So, you think it's impossible to say what the odds of the Bulls beating the Hawks going into the game were ... because the game is now over? Someone better tell these guys to take their page down - now we can just say the odds were whatever we want! Yeah, I'm sure the nation's bookies are going to jump right up and endorse *this* formula.

In any odds-making scenario I've ever seen, the odds are locked when the event starts. After that, the odds become a fact - collected for trivia and such. Just like the score. Entire books have been published based on the premise that odds set for events ... mean something.

You may find it trivial - but it sure as hell isn't true. If the president says something he knows to be inaccurate that is pretty much called lying. Almost everywhere.

Saying what the odds were of

acanuck — Tue, 10 May 2011 18:28:57 +0000

In reply to Lmao ... "Not saying he's

Saying what the odds were of something happening, after it has occurred, is not something you can lie about or tell the truth about. It is meaningless.

Lmao ... "Not saying he's

KGB — Tue, 10 May 2011 16:26:44 +0000

In reply to Please note, I'm not accusing

Lmao ... "Not saying he's lying .... just that the words he's using aren't true."

Awesome.

I can't tell who's joking anymore.

Good lord. You might want to

kgb999 — Tue, 10 May 2011 06:40:09 +0000

In reply to .Are you even thinking about

Good lord. You might want to consider it from time to time. A more impressive bit of fluff headed emo butthurttery I have rarely seen.

(Oh yeah, and you might want to consider permalinking the article, it's falling down his home page).

Could you re-read the above?

Desider — Tue, 10 May 2011 04:53:47 +0000

In reply to DesWhy hate? Because he and

Could you re-read the above? It was talking about Reagan - who aw-shucks-ed his way around kinda like Rumsfeld while pulling off all sorts of nasty stuff.

.Are you even thinking about

Flavius — Tue, 10 May 2011 03:41:25 +0000

In reply to So. You are saying in a

.Are you even thinking about this shit before you post it?

I don't describe anything Juan Cole writes that way.

One person's hyperbole is

Verified Atheist — Tue, 10 May 2011 00:22:55 +0000

In reply to Please note, I'm not accusing

One person's hyperbole is another person's lie, although I draw the line about the same place you do, acanuck. At least, that's where I draw the line when it comes to nationally elected officials, no doubt because I learned a long time to keep the bar quite low.

You can't expect them to

A Guy Called LULU — Mon, 09 May 2011 23:12:51 +0000

In reply to So. You are saying in a

You can't expect them to think of everything. They expected to verify with a picture but they forgot that by the time Ossama hit the floor he wouldn't have a face anymore.

So. You are saying in a

kgb999 — Mon, 09 May 2011 22:50:38 +0000

In reply to Juan Cole on OBL's "illegitimate" end

So. You are saying in a situation where we didn't know if there was a prince from Dubai in the house. At that crucial moment. The kill shots weren't verified? That some SEAL had to lie down next to the corpse of a possible "prince" to know if they had just gotten Bin Laden or if we had some 'splainin to do to the emirate of Dubai?

Aaaand nobody thought to bring a measuring tape? Instead we picked an exactly 6'4" soldier for the mission to wallow in blood and brains as our definitive check? WTF. Obama's JSOC is starting to sound like the Keystone Kops.

Are you even thinking about this shit before you post it?