dagblog - Comments for "Newt Is Out, Ron Paul at Bat"

Gingrich is increasingly

kgb999 — Mon, 19 Dec 2011 23:49:32 +0000

In reply to In case you're leaping to the

Gingrich is increasingly unlikely to be the nominee. He has no money to compete and nobody's going to donate if he hasn't proved he can win. After already being knocked down once ... looks to me like he's on the verge of entering a death-spiral.

At this point, Santorum is a better bet (and my current bet for where the flux will head next if it doesn't settle down after rolling through Paul) - evangelicals are asking Bachmann to merge her campaign in with his to form a unity ticket of purity and goodness (Santorum/Bachman ... yeah. That's the ticket :). There really is theoretical math for Ron Paul to be pretty well poised going in to Super Tuesday ... I suspect he'll get rather more than 205 before it's done. Still not sure how to figure that into the equation ... but I'm pretty sure the conventional view is off-base. I *really* don't see any of the other candidates staying in it through to the end and letting things go to a brokered convention with Ron Paul as kingmaker, so all roads still seem to lead to Romney .... and a *much* more dicey question about how to deal with the Ron Paul delegates this time (seems unlikely they'll try to pull off just stripping them at the state level again).

I can't think of anyone in specific that has reacted positively to the "arrest judges" thing ... from any direction. It did get quick applause, and the Telegraph speculated much as you are here ... but by and large Republicans seem to be unimpressed. Are you seeing a positive response within republican circles somewhere I'm not?

I never realized just how much of a psycho Newt really is before this either. All I can say on that front is; wow.

In case you're leaping to the

Oxy Mora — Mon, 19 Dec 2011 19:26:29 +0000

In reply to Newt Is Out, Ron Paul at Bat

In case you're leaping to the conclusion that Gingrich might not be the Republican nominee, and just because his intrade probability is now close to zero, don't forget his firewall is Georgia. And please don't underestimate the degree to which the wingers will latch on to his proposal to arrest and hog tie judges and then have the Capitol police haul them in front of newly formed judge-hanging committees in Congress. (I never really understood just how much of a nut job this guy really is).

I would like to see a poll of

A Guy Called LULU — Mon, 19 Dec 2011 18:46:14 +0000

In reply to Newt Is Out, Ron Paul at Bat

I would like to see a poll of those who refuse, like me, to answer polls. Meanwhile, here is some more more.

http://www.salon.com/2011/12/19/the_poll_mitt_romney_has_been_waiting_for/

Hard to believe we still have

Jeni Decker — Mon, 19 Dec 2011 16:32:17 +0000

In reply to Newt Is Out, Ron Paul at Bat

Hard to believe we still have the better part of a year to go. Seems like the 2012 election run-up has been going on forever.

My kid asked me yesterday : "How long is this stuff gonna be on the TV?"

Out of the mouths of babes.

I wonder what the general consensus is about how these interminably long election seasons effect things like voter turn-out and the quality of the chosen candidate, in the end. Help or hurt?