dagblog - Comments for "Michigan: Santorum Country"

Can Rick Santorum maintain

artappraiser — Thu, 16 Feb 2012 20:35:44 +0000

In reply to Michigan: Santorum Country

Can Rick Santorum maintain the momentum? Here's what the polls say - video
16 February 2012

Guardian polling expert Harry J Enten gives his analysis of Rick Santorum's radical surge in the polls ahead of the Michigan Republican presidential primary on 20 February. Will his popularity among conservatives eventually nosedive in the same way Newt Gingrich's did, or could he simply be outspent by the Mitt Romney campaign juggernaut?

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/video/2012/feb/16/rick-santorum-harry-enten-analysis-video

It's only 2:11 long and worth watching; basically he explains that the most recent trend is stabilization with Santorum surge no longer a surge and only a couple points ahead, and Romney attacks ads can probably reverse that. He also dismisses that attack ads will backfire with voters (except for the ones that are political junkies) and explains why.

P.S.: It would follow that on

artappraiser — Thu, 16 Feb 2012 01:00:26 +0000

In reply to I think the subheading that

P.S.: It would follow that on SuperPAC cluster bombs, most won't care as they don't like any of them that much to start with. Bring 'em on, they will reinforce things they are already thinking.

I should add that the chart on Republican voter satisfaction compares Oct/Nov numbers with current numbers, and shows large downward drops for the whole and for each group. The more they get to know 'em, the less they like 'em.

I think the subheading that

artappraiser — Thu, 16 Feb 2012 00:45:26 +0000

In reply to Michigan: Santorum Country

I think the subheading that they used in the New York Times print edition today for the article on the new NYT/CBS poll summed it all up well:

GOP VOTERS SAY THEY WANT MORE CHOICES

The number: only 34% of all Republican primary voters are satisfied with the current choices, 62% want more choices. For self-identified Conservatives, the numbers are 34/61, for Evangelical Christians, 33/63, for Tea Partiers, 39/57. (Chart here.)

damned if he does and damned

Elusive Trope — Wed, 15 Feb 2012 22:39:18 +0000

In reply to The super pacs may of save

damned if he does and damned if he doesn't. ain't politics a bitch.

The super pacs may of save

trkingmomoe — Wed, 15 Feb 2012 21:27:58 +0000

In reply to Michigan: Santorum Country

The super pacs may of save the day for Romney but cause damage to the general campaign later.