dagblog - Comments for "Big Winner: Nate Silver, Big Data"

But Nate relies on Gallup and

PeraclesPlease — Thu, 08 Nov 2012 05:53:32 +0000

But Nate relies on Gallup and Rasmussen doing their jobs, however poorly - when he no longer has a batch of poorly done polls to correlate and weight, his method is toast.

As such, Public Policy Polling deserves credit as the most accurate actual pollsters.

I am nuts about this

Richard Day — Thu, 08 Nov 2012 01:31:34 +0000

In reply to Big Winner: Nate Silver, Big Data

I am nuts about this sentiment!

Nate Silver and a guy named Nate Cohen? who appears on MSNBC all the time won this effort.

Oh, well who had the percentages correct 6 months ago, 12 months ago and the day before yesterday?

hahahahahahahha

Well Gallop sure the hell did not!

Rasmussen is a joke!

Oh that is enough right now.

NOBODY WHO GETS THE PREDICTIONS RIGHT IS REMEMBERED!

Nate won in 2008 and he will win in 2014 and ....

THE NATES ARE THE MEN.

hahahahahah

Sourcrauthammer will be around until I am dead.

And they pay the sourcrauthammers millions to lie.

WHAT A COUNTRY!

I should note that Silver

PeraclesPlease — Wed, 07 Nov 2012 20:13:34 +0000

In reply to Big Winner: Nate Silver, Big Data

I should note that Silver didn't just pick winners - he picked probabilities / margins pretty accurately.

Yup. It was a losing night

erica20 — Wed, 07 Nov 2012 18:08:47 +0000

In reply to Big Winner: Nate Silver, Big Data

Yup. It was a losing night for scary rhetoric, and a winning night for heartfelt, personal conversations about political decisions that matter to actual people. Hard to believe something so simple could be the next wave!

The turnout of Hispanics and

Elusive Trope — Wed, 07 Nov 2012 13:47:12 +0000

In reply to Big Winner: Nate Silver, Big Data

The turnout of Hispanics and the African American communities in places like CO and FL says that when it comes time for messaging, you can't just focus on 10,000 swing voters and appeals to what you might think they're afraid of - not if you want to success on the national scale.

But I am hopeful that now even the likes of Joe Scarborough (with his new mustache) will begin to change the way they talk about pollsters like Nate. A nice shift toward reality-based thinking. Given the seemingly increased tone of compromise, we might actually begin to make some progress.