dagblog - Comments for "The Real Threat to Hillary Clinton"

Mike, the retirees are not

trkingmomoe — Tue, 01 Sep 2015 18:54:38 +0000

In reply to Yet, Florida reelected Rick

Mike, the retirees are not the ones turning Florida blue. It is the minorities that are turning Florida blue. That is why there is such harsh voter suppression here. The voter turn out in Florida was very low for 2014. You have to go all the way back to the beginning of WWII to find the same low turn out. People in Florida are not going to fight the system to vote for former Republicans turned Democrat. They will get out and vote in a national campaign for a Democratic ticket. Even thought it effects the poor Republicans too, there is enough upper and middle class to carry the Republican vote. This is a class and economic war going on against voters.

The Florida Supreme Court has ordered the legislature to redraw the district's map. They are refusing to drag this out past the election. Now the court has to do it. They know if the Democrats get the upper hand in just a few districts that will be an inspiration for people to get out and vote. I am in a state senate district that is only a mile wide cutting through my county to gather up all the AA vote in Sarasota to add to Tampa. I am disenfranchised because I live on the wrong side of the street. They moved my poling place to the Sarasota county line. So why should I even bother to vote in a mid term? The 2014 didn't have a Senate race and Crist was a former Republican.

A better measure will be the Patrick Murphy and Allen Grayson Senate primary. Murphy is a former Republican turned Democrat from a very red district If Murphy wins that means the minority voter is sitting this one out and the state swings Republican.

Rubio isn't much a factor in this.

Yet, Florida reelected Rick

Michael Wolraich — Tue, 01 Sep 2015 14:23:34 +0000

In reply to I used up my reads this month

Yet, Florida reelected Rick Scott last year. We've been waiting for retirees to turn Florida blue for the last 20 years, yet it remains stubbornly purple. I agree that Rubio can't carry the state single handedly, but as a local boy, he could tip the balance in a tight race, and Clinton-Kasich would surely have a tight race for Florida.

I used up my reads this month

trkingmomoe — Tue, 01 Sep 2015 04:49:37 +0000

In reply to The Real Threat to Hillary Clinton

I used up my reads this month for the Times. I do want to make this comment.

Rubio is not very good at campaigning. He is fine if all he has to do is talking points but doesn't do well with debates. He gets thrown off when asked a question that he can't fit a talking point into it. He flips flops around on issues.

Demographics in Florida has changed in the last 5 years since the housing melt down. So I am not really sure how strong his support is to carry the state as a VP. The majority of the population lives in the bottom half of the state and very Democratic. Retirees make up about 15 % of the vote and when I moved here 30 years ago retirees was 25% of the vote. Lego has opened a park in Winterhaven and hospitality industry has hired many Puerto Ricans because they are bilingual, since Rubio won the 2010 election. The Cuban vote is not the big factor that is once was because second and third generations are more diverse in their politics. Everyone is very happy with Obama's opening up a embassy in Cuba.

My early prediction here

A Guy Called LULU — Tue, 01 Sep 2015 00:15:13 +0000

In reply to Related: The Hill on a Bush

My early prediction here right after the first debate was Kacich-Fiorina but the argument for Rubio makes sense. I hope the correlation between making sense and the Republican Party itself continues to be rare as they stumble through the nomination season.

Related: The Hill on a Bush

Michael Wolraich — Mon, 31 Aug 2015 22:15:07 +0000

In reply to The Real Threat to Hillary Clinton

Related: The Hill on a Bush-Kasich battle for the GOP establishment: http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/252127-rising-kas...