dagblog - Comments for "Campaign Thoughts (pt 2)" http://dagblog.com/reader-blogs/campaign-thoughts-pt-2-21284 Comments for "Campaign Thoughts (pt 2)" en And if the last bubble is http://dagblog.com/comment/229695#comment-229695 <a id="comment-229695"></a> <p><em>In reply to <a href="http://dagblog.com/comment/229692#comment-229692">Nate Silver gives HRC an 81%</a></em></p> <div class="field field-name-comment-body field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p>And if the last bubble is similar, she'll fall to 71% by election day - which are pretty good odds compared to previous election cycles. And her 5.6% leading polling margin is a winner for every  election in 40 years.</p> <p>If it makes you feel better, Huffpost has it 98% to 2%.</p> <p>Remember, polls and predictions are like playing with Monopoly money.</p> </div></div></div> Fri, 28 Oct 2016 20:39:58 +0000 PeraclesPlease comment 229695 at http://dagblog.com Flavius... From Sam Wang at http://dagblog.com/comment/229694#comment-229694 <a id="comment-229694"></a> <p><em>In reply to <a href="http://dagblog.com/reader-blogs/campaign-thoughts-pt-2-21284">Campaign Thoughts (pt 2)</a></em></p> <div class="field field-name-comment-body field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><strong>Flavius... <em>From Sam Wang at PEC . . .</em></strong></p> <p>The thorn in "Click-Bait Nate"  Silver's side.</p> <p><img alt="" height="153" src="http://i37.photobucket.com/albums/e66/LarrytheDuck/TPM_Prime/20161028_PEC_10_days_to_Go_zpsquebedox.png" width="255" /></p> <p><a href="http://election.princeton.edu/">election.princeton.edu/</a></p> <p><br /> ~OGD~</p> </div></div></div> Fri, 28 Oct 2016 15:22:08 +0000 oldenGoldenDecoy comment 229694 at http://dagblog.com Campaign thoughts from Tom http://dagblog.com/comment/229693#comment-229693 <a id="comment-229693"></a> <p><em>In reply to <a href="http://dagblog.com/reader-blogs/campaign-thoughts-pt-2-21284">Campaign Thoughts (pt 2)</a></em></p> <div class="field field-name-comment-body field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p>Campaign thoughts from Tom Toles,<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/opinions/wp/2016/10/28/when-the-only-tool-you-have-is-an-arsenal-every-problem-starts-to-look-like-a-tyranny/?utm_term=.9759946d5ece"> 'When the only tool you have is an arsenal"</a></p> <blockquote> <p>.....The darker side of this fear is that these very guns are going to be needed soon to fight the tyranny. Apparently, it’s the tyranny of a legally elected government in a democratic system, but details, details.</p> <p>The idea is openly argued that armed insurrection is what the Second Amendment is really all about, and to have an insurrection, you need a tyranny to insurrect against, real or imagined. And more than a few are apparently feverishly imaginative. Gun ownership is starting to look more like arsenal-building, in that the average number of guns kept by households that own guns <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/01/05/gun-sales-hit-new-record-ahead-of-new-obama-gun-restrictions/">has doubled since 1994</a>.</p> <p>So the right is all dressed up for a revolution, and it only needs someone to give the signal. And there you have him, Donald Trump. He may lose the election, but hey, what’s an election to him? Rigged, is what. And when the election is rigged, what do you have? Why, a tyranny. And <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/28/us/politics/donald-trump-voters.html?ref=politics">what do you</a> do when you have a tyranny?</p> </blockquote> </div></div></div> Fri, 28 Oct 2016 15:06:27 +0000 NCD comment 229693 at http://dagblog.com Nate Silver gives HRC an 81% http://dagblog.com/comment/229692#comment-229692 <a id="comment-229692"></a> <p><em>In reply to <a href="http://dagblog.com/reader-blogs/campaign-thoughts-pt-2-21284">Campaign Thoughts (pt 2)</a></em></p> <div class="field field-name-comment-body field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p>Nate Silver gives HRC an 81% chance which would be great if</p> <p>he hadn't given her an 88% 10 days ago.</p> <p> </p> </div></div></div> Fri, 28 Oct 2016 13:34:51 +0000 Flavius comment 229692 at http://dagblog.com Republicans say liberals are http://dagblog.com/comment/229687#comment-229687 <a id="comment-229687"></a> <p><em>In reply to <a href="http://dagblog.com/reader-blogs/campaign-thoughts-pt-2-21284">Campaign Thoughts (pt 2)</a></em></p> <div class="field field-name-comment-body field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/nc-republicans-citing-bathroom-myth-2016-3">Republicans say </a>liberals are <em>"going to open the door for people with malicious intent who would masquerade as transgenders to come in and actually take advantage and have access to our kids,"</em> so they pass birth certificate/gender police bathroom laws.</p> <p>Then, exhibiting Orwellian <a href="https://www.google.com/search?q=doublethink&amp;oq=doublethin&amp;aqs=chrome.1.69i57j0l15.6710j0j4&amp;sourceid=silk&amp;ie=UTF-8">doublethink</a>, they prepare for civil insurrection if an avowed bragging serial sexual predator is not elected President.</p> <p><strong>Doublethink</strong>: <em>the acceptance of or mental capacity to accept contrary opinions or beliefs at the same time, especially as a result of political indoctrination.</em></p> </div></div></div> Thu, 27 Oct 2016 22:51:39 +0000 NCD comment 229687 at http://dagblog.com