More on Trump 2020 and

artappraiser — Sun, 21 Jul 2019 03:53:30 +0000

More on Trump 2020 and electoral college possibilities:

No mention of potential third-party candidates, who were also critical to Trump victory. Over many years, Trump adviser Roger Stone was often involved in third party candidacies in state and national races. https://t.co/1nTG4OizWr
— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) July 21, 2019

Trump’s Electoral College

artappraiser — Sun, 21 Jul 2019 02:20:45 +0000

In reply to White Anxiety, and a President Ready to Address It

Trump’s Electoral College Edge Could Grow in 2020, Rewarding Polarizing Campaign

Re-election looks plausible even with a bigger loss in the national popular vote.

By Nate Cohn @ The Upshot @ NYTimes.com, July 19

President Trump’s approval ratings are under water in national polls. His position for re-election, on the other hand, might not be quite so bleak.

His advantage in the Electoral College, relative to the national popular vote, may be even larger than it was in 2016, according to an Upshot analysis of election results and polling data.

That persistent edge leaves him closer to re-election than one would think based on national polls, and it might blunt any electoral cost of actions like his recent tweets attacking four minority congresswomen.

For now, the mostly white working-class Rust Belt states, decisive in the 2016 election, remain at the center of the electoral map, based on our estimates. The Democrats have few obviously promising alternative paths to win without these battleground states. The president’s approval ratings remain higher in the Sun Belt battlegrounds than in the Rust Belt, despite Democratic hopes of a breakthrough,

The president’s views on immigration and trade play relatively well in the Northern battlegrounds, including among the pivotal Obama-Trump voters.

There are signs that some of these voters have soured on his presidency, based on recent polling. There is also reason to think that white working-class voters who supported Mr. Trump were relatively likely to stay home in last November’s midterm elections.

A strategy rooted in racial polarization could at once energize parts of the president’s base and rebuild support among wavering white working-class voters. Many of these voters backed Mr. Trump in the first place in part because of his views on hot-button issues, including on immigration and race. [....]

The vast majority of white

artappraiser — Sun, 21 Jul 2019 02:14:11 +0000

In reply to White Anxiety, and a President Ready to Address It

WaPo from August, 2017:

The vast majority of white Americans who feel threatened by the country’s growing racial and ethnic diversity are not members of the KKK or neo-Nazis. They are much greater in number, and far more mainstream. https://t.co/TUkMgoeowQ
— Professor Frink (@IQRealist) July 20, 2019

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More on Trump 2020 and

Trump’s Electoral College

The vast majority of white