dagblog - Comments for "You would like to have a beer with her and would also let her babysit your kids!"

Uncovered - Team Trump moves

PeraclesPlease — Thu, 26 Sep 2019 06:46:00 +0000

In reply to Well, a lot of shit went down

Uncovered - Team Trump moves incriminating records to non-obvious networks:

Rose Mary Woods is all grown up now.

New: The whistleblower complaint alleges a pattern of obfuscation at the White House, in which officials moved the records of some of Trump’s communications with foreign officials onto a separate computer network from where they are normally stored. https://t.co/JrPGM4ATs2
— Shane Harris (@shaneharris) September 26, 2019

I think we all have our

ocean-kat — Thu, 26 Sep 2019 03:31:33 +0000

In reply to You have a shtick?

I think we all have our shticks here. Those particular areas that tend to trigger a response. One of my pet peeves is not so much polling but poorly designed questions that don't give much useful information. Like the question about Trump being blocked by democrats. I'd bet a large part of the majority were democrats saying Fuck yeah, and high fiving. Or Hal constantly posting polls about how a large majority love Sanders Medicare for all plan when the moment it's explained that it bans all private insurance and employer based insurance support drops like a stone.

You have a shtick?

Michael Wolraich — Thu, 26 Sep 2019 03:09:20 +0000

In reply to Yes but even a year later

You have a shtick?

I would add that even when the polls are accurate, public opinion is a crude measure of political influence. Joe Congressman doesn't really care about national opinion. He cares about his donors' opinions and his constituency's opinions.

Yeah. History clearly shows

Michael Wolraich — Thu, 26 Sep 2019 02:39:44 +0000

In reply to Maggie Haberman surprisingly

Yeah. History clearly shows that public opinion can change quickly and dramatically, so we should avoid the misconception that today's polls determine tomorrow's. But history is much less clear about how and why public opinion changes, so we also shouldn't assume that it will change in a predictable way.

Maggie Haberman surprisingly

artappraiser — Thu, 26 Sep 2019 02:30:12 +0000

In reply to I have no strong opinion

Maggie Haberman surprisingly just offered an opinion on topic! Is odd, because she doesn't often go there:

Public opinion isn't "with" Trump. It just happens not to be "with" impeachment at the moment. If you think the Lewandowski hearing was a turning point that helped Democrats, I would argue that TV is not always what folks think it will be.
— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) September 26, 2019

Yes but even a year later

ocean-kat — Thu, 26 Sep 2019 02:26:13 +0000

In reply to Well, a lot of shit went down

Yes but even a year later support for impeachment was a bit below 50%. It didn't rise above 50% until a month before he resigned. I only cited that '73 poll because it was the first one I found. As I recall while support rose the majority didn't support impeachment until the very end, and then not by much. It's all part of my shtick here of being critical of polling.

Donated to the White

Michael Wolraich — Thu, 26 Sep 2019 02:15:00 +0000

In reply to Oh crap, that was satire?

Donated to the White Christian ~~Heterosexual~~ Cisgender Gun-Owning Male With No College Degree Defense Fund

Well, a lot of shit went down

Michael Wolraich — Thu, 26 Sep 2019 02:12:49 +0000

In reply to I have no strong opinion

Well, a lot of shit went down after that July 1973 poll was taken, including the Saturday Night Massacre, the 18.5 minute gap, and the "smoking gun" tape. So I don't think we can credit the impeachment process itself with changing public opinion.

Now if the House should uncover an 18.5 minute gap in Trump's phone call transcription, that's another matter.

Oh crap, that was satire?

PeraclesPlease — Thu, 26 Sep 2019 02:10:46 +0000

In reply to This reminds me of a satire

Oh crap, that was satire? What happened to my money?

Well, if John McLaughlin

Michael Wolraich — Thu, 26 Sep 2019 02:02:03 +0000

In reply to Just saw this as to that

Well, if John McLaughlin polled it, it must be true