dagblog - Comments for "Trump's gaining"

Interesting that Noah Smith

artappraiser — Mon, 30 Dec 2019 04:13:11 +0000

In reply to Tweeted yesterday morning:

Interesting that Noah Smith of Bloomberg just tweeted that he became more "long-term optimistic" on all three of these areas this last year:

I became much more long-term optimistic about American culture, politics, and society. https://t.co/27p1lFmDg1
— Noah Smith (@Noahpinion) December 30, 2019

The September to December

Flavius — Sun, 29 Dec 2019 20:56:51 +0000

In reply to yeah and I see in it the

The September to December comparison interested me because it brackets the House Impeachment and

Decision. Given the experience of the Clinton Impeachment I'm relieved that September to December was as shown.

Incredibly consistent support

PeraclesPlease — Sun, 29 Dec 2019 07:48:21 +0000

In reply to yeah and I see in it the

Incredibly consistent support (and disapproval). Statistically unlikely, except as ushers in some new phenomenon.

yeah and I see in it the

artappraiser — Sun, 29 Dec 2019 05:26:51 +0000

In reply to Compared to what ?

yeah and I see in it the little spike the other day which probably influenced what you were reading. Now looks like just an anomaly of one or two polls.Only real change appears to be a dip in approval from May through Dec. 2017.

Compared to what ?

Flavius — Sun, 29 Dec 2019 05:04:33 +0000

In reply to Trump's gaining

Compared to what ?

538's top chart "how unpopular is Donald Trump? " is interactive

On Sept 1 Trump scored 41.3%. Today he's 42.6

just now there was this

artappraiser — Fri, 27 Dec 2019 04:03:24 +0000

In reply to A factor rarely broached is

just now there was this thought-provoking comment in my twitter feed along the same lines:

Trump offered Republicans a way to vote against their establishment, and then the entire American establishment.

Bernie offers Democrats a way to do the same.

Yang offers everyone a way to vote against the entire American establishment, Trump, and Bernie.
— Wesley Yang (@wesyang) December 27, 2019

So, going for the center vote

artappraiser — Fri, 27 Dec 2019 03:52:58 +0000

In reply to A factor rarely broached is

So, going for the center vote is a better move?

I found it interesting in that the article suggests Iowa caucus voters are all set to decide that for the rest of us! So why you worrying your pretty head about it? They got this!

A factor rarely broached is

NCD — Fri, 27 Dec 2019 02:57:00 +0000

In reply to ICYMI:

A factor rarely broached is if Bernie was the Democratic nominee, would that "prove" he was just a "sellout" to the "corporate controlled corrupt" DNC ?

Ergo....would the hard core lefty purity angels show up in the general?

So, going for the center vote is a better move?

“Fifty-five percent of those

artappraiser — Fri, 27 Dec 2019 00:34:55 +0000

In reply to Trump's gaining

“Fifty-five percent of those asked said they were in favor of the US president’s conviction by the Senate, a figure which has shot up from 48 percent the week before.” https://t.co/vs0DP5Xxa9
— Heath Mayo (@HeathMayo) December 26, 2019

ICYMI:

artappraiser — Thu, 26 Dec 2019 04:34:06 +0000

In reply to Trump's gaining

ICYMI: The ‘But I Would Vote for Joe Biden’ Republicans

For some Democrats, a key part of the former vice president’s pitch is that their moderate friends and relatives like him, too.

By Katie Glueck, 7h ago @ NYTimes.com

CRESTON, Iowa — The voters at campaign events for Joseph R. Biden Jr. here in Iowa and across the country aren’t just shopping for a candidate for themselves.

As they jostle to take pictures with the former vice president and listen to him preach about national unity, they are often thinking about someone else — a dad, a neighbor or a colleague. They consider the political leanings of people close to them who are uncomfortable with the most liberal presidential contenders, but who hate the chaos of the Trump era and are receptive to the kind of centrist, seasoned candidacy Mr. Biden offers.

Some Democrats have been warning the party not to obsess over these potential swing voters, arguing that electability calculations about mythical undecided moderates are futile at this moment of extreme political polarization.

But for many Biden supporters, those voters are their Republican-leaning relatives and friends. And their perspectives are an increasingly prominent consideration as the Iowa caucuses near [....]