dagblog - Comments for "Hillary Clinton Urges Dems to ‘Vote for the Person Most Likely to Win’ in 2020"

The Cook Reports says that

rmrd0000 — Mon, 20 Jan 2020 00:16:03 +0000

In reply to Gees, got to say it that,I

The Cook Reports says that across demographic groups

Not surprisingly, fewer swing voters believe it is important who wins. When asked whether it really matters who wins, somewhat matters, or doesn’t really matter, 82 percent of all voters and 92 percent of decided voters said they believe it matters, but just 66 percent of swing voters said they believe it really matters.

Finally, when swing voters were asked to think exclusively about several individual issues and whether each made them more or less likely to vote for Trump or the Democrat, Democrats had the advantage among swing voters on climate change (net +38), health care (+18), and immigration (+10), while the issue of the economy (+12) gave Trump an advantage.

The key takeaway from this analysis is that while swing voters don’t look too different from the overall electorate in terms of demographics, they are very different temperamentally. Since they pay less attention than other voters and are less likely to believe that the outcome is important, you just have to wonder how many of these undecided will really vote. Further, we can expect those who do to check into the race very late.

https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/just-who-are-these-undecided-voters-anyway

If you add up the polling

ocean-kat — Sun, 19 Jan 2020 22:45:55 +0000

In reply to except as for Hillary, I don

If you add up the polling numbers for the left candidates and the moderate candidates they are roughly equal. But no one is saying if the democrats nominate someone from the left don't throw your vote away like was done when McGovern was nominated. It's always the left that is told we have to hold our nose and vote for a candidate that so clearly tells us he will not push for the policies we want.

except as for Hillary, I don

artappraiser — Sun, 19 Jan 2020 22:04:15 +0000

In reply to Vote for the candidate most

except as for Hillary, I don't think she's going whole hog on this meme like the Hullaballo post, think we know what she means: this time please do the "throw away your vote" thing, don't go like all 3rd party on us, i.e. a Green candidate or Ralph Nader again just because the candidate is not radical enough for you on this that or the other thing.Just not the election to do that, not this time.

Gees, got to say it that,I

artappraiser — Sun, 19 Jan 2020 21:58:04 +0000

In reply to Pheromones & voter signals

Gees, got to say it that,I just adore this tweet from Sullivan's article:

Hard to overstate how unpredictable talking to voters can be: Melissa from Algona, Iowa, caucused for Bernie in 2016, then voted for a Trump; she supports Medicare for All but supports Buttigieg, but will likely vote for Trump again if Buttigieg doesn’t win the Dem nomination. pic.twitter.com/ZgvQQ7NoW2
— Matt Pearce (@mattdpearce) January 16, 2020

I swear she's straight out of de Tocqueville Democracy in America, these strange American creatures who follow no old country ideologies or leaders. Look, even though it's exactly people like her who stuck us with the nightmare that is Trump, I guess I am still proud we have characters like this, it's what's American about American culture. This is being open-minded to the max and also her choices in particular indicate she has a dislike for any machine pols, she likes people who buck the system.

You hope the respected

PeraclesPlease — Sun, 19 Jan 2020 18:30:02 +0000

In reply to Vote for the candidate most

You hope the respected nonsensical voters are few enough that you/the polls can accurately decipher who's likely to win.

Of course if Russians hack the ballot machines, may not matter.

Vote for the candidate most

ocean-kat — Sun, 19 Jan 2020 18:24:58 +0000

In reply to Pheromones & voter signals

Vote for the candidate most likely to win implies that we/I can figure that out. As I was reading that Digby blog all I could take away from it is that people are crazy and I can't understand them. So how can I pick the candidate that's more likely to get the votes of these at best ignorant and more likely stupid crazy people?

Pheromones & voter signals

PeraclesPlease — Sun, 19 Jan 2020 18:10:50 +0000

In reply to Hillary Clinton Urges Dems to ‘Vote for the Person Most Likely to Win’ in 2020

Pheromones & voter signals

https://digbysblog.net/2020/01/when-in-rome-georgia/