dagblog - Comments for "Iowa Caucus News and Related Stuff"

11 months later, we got

artappraiser — Sun, 13 Dec 2020 02:40:46 +0000

In reply to Iowa Caucus News and Related Stuff

11 months later, we got BREAKING!

BREAKING: An Iowa Democratic Party audit found that DNC meddling, combined with missteps by the state Democratic Party, were the primary drivers of the chaos that torpedoed the Iowa caucuses earlier this year https://t.co/b3ozCoE3HF
— POLITICO (@politico) December 12, 2020

Pete won it, verified, 14

artappraiser — Fri, 28 Feb 2020 02:39:29 +0000

In reply to Iowa Caucus News and Related Stuff

Pete won it, verified, 14 delegates to Bernie's 12:

BREAKING: Recount of Iowa Caucuses show small changes to totals, but no change to national delegates. @peteButtigieg wins the Caucus with 14 nat'l delegates. @SenSanders with 12. pic.twitter.com/9rxa8Ibnna
— Nick Weig (@tbweig) February 28, 2020

I recall a lot of "fairy tale

PeraclesPlease — Thu, 06 Feb 2020 09:42:51 +0000

In reply to Iowa is not representative of

I recall a lot of "fairy tale" hype to make Bill a racist along with "Hillary didn't cry during Katrina" dog whistles to make that early internal South Carolina polling spread work. Pollsters always seem to believe their own bullshit anyway.

A tie with Buttigieg and

artappraiser — Thu, 06 Feb 2020 07:29:29 +0000

In reply to Iowa Caucus News and Related Stuff

Ends in a tie at the top with Buttigieg and Sanders each a little less than 550 delegates, Warren 381, Biden 331, and Klobuchar 255.

With 97% of precincts reporting, @PeteButtigieg’s lead over @BernieSanders is down to 0.1%.

Safe to say they will both leave the #IowaCaucuses with the same number of delegates.

https://t.co/nseYNRCOjF pic.twitter.com/PYXW7ClkIF
— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) February 6, 2020

Except for silly political horse race junkies who think this is like a sports game where somebody wins something because they got the highest number: This says they are all still very much in the running and WTF IS WRONG WITH THAT? Good thing, no? Who got hurt? Nobody! They all still got a chance, the supposed "lack of diversity" somehow delivered a diverse result, eh?These are all a pitifully small number of delegates makes no sense to blow it up as such an important indicator that Pete and Bernie got a few more than the others. Cmon, that's ridiculous, it's more like a 5 way tie. Too many falling for political horse race b.s. Early Iowa caucus is simply an indicator and a training ground about ability of face-to-face selling, see who's got the stamina and staying power. Well this time, five of them do.

Why @JoeBiden finished fourth

artappraiser — Wed, 05 Feb 2020 22:58:08 +0000

In reply to Iowa Caucus News and Related Stuff

Why @JoeBiden finished fourth in Iowa

w/ @katieglueck @thomaskaplan https://t.co/Wf2b4NBEyl
— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) February 5, 2020

Look at the difference in

artappraiser — Wed, 05 Feb 2020 22:41:17 +0000

In reply to Iowa Caucus News and Related Stuff

Look at the difference in Sanders and Warren numbers, pre- and post-correction — these are significant differences. Lord. https://t.co/DkaWE5lJuL
— MJ Lee (@mj_lee) February 5, 2020

She's just bitter.

PeraclesPlease — Wed, 05 Feb 2020 21:34:51 +0000

In reply to Iowa held over 80 satellite

She's just bitter.

good way to put it:

artappraiser — Wed, 05 Feb 2020 20:12:41 +0000

In reply to Iowa Caucus News and Related Stuff

good way to put it:

If this pans out, the basic upshot is Pete Buttigieg wins the electoral college and Bernie Sanders wins the popular vote in Iowa. https://t.co/Sa7boIC6oO
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) February 5, 2020

Iowa held over 80 satellite

artappraiser — Wed, 05 Feb 2020 19:46:15 +0000

In reply to Iowa Caucus News and Related Stuff

Iowa held over 80 satellite caucuses. These were primarily for

* non-English speakers
* students
* people whose jobs didn't allow them to go to regular caucusing locations
*disabled and elderly people

NONE of their votes have been counted yet
— Molly Crabapple (@mollycrabapple) February 5, 2020

Nate Silver updates from a

artappraiser — Wed, 05 Feb 2020 19:26:21 +0000

In reply to Iowa Caucus News and Related Stuff

Nate Silver updates from a few minutes ago:

State delegate equivalents with new Iowa data
Buttigieg 26.9 (+0.1)
Sanders 25.2 (-)
Warren 18.2 (-0.2)
Biden 15.6 (+0.2)
Klobuchar 12.5 (-0.1)
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) February 5, 2020

Final alignment with new Iowa data
Sanders 26.1 (-0.1)
Buttigieg 25.3 (+0.1)
Warren 20.3 (-0.4)
Biden 13.5 (+0.3)
Klobuchar 12.3 (-0.2)
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) February 5, 2020

According to The Needle, Buttigieg is up to 86% to win on SDEs. Sanders is 94% to win the first alignment and 60% to win the final alignment. https://t.co/l64PetfzP0
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) February 5, 2020