dagblog - Comments for "POLITICO talks to mayors across Europe as they endure deaths, lockdowns and job losses." http://dagblog.com/link/politico-talks-mayors-across-europe-they-endure-deaths-lockdowns-and-job-losses-31386 Comments for "POLITICO talks to mayors across Europe as they endure deaths, lockdowns and job losses." en This graph is amazing. It http://dagblog.com/comment/282113#comment-282113 <a id="comment-282113"></a> <p><em>In reply to <a href="http://dagblog.com/comment/282111#comment-282111">The lack of a resurgence in </a></em></p> <div class="field field-name-comment-body field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p> </p><div class="media_embed"> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" height="" width=""> <p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en">This graph is amazing. It shows that measuring <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/SARSCoV2?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#SARSCoV2</a> levels in municipal sewage almost perfectly predicts forthcoming <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/COVID19?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#COVID19</a> cases with a full week's notice (R=0.994). It's one of several discoveries in this new study from <a href="https://twitter.com/Yale?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Yale</a>: <a href="https://t.co/hZVdXebx2D">https://t.co/hZVdXebx2D</a>. C-19 is <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/InThePoop?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#InThePoop</a> <a href="https://t.co/shNzTKYoYP">pic.twitter.com/shNzTKYoYP</a></p> — Brennan Spiegel, MD, MSHS (@BrennanSpiegel) <a href="https://twitter.com/BrennanSpiegel/status/1265119535901732865?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 26, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async="" charset="utf-8" height="" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" width=""></script></div> </div></div></div> Wed, 27 May 2020 09:28:09 +0000 PeraclesPlease comment 282113 at http://dagblog.com More curious: moss balls http://dagblog.com/comment/282112#comment-282112 <a id="comment-282112"></a> <p><em>In reply to <a href="http://dagblog.com/comment/282111#comment-282111">The lack of a resurgence in </a></em></p> <div class="field field-name-comment-body field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p>More curious: moss balls</p> <p>(no mutations detected)</p> <p>ok, just had to share</p> <p> </p><div class="media_embed"> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" height="" width=""> <p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en">In other news, balls of moss are marching together in unison down an Alaskan glacier. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/andsoitbegins?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#andsoitbegins</a> <a href="https://t.co/v3SRzCNZXh">https://t.co/v3SRzCNZXh</a></p> — Carl Zimmer (@carlzimmer) <a href="https://twitter.com/carlzimmer/status/1265335934175903744?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 26, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async="" charset="utf-8" height="" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" width=""></script></div> </div></div></div> Wed, 27 May 2020 09:24:08 +0000 PeraclesPlease comment 282112 at http://dagblog.com The lack of a resurgence in http://dagblog.com/comment/282111#comment-282111 <a id="comment-282111"></a> <p><em>In reply to <a href="http://dagblog.com/link/politico-talks-mayors-across-europe-they-endure-deaths-lockdowns-and-job-losses-31386">POLITICO talks to mayors across Europe as they endure deaths, lockdowns and job losses.</a></em></p> <div class="field field-name-comment-body field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p> </p><div class="media_embed"> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en" height="" width=""> <p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en">The lack of a resurgence in <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/COVID19?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#COVID19</a> cases following the easing of lockdowns in several countries is intriguing. I'll take Switzerland as an example. The lockdown ended on May 11 (schools/restaurants opened). Yet this did not translate in any increase in new cases so far.<br /> (1/6) <a href="https://t.co/gQC9yd7lPP">pic.twitter.com/gQC9yd7lPP</a></p> — Prof Francois Balloux (@BallouxFrancois) <a href="https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1265563344053899265?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 27, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async="" charset="utf-8" height="" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" width=""></script></div> <p> </p><div class="media_embed"> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none" data-lang="en" height="" width=""> <p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en">There are some residual 'social distancing' measures in place, which are not particularly strongly enforced and life is essentially back to the 'old normal. So why did the epidemic not resume? I can think of three non-mutually exclusive speculators reasons.<br /> (2/6)</p> — Prof Francois Balloux (@BallouxFrancois) <a href="https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1265563345689640962?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 27, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async="" charset="utf-8" height="" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" width=""></script></div> <p> </p><div class="media_embed"> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none" data-lang="en" height="" width=""> <p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en">1. 'Residual social distancing': People may still be behaving in ways limiting viral transmission. This feels unlikely as the main explanation for Switzerland at least, where life is essentially back to normal and hardly anyone wears a mask.<br /> (3/6)</p> — Prof Francois Balloux (@BallouxFrancois) <a href="https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1265563346843115522?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 27, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async="" charset="utf-8" height="" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" width=""></script></div> <p> </p><div class="media_embed"> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none" data-lang="en" height="" width=""> <p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en">2. Seasonality: The other endemic coronaviruses causing 'common colds' are highly seasonal with a marked peak in winter. Thus, if <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/SARSCoV2?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#SARSCoV2</a> transmission were similarly seasonal the <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/COVID19?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#COVID19</a> epidemic may be slowed by the current summer weather.<br /> (4/6) <a href="https://t.co/XhugtMCkml">pic.twitter.com/XhugtMCkml</a></p> — Prof Francois Balloux (@BallouxFrancois) <a href="https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1265563348025950211?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 27, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async="" charset="utf-8" height="" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" width=""></script></div> <p> </p><div class="media_embed"> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none" data-lang="en" height="" width=""> <p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en">3. 'Cross-immunisation': A proportion of the population might have pre-existing immunity to <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/SARSCoV2?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#SARSCoV2</a> , potentially due to prior exposure to 'common cold' coronaviruses. Under such a scenario, only a fraction of the population could be infected by the virus at this stage.<br /> (5/6)</p> — Prof Francois Balloux (@BallouxFrancois) <a href="https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1265563349913395204?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 27, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async="" charset="utf-8" height="" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" width=""></script></div> <p> </p><div class="media_embed"> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none" data-lang="en" height="" width=""> <p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en">'Residual social distancing' and 'seasonality' both likely contributed to the lack of resurgence of <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/COVID19?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#COVID19</a> after the easing of lockdowns. 'Cross-immunisation' is a 'wilder' hypothesis but might explain some intriguing observations (e.g. no transmission between spouses).<br /> (6/6)</p> — Prof Francois Balloux (@BallouxFrancois) <a href="https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1265563351171694593?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 27, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async="" charset="utf-8" height="" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" width=""></script></div> </div></div></div> Wed, 27 May 2020 08:43:11 +0000 artappraiser comment 282111 at http://dagblog.com