dagblog - Comments for "In U.S. politics, never bet against the incumbent"

It's mostly the media feeding

MJS — Sun, 09 May 2010 18:59:56 +0000

In reply to In U.S. politics, never bet against the incumbent

It's mostly the media feeding on the Tea Party nutjobs' frenzy about "voting out the Obamacare people." And, of course, Republican politicians will no doubt run on that very platform. I don't think it's going to be as significant a threat to Democratic incumbents as the Republicans fathom; Glen Beck can cut and paste footage from several events to make it appear as if hundreds of thousands attend the crackpot festivals, but those numbers are severely inflated. It's an election year.. Take any political reporting with an even larger grain of salt than usual.

I do not challenge Atheist's

Michael Wolraich — Wed, 05 May 2010 19:59:25 +0000

In reply to Although I don't contend your

I do not challenge Atheist's assertion. Nor do I challenge Atheist's refusal to contend Wolfrum's main point.

Although I don't contend your

Atheist — Wed, 05 May 2010 19:27:10 +0000

In reply to In U.S. politics, never bet against the incumbent

Although I don't contend your main point, I think the problem with this data is bigger than just it being a tiny sampling group. It's also a very unrepresentative sampling group, as incumbents in primary races tend to win an even greater percentage than incumbents in general elections. (No, I don't have any statistics for it, but I assume no one's going to challenge that assertion.)