dagblog - Comments for "2020 presidential election results, by county and metro area (also by other factors)"

How The Frost Belt And Sun

artappraiser — Thu, 04 Feb 2021 01:52:23 +0000

In reply to 2020 presidential election results, by county and metro area (also by other factors)

How The Frost Belt And Sun Belt Illustrate The Complexity Of America’s Urban-Rural Divide

By Geoffrey Skelley & Anna Wiederkehr @ FiveThirtyEight.com,

There’s little question that the 2020 presidential election further cemented America’s urban-rural political divide.

However, as in any election, there were exceptions, like the rural areas where President Biden actually improved Democrats’ vote share or the urban spots where Donald Trump garnered more support than in 2016. And if we hone in on six key states, a more nuanced picture of electoral trends emerges.

This piece looks at county-level results from the last three presidential elections in Arizona, Florida and Georgia, or the competitive battlegrounds in the “Sun Belt,” and Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, or the swing states in the “Frost Belt.” These are two very different parts of the country: The Sun Belt states are fast growing and increasingly diverse, while the Frost Belt states are growing more slowly and are far whiter than the country as a whole. Yet despite their differences, these two regions underscore larger electoral trends rippling across the country and are helpful in understanding how rural, suburban and urban America voted.

Generally speaking, the denser a place is, the more Democratic it tends to vote.1 But as we’ll see, that doesn’t mean that all urban counties have moved consistently left, or that all rural counties have swung right.[....]

OIC now, moat. Your anti-mask

artappraiser — Wed, 03 Feb 2021 08:39:38 +0000

In reply to Borough Park is one of those

OIC now, moat! Your anti-mask description now makes sense, doh. I forgot about this demographic-Alice here reminded me-and they are not only anti-mask but historically anti-vax as well:

Are we going to pretend not to have noticed that the highest pro-Trump margins in NY state were *all* Ultra-Orthodox Jewish precincts?

Nothing even in the Adirondacks compares to Spring Valley, Monsey, Kiryas Joel, Borough Park, S Williamsburg, etchttps://t.co/F0UxKwPtoc pic.twitter.com/6f0hxScsgM
— Alice (@AliceFromQueens) February 3, 2021

they are known to get out and vote tho; whatever the rebbe says.

Borough Park is one of those

moat — Tue, 02 Feb 2021 20:24:06 +0000

In reply to surprise, surprise, surprise!

Borough Park is one of those neighborhoods you would never guess a pandemic was happening. No Masks except for strangers gunning the lights to get out of there.

surprise, surprise, surprise!

artappraiser — Tue, 02 Feb 2021 18:43:40 +0000

In reply to 2020 presidential election results, by county and metro area (also by other factors)

surprise, surprise, surprise! be careful what you label a librul nabe

According to the New York Times, Biden did about 20% better in San Francisco's Presidio Heights neighborhood (median home price of $5.3 million, 68% white), than he did in San Francisco's Tenderloin neighborhood (median home price of $600k, 29% white).
— Kraz Greinetz (@krazgreinetz) February 2, 2021

In some Borough Park election districts, Trump got 96% of the vote. https://t.co/CMwpNyGqyE pic.twitter.com/lMNNLYDnYo
— Jacob Kornbluh (@jacobkornbluh) February 2, 2021

all kinds of Ripley's-believe

artappraiser — Tue, 02 Feb 2021 09:59:06 +0000

In reply to 2020 presidential election results, by county and metro area (also by other factors)

all kinds of Ripley's-believe-it-or-not stuff here: i.e. Gave Trump approval rating on the economy but planned to vote for Biden! Like Trump on economy but thought covid more important and liked Fauci much more! Liked Trump on some stuff but not on SCOTUS! Trump okay but can't trust him!...

Autopsy poll from Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio also showed Fauci had about a 75% approval rating, along with similar support for a mask mandate. Voters also said they prioritized getting covid under control over reopening economy. Voters also said Biden was more trustworthy. https://t.co/tNyhOqXR7x
— Josh Dawsey (@jdawsey1) February 2, 2021

This was the same conclusion Fabrizio and others reached during the campaign on the meaning of Trump’s approval numbers on the economy - a solid chunk of people who favored him on the issue were also voting for Biden https://t.co/tJ7HpLKotb
— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) February 2, 2021

Donald Trump lost because of

artappraiser — Tue, 02 Feb 2021 03:35:14 +0000

In reply to 2020 presidential election results, by county and metro area (also by other factors)

Donald Trump lost because of Covid, the economy and voters’ exhaustion - so says Trump’s own pollster. https://t.co/EJqruO2W39
— Reed Galen (@reedgalen) February 2, 2021

Yglesias on some election

artappraiser — Fri, 29 Jan 2021 21:39:39 +0000

In reply to 2020 presidential election results, by county and metro area (also by other factors)

Yglesias on some election commentary:

I'm always a little unsure when people do these takes where they ignore incredibly obvious confounding factors (Biden won GA, lost NC & IA, Susan Collins is super-popular) whether it's self-delusion or deliberate. https://t.co/AB4GbRxcnz
— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) January 29, 2021

Also we literally got to run the experiment where Jon Ossoff lost an election and was dismissed by the left as an illustration of everything that's wrong with the corrupt and uninspiring Democratic establishment. You don't get to change it up when he wins!
— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) January 29, 2021