dagblog - Comments for "The Big Question of the 2022 Midterms: How Will the Suburbs Swing?"

The Great Awokening: mission

artappraiser — Sat, 24 Jul 2021 21:55:14 +0000

In reply to The Big Question of the 2022 Midterms: How Will the Suburbs Swing?

The Great Awokening: mission accomplished. pic.twitter.com/MFM6xD2rhQ
— Zaid Jilani (@ZaidJilani) July 22, 2021

Democrats are on a rendezvous

artappraiser — Sat, 24 Jul 2021 18:10:32 +0000

In reply to The Big Question of the 2022 Midterms: How Will the Suburbs Swing?

Democrats are on a rendezvous with permanent defeat by talking about cultural issues that divide their voters instead of pocketbook issues, Dem data scientist @davidshor tells @Yochidonn in the #WeeklyYated.

Shor was Obama’s top data analyst and he has the ear of Biden’s people. pic.twitter.com/fx3akP5kXg
— Yated Ne'eman (@RealYated) July 22, 2021

“The scary thing for me is that we ran the most popular person in our party against the most unpopular person in the Republican Party, and we only barely won, by 0.3%. There will be another, better Trump, but it’s not clear to me that we are going to have another, younger Biden.”
— Yated Ne'eman (@RealYated) July 22, 2021

This teaser has spawned quite a discussion on this website. We're putting the entire interview online. https://t.co/M3waHXaDA8
— Yated Ne'eman (@RealYated) July 23, 2021

It's like Carville said "WOKENESS IS A PROBLEM AND WE ALL KNOW IT”

A reminder from November that

artappraiser — Fri, 23 Jul 2021 22:34:14 +0000

In reply to The Big Question of the 2022 Midterms: How Will the Suburbs Swing?

A reminder from November that Democrats did not win hardly anything, they lost seats.Only Mr. BI-partisan Biden won, plus a few rare cases like the statehouses in AZ. Time to stop thinking delusionary like they did just because Biden won. Georgia Senate runoffs were won only because there were messages like this

#BLACKLIVESMATTER & BLM GROUPS PLEASE STOP ALL PROTESTS UNTIL AFTER THE ELECTION

PROTESTS CAN RESUME AFTER THE ELECTION. NO MATTER WHO WINS WE WILL STILL DEMAND JUSTICE FOR EXTRA-JUDICIAL POLICE KILLINGS, POLICE REFORM, & RACIAL EQUALITY. LET'S BE STRATEGIC & SAFE AT HOME. 09 pic.twitter.com/zNEGrNJ9QD
— Tomthunkit™ (@TomthunkitsMind) September 26, 2020

and people in the party like Clyburn yelling STFU with the defund and socialism works aready, until it's over.

update Nov. 4, ALAS

Some Suburban Strongholds Swing Back to G.O.P. in N.Y. and Across U.S.

Republicans are ahead in key congressional races in New York State, mirroring a national trend of apparent success in winning back swing districts.

By Emma G. Fitzsimmons @ NYTimes.com, Nov. 4, 2020 Updated 7:38 p.m. ET

Heading into Election Day, Democrats in New York had high hopes across the ballot, with three House races targeted in a national “Red to Blue” campaign.

But by Wednesday morning, those hopes were greatly dimmed: The three Democratic candidates, all women, were far behind after the initial machine count of ballots.

Elsewhere in the state, two first-term Democratic congressmen, Max Rose and Anthony Brindisi, were in danger of losing their seats; just two years earlier, they had been hailed by their party as trailblazers who prevailed in districts traditionally held by Republicans.

And in the State Capitol, where Democrats harbored visions of a supermajority in the State Senate, the party seemed far from that goal and may even cede ground.

With more than one million mail-in ballots still to be counted in the state, final results were far from certain in many races. But the preliminary vote totals seemed to reflect a resurgence of Republican power in the New York suburbs, where at one time some Long Island towns were among the party’s biggest strongholds in the country.

The Republican hold seemed to wane in 2018, with Democrats taking seats in New York and similar suburban districts in other states. But on Tuesday, the tide seemed to turn back again, reflecting the Republicans’ success at ousting House incumbents in swing districts across the country.

That trend was mirrored nationally in results from statehouses, with the lowest number of chambers slated to change hands in more than half a century. While Democrats won both legislative houses in Arizona, they lost the House and Senate in New Hampshire.

While some Republican candidates sought to distance themselves from President Trump, whose popularity was thought to be waning, they still clung to a Trump-like law-and-order message.

They tied Democratic candidates to defunding the police and progressive radicalism in the party, a strategy that seemed to work in many parts of the nation, as Republicans sought to maintain control of the Senate and claw back some House seats.[....]

by artappraiser on Wed, 11/04/2020 - 7:46pm

from this thread about godawful woke protestors turning against suburbanites

FEEDS TRUMP'S MEME ABOUT PROTECTING SUBURBANITES

By artappraiser on Fri, 08/14/2020 - 12:50am |

I am willing to bet moms who

artappraiser — Fri, 23 Jul 2021 04:08:39 +0000

In reply to The Big Question of the 2022 Midterms: How Will the Suburbs Swing?

I am willing to bet moms who think like this are going to be a major force in the 2022 elections

I am a one issue voter. My litmus test is how an elected official or candidate addressed schools in 2020-2022. You are either for balancing the equities fairly for children and giving them access to education without ineffective and harmful restrictions or you don’t get my vote.
— ErieCountyMom (@DanaMarie262) July 22, 2021

and they won't be kvetching about any new restrictions, they will just make sure they do what they have to vote, as that's the least of their concerns. Before that, they're going to be hunting every candidate down and making them go on the record, no doubletalk allowed

Local firechief calls it “a

artappraiser — Thu, 15 Jul 2021 21:13:50 +0000

In reply to 10% decrease in voters would

Local firechief calls it “a mass casualty event in slow motion.”

“Springfield, an Ozarks city of 170,000, has become a cautionary tale for how the delta variant can ravage poorly vaccinated communities and return them to the darkest days of the pandemic.” https://t.co/zclYSuc6Dj
— Nicholas A. Christakis (@NAChristakis) July 15, 2021

Dies bit appear to be idle speculation in Springfield, MO.

10% decrease in voters would

PeraclesPlease — Thu, 15 Jul 2021 07:42:42 +0000

In reply to great point that presents a

10% decrease in voters would negate all their work on black/student voter repression. Wonder if someone thought this through.

great point that presents a

artappraiser — Thu, 15 Jul 2021 01:38:54 +0000

In reply to The Big Question of the 2022 Midterms: How Will the Suburbs Swing?

great point that presents a wild card for red areas via hyperbole:

I guess Covid is going to make Republicans go extinct and they don’t realize it.
— Devin Nunes Mom (@NotDevinsMom) July 15, 2021

though clearly all the unvaxed are not all going to die, maybe the resulting medical bills and continuing lack of peak health to perform adequately might change some minds...

^ oh look, the word "suburbs"

artappraiser — Wed, 14 Jul 2021 03:42:19 +0000

In reply to Without Trump at top of

^ oh look, the word "suburbs" again!

I betcha lots of liberals aren't thinking about things like

the exodus during the pandemic of urbanites to the suburbs where they invested in highly priced real estate and that they will now care a great deal about protecting their investment...
how they left big cities with less of a tax base and a higher percentage of citizens needing services
how a continued national approval rating for Trump of a large minority of kooks that also affects state GOP activists doesn't really mean buttkis when it comes to what GOP state and local officials get elected; quality of life issues like education and crime might matter a heckuva lot more. because Trump fans will be a minority in many of those areas but fans of "progressives" might be a much tinier minority

And I betcha Cook Political report research IS thinking about things like that.

Without Trump at top of

artappraiser — Wed, 14 Jul 2021 03:27:32 +0000

In reply to The Big Question of the 2022 Midterms: How Will the Suburbs Swing?

Without Trump at top of ticket, Republicans will start doing better in Georgia. Not necessarily true everywhere, but fulcrum of power in Georgia is in the suburbs. https://t.co/mRbf1e12Cf
— Zaid Jilani (@ZaidJilani) July 14, 2021

^ I imagine many thanks from

artappraiser — Wed, 14 Jul 2021 02:51:34 +0000

In reply to Cook Political Report thinks

^ I imagine many thanks from GOP statehouse gerrymanderers to summer-and-fall-2020 BLM rioters and looters for helping to deliver the "law and order" votes to enable them to be in this situation! Especially with the idiot Trump hanging around their necks and dragging them down, it was like the perfect medicine!