dagblog - Comments for "Nov. 2 ELECTION ANALYSIS"

election for Columbia, SC

artappraiser — Thu, 25 Nov 2021 06:22:58 +0000

election for Columbia, SC mayor:

Tonight, South Carolina Republicans flipped the mayorship of the state capital of Columbia - the state's second largest city - 52-48%. While ostensibly non-partisan, Barack Obama made a robocall for the "Democrat" in the race. Biden won the city with 71% of the vote last year
— Blake Allen (@Blake_Allen13) November 17, 2021

p.s. from Grumbach's thread,

artappraiser — Sun, 21 Nov 2021 22:07:19 +0000

In reply to My take on this (which

p.s. from Grumbach's thread, worth checking out because:

Lotta good replies that I agree and disagree with to certain extents.

One thing we might all agree on is it'd be better if media focused more on policy and less on vibes, but profit incentive unfortunately points toward sensationalism and punditbrain/horserace-ism.
— Jake M. Grumbach (@JakeMGrumbach) November 21, 2021

My take on this (which

artappraiser — Sun, 21 Nov 2021 21:50:50 +0000

In reply to Nov. 2 ELECTION ANALYSIS

My take on this (which leftists won’t like) is that the actual problem here is “the moderate Biden wing” *itself* has moved too far left on tons of issues relative to where Obama was, and moderates express this by complaining about the Squad which doesn’t add up. https://t.co/vIkMjFuUYK
— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) November 21, 2021

The establishment didn’t lose power to the left; instead (in part to avoid losing power to the left) they themselves moved away from this approach. https://t.co/F3gVfc3lAf
— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) November 21, 2021

True centrism has never been tried.
— Justin Tiehen (@jttiehen) November 21, 2021

House retirement count now 16

artappraiser — Sun, 21 Nov 2021 06:25:41 +0000

In reply to Nov. 2 ELECTION ANALYSIS

House retirement count now 16 D 11 R https://t.co/nGsVzph7ei
— Bill Scher (@billscher) November 20, 2021

Bill Scher on Sinema:

artappraiser — Sun, 21 Nov 2021 06:23:03 +0000

In reply to Nov. 2 ELECTION ANALYSIS

Bill Scher on Sinema:

If by "embarrassing" you mean "absolutely golden local TV coverage that perfectly validates Sinema's winning 2018 campaign rhetoric and can easily be used in her 2024 ads" https://t.co/eY4psQYZI6
— Bill Scher (@billscher) November 21, 2021

“I don’t have a lot to say, typically, but when I do say something, I mean it. That [pro-filibuster] op-ed was something that was heartfelt, and it’s something that I believe very strongly.” -- @kyrstensinema https://t.co/lpEkln1Odw
— Bill Scher (@billscher) November 21, 2021

The GOP now has a slim

artappraiser — Thu, 18 Nov 2021 14:27:47 +0000

In reply to Nov. 2 ELECTION ANALYSIS

The GOP now has a slim majority of the Florida vote; registered Dem majority there is gone with the wind:

The day Florida Democrats dreaded

By GARY FINEOUT @ Politico.com, 11/18/2021

[...] Florida Republicans have caught up with, and now surpassed, Democrats in terms of registered voters. It's a feat that a few years ago was considered unthinkable even as the GOP continued to win close election after close election, whether it was Rick Scott in 2010 and 2014, and Ron DeSantis and Scott in 2018.

Wire — The totals at the end of October showed there are now 6,035 more Republicans than Democrats in Florida out of nearly 14.3 million registered active voters. This accomplishment — telegraphed a few weeks ago by DeSantis — was called a “milestone moment” by Republican Party of Florida executive director Helen Aguirre Ferré.

Vertigo — Democrats for their part are pushing back… somewhat. They have questioned the numbers of voters being reclassified as inactive from active in some counties. Democrats are still ahead by nearly 62,000 voters if you count those now listed as inactive. Yes, it’s true that those voters remain eligible, but less than 1 percent of those who turned out in 2018 were inactive.

One — The plain fact is that Democrats once had a tremendous advantage — one that aided Barack Obama’s 2008 and 2012 wins in Florida — and it’s gone, Just three years ago, in the election that DeSantis barely won over Andrew Gillum, Dems had a registration advantage of more than 264,000. In 18 of the last 19 months, Republicans have outpaced Democrats in the number of first-time registrants. “The reality is that the state is changing,” said Ryan Tyson, a well-known GOP consultant. [....]

Politico is doing A TON of

artappraiser — Thu, 18 Nov 2021 14:09:27 +0000

In reply to Nov. 2 ELECTION ANALYSIS

Politico is doing A TON of work and articles on REDISTRICTING! This is just a copy of what's on their home page right now. Just go over there -

2021 REDISTRICTING INTERACTIVE MAPS

Say goodbye to swing districts. Lawmakers are drawing easy wins in dozens of states.

In states where legislators drew the lines this decade, nearly 90 percent of congressional races were easy wins for one party or the other.

BY SCOTT BLAND AND ALLY MUTNICK

SEE COMPLETED MAPS: NORTH CAROLINA NEVADA IOWA OREGON FIND YOUR STATE

Hundreds of House districts are being redrawn. Here’s who’s winning and losing.

BY ALLAN JAMES VESTAL AND BEATRICE JIN

MAGAZINE

2021 REDISTRICTING

‘The Other Side Is Taking Advantage of Us’

Congressional mapmaking used to be a sleepy affair. No longer.

BY ALAN GREENBLATT

Who's winning congressional redistricting: How we calculated our figures

Projecting the partisan lean of 2022's new congressional districts takes a bit of history and a lot of math.

Ohio Republicans plow ahead with go-it-alone redistricting — despite gerrymandering limits

The GOP-controlled state legislature plans to pass a new congressional map this week that shreds two Democratic seats, but it will only stand for the next four years.

BY BRITTANY GIBSON

Redistricting squeezes 2 Democratic rising stars in Georgia

BY ALLAN JAMES VESTAL

clearly this spokesman's been

artappraiser — Thu, 18 Nov 2021 08:23:42 +0000

In reply to Also via Intelligencer,

clearly this spokesman's been lurning all the best conspiracy theories from the old days without checking out how they will play with a significant part of the local constituency! some "young Christian conservative" on his staff probably suggested it...oh boy...

Also via Intelligencer,

PeraclesPlease — Thu, 18 Nov 2021 07:41:16 +0000

In reply to I read this as a colleague of

Also via Intelligencer, DeSantis spokesman blaming vaccine passports on the Rothschilds (aka "da Jewz")

Is our politicians lurning yet?

I read this as a colleague of

artappraiser — Thu, 18 Nov 2021 02:27:34 +0000

In reply to Nov. 2 ELECTION ANALYSIS

I read this as a colleague of Marjorie Taylor Greene warning Georgia's 14th Congressional district that she's way dumber than even Trump (and goes without saying that she doesn't have the help he did like coloring book briefings), that there's no there there, and they should start looking for someone with actual basic qualifications:

How can she actually be a member of congress? I mean…. WHAT https://t.co/emeeDDn8iT
— Adam Kinzinger (@AdamKinzinger) November 17, 2021