dagblog - Comments for "Stephanie Murphy&#039;s defiant long game to keep Dems in power" http://dagblog.com/link/stephanie-murphys-defiant-long-game-keep-dems-power-34749 Comments for "Stephanie Murphy's defiant long game to keep Dems in power" en Early adopters vs late http://dagblog.com/comment/311497#comment-311497 <a id="comment-311497"></a> <p><em>In reply to <a href="http://dagblog.com/comment/311493#comment-311493">Yeah as to the gov. races but</a></em></p> <div class="field field-name-comment-body field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p>Early adopters vs late decides - some are just waiting to be persuaded, to see where the Kool Kidz and trendsetters go. I don't think Trump's steady non-budging 42% means what you think it means.</p> </div></div></div> Sun, 07 Nov 2021 21:23:40 +0000 PeraclesPlease comment 311497 at http://dagblog.com Yeah as to the gov. races but http://dagblog.com/comment/311493#comment-311493 <a id="comment-311493"></a> <p><em>In reply to <a href="http://dagblog.com/comment/311489#comment-311489">How media screws up horse</a></em></p> <div class="field field-name-comment-body field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p>Yeah as to the gov. races but they're not imagining things that lot of concerning districts and downticket positions flipped from Biden wins.</p> <p>And analysis by people I trust note that's actually looking worse in NJ than VA the more they look.</p> <p>And you can't spin things like Seattle (!!!) electing a Republican city attorney!!!</p> <p>After reading lots of stuff on Nov. 2, I think that the overall takeaway of it not being about Trump anymore is correct. Lots of all important centrist and swings voted to get rid of him but now they are back to their traditional preferences, expressing who they think should be in office and like before Trump, it's not always Democrats!</p> <p>Trump had a 40% approval rating, NOT 60%. That's only 7% more than the third nationally that has voted ultra conservative and/or nutsy nationally over my whole lifetime. And that was approval of how he was running the country, i.e. the economy in many cases, not necessarily wholehearted Majorie Taylor Greene style fandom. That Marjorie Taylor Greene style passionate activists have taken over a significant number of local GOP have made Congressional GOP afraid to challenge Trump doesn't mean that a great number of GOP leaners in the voting populace like that situation.</p> <p>I believe now more strongly that voters in all kinds of swing places voted for Biden only as NOT Trump. And they're back to their usual dissatisfaction with "tax and spend" liberalism and similar. The central Democratic party leaders bending to progressive desires doesn't help that situation.</p> <p>Maybe more Gen Z voting and more Boomers dying will change the situation, but I doubt it only because young people notoriously only turn out to vote for presidential elections (and maybe governor too.)</p> <p>What I suspect there is too much emphasis on now in both MSM and social media: Trump and his passionate fans. and loudmouth copycats like Cruz. I think that is the major distortion. Meanwhile, many Romney types still out there, not just in politics but in power positions. Look at the craze in "investing"- known in the past as gambling--rather than working, among young people, for example. Culture wars distract from that reality, furthermore those types just ridicule them as useless.</p> </div></div></div> Sun, 07 Nov 2021 20:23:34 +0000 artappraiser comment 311493 at http://dagblog.com How media screws up horse http://dagblog.com/comment/311489#comment-311489 <a id="comment-311489"></a> <p><em>In reply to <a href="http://dagblog.com/link/stephanie-murphys-defiant-long-game-keep-dems-power-34749">Stephanie Murphy&#039;s defiant long game to keep Dems in power</a></em></p> <div class="field field-name-comment-body field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p>How media screws up horse races?</p> <p> </p><div class="media_embed"> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" height="" width=""> <p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en">Looking at where they were when I started tracking this here, knowing that late returns from densely populated areas tend to skew Democratic, the press might hold back on characterizing a win narrow until the dust settles. <a href="https://t.co/92OiF13Q3A">https://t.co/92OiF13Q3A</a></p> — Schooley (@Rschooley) <a href="https://twitter.com/Rschooley/status/1457217410256105476?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 7, 2021</a></blockquote> <script async="" charset="utf-8" height="" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" width=""></script></div> </div></div></div> Sun, 07 Nov 2021 18:44:57 +0000 PeraclesPlease comment 311489 at http://dagblog.com