It's going to be a miracle if

artappraiser — Thu, 06 Oct 2022 03:59:04 +0000

In reply to These 9 House Democrats bucked the party and voted against a policing bill

It's going to be a miracle if Mandela Barnes doesn't pay for Kenosha and Wauwatosa 2020 et. al. and still wins over Senator Ron Johnson:

from Republicans gain ground in Senate races in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin

Polls show the two contests tightening as ad buys increase and GOP attacks on Democrats gain traction

@ Politico.com, Oct. 5

[....] In the last month, however, the momentum has shifted: Johnson has retaken the lead in polling, and though Oz is still behind Fetterman, he has narrowed the gap in election surveys. Strategists in both parties cited the barrage of TV commercials labeling the Democratic candidates as soft on crime as the driving factor. [....]

"Unfortunately, all of these races tend to revert to form,” said Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) “In states that are 50-50 states for the presidential election, they’re likely going to be 50-50 states for Senate elections.”

But the shift toward Republicans in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania puts them on more solid footing than they were in those states over the summer. If the GOP can hold onto both seats, the party only needs to defeat one Democrat in another state — likely Nevada or Georgia — to take back a majority in the Senate.

The Republican Party’s most successful reversal has taken place in Wisconsin. In early August, shortly after Barnes clinched the Democratic nomination, a Marquette University Law School poll found him beating Johnson by 7 percentage polls. A survey by the same organization this month put Johnson narrowly ahead by 1 point. It wasn’t an outlier: In eight of the last 10 polls cited by FiveThirtyEight, Johnson has led Barnes [....]

Between Labor Day and the end of September, Johnson and his GOP allies have spent more than $19 million on TV ads, while Barnes and Democratic outside groups have spent less than $14 million, according to the ad-tracking firm AdImpact. According to a media-tracker source, Republicans also had an edge during that time in terms of gross rating points — a measure of how many people see ads.

Mark Graul, a longtime Republican strategist in Wisconsin, said he makes a point to watch local news stations this time of year to see the political ads. He has been taken aback by the sheer number of negative spots against Barnes recently, nearly all about crime.

“This is about as overwhelming as I ever recall,” Graul said.

Maddy McDaniel, a spokeswoman for Barnes, said the “race is neck-and-neck despite Ron Johnson and his dark money donors spending millions on a smear campaign against Mandela Barnes.”

But Democrats are worried about the number of attack ads. Murphy said the spending disparity in the Wisconsin Senate race in recent weeks concerns him: “And it’s going to get worse. There’s going to be a tidal wave of billionaire and corporate Republican money in these races.” [.....]

In Wisconsin all it's going to take is those ads to remind everyone that doesn't live in the Milwaukee ghetto (and the few Woke who are around the universities) that they care more about crime than abortion. They can always travel to Illinois if they need an abortion, but they don't want coddling of crime anywhere. With the Waukesha Christmas parade trial going on. those ads will work double time. GOP money sure knows what it's doing there

And why do ppl vote that

PeraclesPlease — Sun, 25 Sep 2022 16:48:04 +0000

In reply to Is EXTREMELY well-made but I

And *why* do ppl vote that way?

https://digbysblog.net/2022/09/24/will-putting-immigration-back-on-the-m...

Is EXTREMELY well-made but I

artappraiser — Sun, 25 Sep 2022 16:02:19 +0000

In reply to But some Dems know how to msg

Is EXTREMELY well-made but I wonder how well it targets those swings in FL who would vote for him or is just preaching to the choir.

But some Dems know how to msg

PeraclesPlease — Sun, 25 Sep 2022 06:50:12 +0000

In reply to These 9 House Democrats bucked the party and voted against a policing bill

But some Dems know how to msg:

Marco Rubio is very upset this is getting retweeted. Please hit retweet for Val Demings. pic.twitter.com/e8WonpPSQP
— Adam Parkhomenko (@AdamParkhomenko) September 24, 2022

Outright complaints that they

artappraiser — Fri, 23 Sep 2022 05:34:46 +0000

In reply to These 9 House Democrats bucked the party and voted against a policing bill

Outright complaints that they are not team players:

Rep. Dan Kildee to @Axios on the GOP's attacks on crime: "They’re in a hunt to talk about anything except women’s reproductive rights. I mean, they’ll talk about the weather before they talk about that." https://t.co/dceCHeSob8
— Andrew Solender (@AndrewSolender) September 23, 2022

Retiring Democratic Rep. Cheri Bustos swiped at “members of our party who vilify police officers as a whole." https://t.co/dceCHeSob8
— Andrew Solender (@AndrewSolender) September 23, 2022

dagblog - Comments for "These 9 House Democrats bucked the party and voted against a policing bill"

It's going to be a miracle if

And *why* do ppl vote that

Is EXTREMELY well-made but I

But some Dems know how to msg

Outright complaints that they

And why do ppl vote that