dagblog - Comments for "History Never Repeats Itself"

And then, there is always

chucktrotter — Thu, 28 Oct 2010 02:42:33 +0000

In reply to History Never Repeats Itself

And then, there is always that thing called "A Presidential Veto." Don't get mad...Get even! The house may hold the purse strings, but remember when lard-ass Gingrich shut government down.

I don't mean any disrespect

fivefingershealth — Wed, 27 Oct 2010 07:30:56 +0000

In reply to History Never Repeats Itself

I don't mean any disrespect to the Big Dog!

Rove will not fire against

Gregor Zap — Wed, 27 Oct 2010 04:43:58 +0000

In reply to Indeed, it has already

Rove will not fire against the GOP:The Next Generation. he will join them, because they will enable him to grow his mountain of money and THAT is all the he has ever wanted.

Very good post. The

Oxy Mora — Wed, 27 Oct 2010 02:51:30 +0000

In reply to History Never Repeats Itself

Very good post. The conventional wisdom about high Rep. turnout and its flip side, the enthusiam gap, has yet to be determined. I'm no expert at all, but if the turnout is within one or two points in this midterm it seems to me that Obama will be holding a pretty strong hand, particularly if he doesn't compromise and then in 2012 runs against what will have been a tea party carnival--i.e., he was bi-partisan the first two years, got major legislation passed, then look what the tea party caused. If the tea party couldn't overthrow the government in the midterm with all the rhetoric the last 18 months, how would they be more effective in a general election? Particularly if there is some modest improvement in the economy. I also think as a practical matter that by the time two years roll around, the populace will have calmed down on the health care legislation, especially if someone in their immediate family has been helped by it.

Indeed, it has already

kgb999 — Tue, 26 Oct 2010 22:49:00 +0000

In reply to This whole campaign cycle has

Indeed, it has already started.

Huck, Limbaugh, Palin, et. al. are lining up their forces agains the old guard - of whom thus far only Rove is firing a few warning shots from behind his mountain of money.

Hey! That Larson guy is

kgb999 — Tue, 26 Oct 2010 22:47:00 +0000

In reply to History Never Repeats Itself

Hey! That Larson guy is predicting nearly the exact outcome for this cycle as I am. Of course, he seems qualifed to have an opinion ... me, notsomuch.

The overall point of your post is dead-on though. I kind of think that one of Obama's big weaknesses has been an obsession with reading every situation in the context of dynamics that existed during the Clinton presidency.

Great read, thanks.

This whole campaign cycle has

trkingmomoe — Tue, 26 Oct 2010 22:11:27 +0000

In reply to History Never Repeats Itself

This whole campaign cycle has been over hyped. The highly over emotional far right is going to be ready for a fight. I think the fight will begin over who is in the leadership of the republican party. Too big of a food fight and the republicans will end up in the weeds in 2012.

Excellent post. Obviously,

Michael Maiello — Tue, 26 Oct 2010 21:52:00 +0000

In reply to History Never Repeats Itself

Excellent post. Obviously, you're wrong. It is exactly like 1994. Courtney Love is still hot and remembers the lyrics to her own songs.

I think the biggest difference here is among the Republicans. In 1994 they had a strong leader and a clear script and they ran a national campaign that shocked everyone. This time the Republicans are at war with each other. I wouldn't dare call this a prediction as I haven't done the homework but I could certaionly understand in retrospect if some of these Tea Partiers don't do even worse than expected. They could also be a wash for turnout -- motivating the baddest of the right wing bad but driving away conservative-identifying independents. Or not. We really don't know.