dagblog - Comments for "Reid sure seems to be ahead in Nevada."

There's some other hidden

Beetlejuice — Sat, 30 Oct 2010 02:56:02 +0000

There's some other hidden power brokers at play here that don't want any publicity about their actions and maneuvers in the political arena to sway an election using money and whatever other abilities they have at their disposal. Angle is the perfect candidate...she's totally clueless she's being manipulated. Neither Lowden or Tark would have been so easily taken in...perhaps that's why Angle beat them both.

Actually, I am taking into

kgb999 — Sat, 30 Oct 2010 00:19:57 +0000

In reply to Hey, you aren't taking into

Actually, I *am* taking into account the independents in Nevada. I have us breaking against Reid by 62%. But we aren't *all* idiots. Reid does pretty good on the fiscal conservative thing, he does great on gun rights, excellent on land rights, and kicks Arizona's ass every time they try to steal our water. And don't forget Yucca. Those of us who actually produce stuff aren't going to let you idiots screw up our state even worse than it already is.

And just a quick FYI. A real independent would never use the term RINO ... let alone use the term "we" when discussing casting someone out of the republican party. Good luck with that "casting out" thing by the way ... ROTFLMAO. Hope you don't burst into a little ball of angry flames when the idiot-queen of Nevada loses. Because as of right now, she's losing.

Hmmmmmm. That isn't a bad

kgb999 — Fri, 29 Oct 2010 23:56:58 +0000

In reply to First off, I never take

Hmmmmmm. That isn't a bad thought at all. And his family has the cash on hand and the connections to funnel it. One thing seems increasingly certain: the support sure as hell isn't coming from the Rove-aligned camp.

I was figuring the Koches were tired of being a piggy bank and wanted to move into a more direct position of control. The battle lines for the impending GOP bloodletting are kind of look to be shaping up quickly. They've moved ALL the money out of the party proper and Rove is pretty much sitting on the whole piggy bank - and just started throwing some notable firebombs.

But damn. You're explanation is quite plausible. I know the belief Ensign is toast ... leaving Angle as the "Senior Senator" pushed my dad over the edge for Reid. I got the impression Krolicki sat out this race specifically because he liked the odds of fighting Ensign for a seat in 2012 instead of fighting Reid in 2010. Angle winning here would certainly complicate his situation somewhat.

1. AS we are all aware,

hsr0601 — Fri, 29 Oct 2010 23:53:52 +0000

In reply to Reid sure seems to be ahead in Nevada.

1. AS we are all aware, while many of small businesses are in financial trouble, lots of big name companies are reluctant to expand businesses, even with adequate capital.

From what I understand, they might take into account that plenty of ordinary households are still facing Stagnant Income Raises & Runaway Healthcare Cost, and beyond, say, low demand.

Given, the choice is clear, which one is going a long way to desperately needed job boost, tax credit for 95% of middle class or others.

2. I hope strongly that Nevada also will take a bold action into solar energy space just like California.

To my knowledge, solar industry became cost completive with the counterparts.

Hey, you aren't taking into

ausscyn — Fri, 29 Oct 2010 22:15:19 +0000

In reply to Reid sure seems to be ahead in Nevada.

Hey, you aren't taking into consideration all the independents in Nevada, most of whom are conservative. They are going to be voting for Angle. Those RINO's who are supporting Reid are all cast out of the Republican party & we HATE 'em.

First off, I never take

Beetlejuice — Fri, 29 Oct 2010 20:53:51 +0000

In reply to New poll out from the RJ

First off, I never take anything from the RJ as serious to consider when it comes to politics. I have to bounce their numbers with the Sun to find a happy medium I can live with that is closer to reality.

Second, please define the difference between bat-shit crazy and an astute political maneuver?

Too many people discount Angle as bat-shit crazy all while not realizing the political potential behind her candidacy. Even Angle is unaware of what's really happening.

For example, how does one rationally explain that $14 million in campaign donates from a state where unemployment and the housing market is the worst in all 50 states?...it didn't come from Nevada. Also, why would anyone be interested in promoting a door-mouse candidate with no apparent political capabilities being a Senator?

The real question everyone is not asking is who will really benefit from Harry loosing to Angle?

ENSIGN

Think about it. If Angle beats Harry, Ensign automatically becomes the Senior Senator for Nevada. And since he's up for re-election in 2012, what better way to prove to Nevadans they need to keep Ensign in office.. all sins forgiven...by having Angle parading around Capitol Hill making a political ass out of herself to the embarrassment of the state.

There's some political power players involved in the Angle campaign that's running below the radar screen and even Angle isn't aware she's being played for a sucker to bring Ensign's 2012 campaign back from the gates of hell.

Pretty sure Nevada counties

kgb999 — Fri, 29 Oct 2010 20:44:57 +0000

In reply to Thanks. A frivolous

Pretty sure Nevada counties have all gone to e-voting. They have the capacity to release the "uncertified" results more or less real-time. Don't know how they plan to do it specifically though. If they do it like the primaries, there will be an "election night reporting" web site that gives the results as the pricincts check in.

New poll out from the RJ

kgb999 — Fri, 29 Oct 2010 20:07:45 +0000

In reply to Reid sure seems to be ahead in Nevada.

New poll out from the RJ shows 49/45 in the favor of Angle (+/- 4%). Superficially, it seems to show a +1 GOP swing (but the data required to see if this is assumption is accurate has not been released).

The sampling, made up of 42 percent Republicans though the GOP represents just 37 percent of Nevada registered voters, reflects a turn-out edge typical for a normal mid-term election and roughly reflects turnout trends during early voting.
The Reid campaign called the Mason-Dixon poll "meaningless because the fact is that more Democrats have voted than Republicans so far." In sheer numbers, that's true, with Democrats out-voting Republicans by at least 10,000 among the more than 300,000 ballots cast as of Wednesday night.

Most important takeaway for the purpose of the topic of this thread is that the polling doesn't appear support my main thesis of a GOP swing to Reid. I still stand behind it, but this poll doesn't support me. That acknowledged, unless things have changed substantially for this election, "sheer numbers" is what wins it. So, again. By the numbers Reid is certainly still ahead.

I don't feel too bad sticking to my premise in the face of contrary polling numbers ... obstinacy of opinion seems to be the rule of the day ... those riding polling numbers to form their opinion don't seem to feel bad sticking to their "enthusiasm gap" assumption in the face of contrary facts on the ground; nor do the pollsters who are heavily oversampling Republicans.

One other interesting thought. By the time this poll was completed - nearly 50% of the electorate had already voted. I wonder what effect, if any, that has.

Thanks. A frivolous

Flavius — Fri, 29 Oct 2010 19:37:06 +0000

In reply to And one more clarification on

Thanks.

A frivolous question. When will we know Tuesday night? Do we have to wait for remote E.Ds that trickle in Wednesday morning?

I hope you are right. Some

Oxy Mora — Fri, 29 Oct 2010 19:34:19 +0000

In reply to I'm not the only one who's

I hope you are right. Some fairly recent numbers coming out over on HP, don't know if you've seen them.