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    Guy Cecil, Chairmen of The DSCC Explain's Ground Game, The Path to Keeping The Senate

    By trkingmomoe on Sat, 10/25/2014 - 4:38am |

    There has been so much spin about how the Democrats will lose the Senate this year by beltway pundits that most will be surprised at how well the Democrats will do in the end.  This election the Democratic Party has funded by the tune of $66 million dollars GOTV effort called The Bannock Street Project.  This effort is in all the states with competitive Senate seats. They started out by registering voters in low turn out parts of the states that are the natural base to the party.  These are voters that are normally not polled in the final weeks before election because of LV models.  Most are voters that have never voted before.  The get out to vote offices follow through with further contacts to make sure they do vote.  It is a system that helps the voter get what is needed to register and transportation also if needed to vote. What it comes down to is who gets their supporters to the polls.

     Guy Cecil on Bloomberg's Chalk Talk last Thursday explains how the DSCC will keep the Senate in Democratic control.  It give a glimpse into the extent of what they have done to get the disenfranchised able to vote. 

    This is another segment of the interview that is very interesting. 

     

     

    I was going to post this in a comment but it really needed a thread of it's own.  The movement is now with the Democrats.  I also think Guy Cecil is the best in this field.  It is his job to keep his people optimistic but I do think we will hold the Senate. This is the first time since 2006 I have not worked on GOTV.  I have seen it build a large Democratic base in Florida and work winning elections. 

    Now it is your turn to give your comment on what you see in this election.  

    Comments

    I am adding this into the comments because it explains why the Republicans are doing so badly when they should have locked in this race by now.  It was recorded a month ago on Charley Rose.  It is 10 mins. long but worth the time.  


    by trkingmomoe on Sat, 10/25/2014 - 5:40am

    Thanks. So we (i.e. the dems) have a chance.News to me.


    by Flavius on Sat, 10/25/2014 - 7:12am

    Look at it this way.  GOP has screwed up.  They don't have the edge they once had.  They should be way ahead because they are playing on their own turf. Look at the money that has been spent and all the GOP seem to manage is a bunch of toss ups.  


    by trkingmomoe on Sat, 10/25/2014 - 8:51am

    Oh please, oh please, oh please let this be true!   I am so sick of hearing, even on MSNBC, the nightly beltway meme that the Dems are almost certainly going to lose control of the Senate.  It's nice to finally hear a counter-argument. 


    by MrSmith1 on Sat, 10/25/2014 - 9:59am

    It is a historic election and the national news media is too worried about their bottom line to get out into the field and track a story. They are dependent on Koch money because the economy isn't as good as it once was.  There isn't the variety of advertisers we used to see.  CNN is going through a big lay off right now.  People want real news, If the national media don't adapt to this new generation they are going to follow the GOP into the dust bin of history. 

    There has been more poor quality polling this cycle.  Sam Wang covers it in his article last week in The New Republic.  

    The introduction of new survey methods may have changed the accuracy of polls—for better or for worse—and partisan polls are more frequent this year, creating another source of uncertainty. In fact, the probabilities offered by poll aggregators might not even be the best way to think about this year's Senate forecasts, in part because we tend to mentally round probabilities up to 100 percent.

    http://www.newrepublic.com/article/119844/2014-midterm-predictions-republicans-not-guaranteed-win-senate 

     


    by trkingmomoe on Sat, 10/25/2014 - 4:27pm

    As an undecided American voter I consider it my patriotic duty to educate myself by watching political attack ads just before the election.

    I make my voting decision as late as possible cause a new attack ad may come out at the last minute.

    This election I wonder who cared enough about saving us from Puerto Rican terrorists or transgenders in restrooms to spend loads of cash for the ads.


    by NCD on Sat, 10/25/2014 - 3:16pm

    I believe a case can be made that the reason John McCain has not, after all this time, secured the border is that he has been forced to appear on Meet The Press every Sunday.   If we can just pass legislation barring him from any further appearances, he can finally get back to building that fence 24 / 7 / 365.  (P.S. 24 / 7 / 365 s also the combination to McCain's locker in the Senate cloakroom.  But never mind that.) 

     

     


    by MrSmith1 on Sat, 10/25/2014 - 3:19pm

    Maybe Meet the Press could be held from the border, just east of Nogales. Problems might develop though if a transgender Puerto Rican terrorist given clemency by Bill Clinton showed up asking where are the rest rooms. It is issues like this that make America what it is today, a ripe target for The Party of Koch and Bush Belly Snitches.


    by NCD on Sat, 10/25/2014 - 5:13pm

    I loved the characterization of the belly snitches, so fitting. 


    by Resistance on Sat, 10/25/2014 - 7:34pm

    I missed this for some reason

    Heilman is supposed to be a beer.

    And Helpermin, sounds like some guy who was hired by Heilmann to sell beer. hahahahah

    I do not like these guys.

    I never liked these guys.

    I can get better ideas from Mika whom I despise. hahahahah

    Well let us see how bad it will be in eight days.

    I just see negatives.

    But I am always negative.

    Maybe I am a hedgebetter.

    the end


    by Richard Day on Mon, 10/27/2014 - 6:48pm

    They are not liked among liberals that is why I found this so interesting. 

    Florida AA turn out is high.  Duval county had a 66% increase in turn out compared to 2010 on Saturday.  Duval is Jacksonville. Osceola county had a whopping 191% increase in AA voting on Saturday.That is the Kissimmee/St Cloud just south of Orlando(Thank you Dreamers, you kids ROCK!)

    The counties around Tampa Bay had a good increase. Big Dog was in town yesterday with Crist to do "Souls to the Polls" in Tampa. I haven't seen the numbers yet for this week end. Hillsboro County, which is Tampa, has now had more early votes at this point then then they collected for the whole 2010 race.

    When early voting started last Monday the Republicans had a 12% lead in mail in ballots in the state.  But since then the Democratic Party has turn out to reduce that lead by Sunday to 7.6%. That is picking off 1% a day and a week to go.  In the last midterm at this point the Repugs was 18% ahead in ballots. The Bannock Street Project was not in Florida this has all been done by local party organizing.  

    Remember Florida's Governor's race is a toss up lean R.  They gave Romney the lead in Florida too.  Hmm...I think they don't really know as much as they think they do. 

    Scott's campaign is in a panic.  Their internal poll on Saturday sucked.  Bits and pieces has been leaking out even though they put it in a draw and didn't release it.  His female support tanked  among Republican women.  In general that will be the case for Repubs across the country.  

    The Dems are having a breaking record turn out in North Carolina. That credit goes to Moral Mondays.

    If you are wondering why the Democratic Party would open a office up in the Arctic Circle, Sam Wang rates the votes in AK worth 100% power compared to the next one on the list as IA worth 36.8% power.  A vote in MI is worth 0.1% in that Senate race. It could very well mean that the Indigenous Peoples of Alaska will be deciding who will control the Senate in 2015. The closer the race the more your vote is worth. 

    This really is an historic election because of all the toss ups.  Since the Reagan election in 1980, the Republicans have never defeated more then 2 sitting incumbents in any given year. They couldn't do it in any of their wave years either. 

    Democrates have been bullied for the last 35 years and we are having a hard time shaking that grey cloud away.  


    by trkingmomoe on Mon, 10/27/2014 - 10:22pm

    a


    by Richard Day on Mon, 10/27/2014 - 6:49pm

    I ran across this ad by Blue America Pac.  This is such a catchy tune and rather fun.  It is loud so watch you volume. 

     

     


    by trkingmomoe on Thu, 10/30/2014 - 1:43am