One thing I think a lot of people are underestimating is that the health care system in this country is ready to crack and both users and providers are at wit's end, literally suicidal in enough cases, so the number of people who have someone near and dear experiencing this is huge.
It may very well be more of that and that the effect of Trump hate is being over-estimated by all of us news junkies and Twitter users and the like.
As far as Obama-Trump voters, a reminder that Trump promised to fix it!
I'm not sure that the tagline "Medicare for all" is the best, though. Not if people read it as Medicare as it is. There's plenty enough bankruptcies among the elderly due to things Medicare doesn't cover.
But I do think there is a hunger for someone like Bernie emphasizing the topic, it shows up as a priority in poll after poll after poll, people who access the system are ready to crack and those who don't are frightened of same.
but things still change every day and it's not over til it's over:
I don't think it's simple at all. And even if it were, the fact that you wouldn't learn the identity of the not-Bernie candidate until *after Super Tuesday* (at which point 38% of delegates will have been chosen) is a huge advantage to Bernie. https://t.co/i2fF2DbIut
BUTTIGIEG had the biggest increase in the number of voters who are considering him (maybe the most important metric in our poll). KLOBUCHAR and SANDERS also gained here.
Favorability ratings changes were pretty mixed; a lot of candidates saw both their favorables and unfavorables increase. But KLOBUCHAR had the biggest net increase and BIDEN the biggest net decrease. pic.twitter.com/l0rl31oNgQ
p.s. Also related to the debate. This is a bit technical.
Our model was handling the debate kind of stupidly, in that it assumed the impact would be realized in polls immediately. In the real world, of course, there's a lag because it takes several days to get new polls.
In other words, when it ran this AM and saw no change in polls, the model assumed the debate had no impact. Which is wrong; we can't tell yet if there's an impact. We've changed it so the model now assumes there's a lag of ~5 days before debates are fully priced into the polling.
Comments
One thing I think a lot of people are underestimating is that the health care system in this country is ready to crack and both users and providers are at wit's end, literally suicidal in enough cases, so the number of people who have someone near and dear experiencing this is huge.
It may very well be more of that and that the effect of Trump hate is being over-estimated by all of us news junkies and Twitter users and the like.
As far as Obama-Trump voters, a reminder that Trump promised to fix it!
I'm not sure that the tagline "Medicare for all" is the best, though. Not if people read it as Medicare as it is. There's plenty enough bankruptcies among the elderly due to things Medicare doesn't cover.
But I do think there is a hunger for someone like Bernie emphasizing the topic, it shows up as a priority in poll after poll after poll, people who access the system are ready to crack and those who don't are frightened of same.
by artappraiser on Sat, 02/08/2020 - 6:17pm
but things still change every day and it's not over til it's over:
by artappraiser on Sat, 02/08/2020 - 7:14pm