MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
A little evidence that Newt, while suffering under the blistering gang tackle in Iowa, has been able to solidify a base of support in Iowa.
Some interesting points from ARG [emphasis mine]:
Among likely Republican caucus goers saying they will definitely participate in the caucus, Gingrich leads with 22%, followed by Romney at 20%, Paul at 17%, Perry at 10%, and Bachmann at 8%.
Among likely Republican caucus-goers saying they are supporters of the Tea Party, Gingrich leads with 29%, followed by Paul at 17%, Romney at 16%, and Bachmann and Perry at 11% each. Among likely caucus goers saying they are not supporters of the Tea Party or that they are undecided about the Tea Party, Paul and Romney lead with 22% each, followed by Gingrich at 15%.
It may be that the attack ads on Newt has given him an air of being the anti-GOP-Establishment candidate among a number of the party's alienated and disillusioned.
The possibility that Newt will not only achieve a close third place behind Ron and Mitt, but also grab second place is definitely still alive. Who knows a surprise victory may be in the works, but I doubt that given his lack of ground game.