MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
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Five Thirty Eight"s Senate and House forecasts
By artappraiser on Wed, 09/12/2018 - 5:21pm |Here's the Senate link, I'll put the House report in the first comment
URL:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/
- 3567 reads
Comments
House:
by artappraiser on Wed, 09/12/2018 - 5:23pm
I too swear by 538 .Including as either stated or implied by them today
o elections get decided in September
o the current polls were taken in August
o even so its safe to predict democrats will win the popular vote in November by at least by 5%
o but to take over the House takes a number higher than that.
Which suggests to me , maybe by Columbus Day we'll know
by Flavius on Wed, 09/12/2018 - 11:55pm
by artappraiser on Wed, 09/12/2018 - 5:26pm
I noted this analytic twitter thread about the election in general by the AP's "western political" reporter because it was "liked" by Alex Burns & Maggie Haberman of the NYT, whom I follow on twitter
by artappraiser on Wed, 09/12/2018 - 5:34pm
by artappraiser on Wed, 09/12/2018 - 6:28pm
@ Cook Political Report:
by artappraiser on Wed, 09/12/2018 - 7:11pm
It's a real thing and it's a mystery to me why I don't see more GOP campaigns claiming they are responsible for it and saying that the Dems will kill it, even tho Obama could claim ownership:
by artappraiser on Thu, 09/13/2018 - 7:57pm
The reluctance comes from shaking pom poms at the results of a crack high.
The economy received stimulus high in the market.
It doesn't get more anti-Keynes than that.
by moat on Thu, 09/13/2018 - 8:06pm
Dems betting on the bubble effect of tribalism, those GOP with wise counsel will try to work against that:
by artappraiser on Sat, 09/15/2018 - 2:05pm
p.s. right after in my feed, indications of no bottom of bubble delusions for this tribe?
by artappraiser on Sat, 09/15/2018 - 2:08pm