MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
Krugman is puzzled by the European Central Bank:
I’ve been hearing various attempts to explain the ECB’s utterly bizarre refusal to cut interest rates... The most popular story seems to be that the ECB wants to “hold politicians’ feet to the fire”, letting them know that they won’t get relief unless they do what’s necessary (whatever that is). This really doesn’t make any sense. If we’re talking about enforcing austerity and wage cuts in the periphery, how much more incentive do these economies need?
He is certainly right that if the goal is resolving the crisis, or even price stability, then refusing further rate cuts is mighty strange. But who says those are the goals? His final question is meant to be rhetorical, but it really isn't. Because the more austerity you want, the more enforcement you need.
[....]
It's a tenet of liberalism -- and a premise of the conversation Krugman is part of -- that there are conflicting opinions, but not conflicting interests. But sometimes, when people seem to keep doing things with the wrong outcome, it's because that's the outcome they actually want. Paranoid? Conspiracy theory? Maybe. On the other hand, here's Deutsches Bundsbank president Jens Weidmann:
Relieving stress in the sovereign bond markets eases imminent funding pain but blurs the signal to sovereigns about the precarious state of public finances and the urgent need to act. Macroeconomic imbalances and unsustainable public and private debt in some member states lie at the heart of the sovereign debt crisis. It may appeal to politicians to abstain from unpopular decisions and try to solve problems through monetary accommodation. However, it is up to monetary policymakers to fend off these pressures.
That seems pretty clear. From the perspective of the central banker, resolving the crisis too painlessly would be bad, because that would allow governments to "avoid unpopular decisions." And it's true: If there's something you really want governments to do, but you don't think they will make the necessary decisions except in a crisis, then it is perfectly rational to prolong the crisis until you see the right decisions being made.
Comments
This article tells it, like it really is.
by Resistance on Thu, 06/14/2012 - 8:16pm
Did you happen to notice the author is talking about the EU? Just checking.
Because there are some significant differences in some of the things that have happened here and what is happening there, i.e., our Fed has cut interest rates, not raised them, etc.
The blogger is suggesting (to economic writers like Krugman) that the EU powers that be may not doing what they are doing for financial reasons alone (which people like Krugman think are crazy reasons) but to subject the workers there to some pain so that they get used to having not as many socialist-style benefits, job guarantees, pay, hours and perks, as they have come to expect. That's just a suggestion, he has no proof, it's like a shout-out: "hey someone should check this possibility out."
But even if he's right, I got the impression you didn't care what happened to foreign workers, i.e., you think we should put tariffs on the stuff they make for export, etc, that our only consideration should be American workers' jobs and benefits?
by artappraiser on Thu, 06/14/2012 - 10:28pm