To me an underrated political shift has been the change in the meaning and function of the "message bill" between the 2007-2008 period and the 2019-2020 one. https://t.co/rkdoR6uWAjpic.twitter.com/uyWczLriyF
Old Message Bill = stuff that sounds good and is helpful for candidates in marginal seats to run on, even if it doesn't genuinely reflect party priorities
New Message Bill = promise everything to all the constituency groups even if it doesn't reflect a realistic vote count
New voters are ideologically moderate and mostly share largely the same priorities as vote switchers. Democratic operatives convincing themselves otherwise has been a giant disaster that might destroy American democracy.
Working class voters tend to have conservative views on social issues (school prayer is reverse coded) and moderate to center-left views on economic issues, which is why Democratic politicians that talk more about economic issues do better with them. pic.twitter.com/fqV3Lh8Tho
p.s. Enrique is in Brooklyn, elite white lefty central, a bit cynical because he has to deal with their shtick all the time:
All well and good until burglars swipe the autographed copy of White Fragility from the display case at the Berkeley Carroll School, at which point the local gentry will be demanding hard prison time. https://t.co/06gs3343TC
not blind yet, I do see political messaging in this breaking news:
Sen. Elizabeth Warren on CBS: "All 50 Democrats, all 50, have agreed to the voting rights protection bill, we're just hung on this procedure that effectively gives Mitch McConnell a veto."
I think tidying up the ECA is a good idea, but either way our primary defense against people screwing with the vote count is the courts, and we can’t really test how that works until we’re already in the crisis, though court performance in 2020 was promising.
I don't buy it. Combine 4 hour waiting lines in minority & student districts and minority voters & students dropped off the rolls and vigilante poll watchers intimidating voters, and some high profile prosecutions for mistaken voting, etc, i do think it makes enough difference to sway elections. I don't think Štace Abrams was wrong for thinking Kemp as secretary-of-state dropped enough voters to make himself governor. Their strategy has long been "a few here, a few there, and it adds up". And then there are mischievous election machines (not Dominion, curiously enough) that are never quite examined properly, don't have regular audits, many don't have a paper trail, and there have been enough cases where they "mistakenly" get hooked to the internet - see Jennifer Cohn. When Ivanka invests in a voting machine company you wonder. No, it's not the only game in town, but in a closely divided electorate vote suppression and mangling can have a disproportional effect. Did these guy average over *all* elections, or the more important close races?
As for water... sure, they've got water shortages in Chad (and Beijing), but...
Whew! Sen @TammyDuckworth just said: l can’t believe Senators in this room are having pages bring them water at just the right temperature - with ice or not - but won’t vote to protect against a law that keeps ppl from receiving water on a voting line. pic.twitter.com/EEcLWp1GNI
Nevertheless, 3-4 hour lines for students and minorities in suspected Democratic precincts are the big deal, along with slashing Democrats from voter rolls badly, not that they might need water. But no discomfort too big for the Republicans to discourage the other side from voting.
Comments
by artappraiser on Fri, 01/14/2022 - 6:54pm
from another thread:
by artappraiser on Fri, 01/14/2022 - 6:58pm
If nothing else, this is definitely part of the Trump mystique
by artappraiser on Sat, 01/15/2022 - 2:52pm
p.s. Enrique is in Brooklyn, elite white lefty central, a bit cynical because he has to deal with their shtick all the time:
by artappraiser on Sat, 01/15/2022 - 3:11pm
not blind yet, I do see political messaging in this breaking news:
by artappraiser on Tue, 01/18/2022 - 1:44pm
by artappraiser on Wed, 01/19/2022 - 1:58am
I don't buy it. Combine 4 hour waiting lines in minority & student districts and minority voters & students dropped off the rolls and vigilante poll watchers intimidating voters, and some high profile prosecutions for mistaken voting, etc, i do think it makes enough difference to sway elections. I don't think Štace Abrams was wrong for thinking Kemp as secretary-of-state dropped enough voters to make himself governor. Their strategy has long been "a few here, a few there, and it adds up". And then there are mischievous election machines (not Dominion, curiously enough) that are never quite examined properly, don't have regular audits, many don't have a paper trail, and there have been enough cases where they "mistakenly" get hooked to the internet - see Jennifer Cohn. When Ivanka invests in a voting machine company you wonder. No, it's not the only game in town, but in a closely divided electorate vote suppression and mangling can have a disproportional effect. Did these guy average over *all* elections, or the more important close races?
by PeraclesPlease on Wed, 01/19/2022 - 3:19am
As for water... sure, they've got water shortages in Chad (and Beijing), but...
Nevertheless, 3-4 hour lines for students and minorities in suspected Democratic precincts are the big deal, along with slashing Democrats from voter rolls badly, not that they might need water. But no discomfort too big for the Republicans to discourage the other side from voting.
by PeraclesPlease on Thu, 01/20/2022 - 2:35am