Why We Don’t Know the True Death Rate for Covid-19

By artappraiser on Fri, 04/17/2020 - 9:00pm |

NYT - Why We Don’t Know the True Death Rate for Covid-19 https://t.co/8H2vsCFHlZ
— Small Wars Journal (@smallwars) April 17, 2020

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https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/17/us/coronavirus-death-rate.html?smid=tw-share

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About a fifth of U.S. virus deaths are linked to nursing facilities ‘They’re Death Pits’: Virus Claims at Least 7,000 Lives in U.S. Nursing Homes

More than six weeks after the first coronavirus deaths in a nursing home, outbreaks unfold across the country. .

Caption:A patient was evacuated from the Magnolia Rehabilitation and Nursing Center in Riverside, Calif., last week. Credit...Chris Carlson/Associated Press

By Farah Stockman, Matt Richtel, Danielle Ivory and Mitch Smith

@ NYTimes.com, April 17, 2020, Updated 7:15 p.m. ET

by artappraiser on Fri, 04/17/2020 - 9:26pm

the number of care home cases and deaths here is the work of these reporters themselves, apparently no one else has bothered to tally so far, and that's just with using the reported stuff, not counting the still hidden and unreported? The paragraph to note:

Overall, about a fifth of deaths from the virus in the United States have been tied to nursing homes or other long-term care facilities, the Times review of cases shows. And more than 36,500 residents and employees across the nation have contracted it.

by artappraiser on Fri, 04/17/2020 - 10:08pm

Holyoke Soldier's Home: 56 dead and The number keeps climbing every day.

⚡️56. 56 veterans are now dead in #Holyoke. The number keeps climbing every day. “State reports 56 resident deaths at Holyoke Soldiers' Home” https://t.co/WxtlAZxlQA via @WMassNews #WhereIsWilkie
— Paul Rieckhoff (@PaulRieckhoff) April 17, 2020

by artappraiser on Fri, 04/17/2020 - 10:46pm

If you scream in a veteran's home does anyone hear you? What reaction would there be if it were 56 dead in a bar shooting or club fire?

by artappraiser on Fri, 04/17/2020 - 10:47pm

Vets and Navy ships and pulling out troops back to let Russia & ISIS take over, plus weakening NATO and our Pacific presence - the Republicans hate the troops. When if ever will they lose the military vote, this presumed "better on security" that made Democratic president's choose Republicans for Defense?

And how can they just abuse Vets with impunity and their own constituencies just let it go? I'm glad my Dad missed out on this horrid episode. We're a long way past "stop the gays" and other issues of the 70s/80s culture wars. The Cold War's been forgot. Just 30 years after we won it. Without a bullet.

by PeraclesPlease on Sat, 04/18/2020 - 12:58am

CNN: 37,000 people in the United States have died from coronavirus.
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) April 18, 2020

by artappraiser on Fri, 04/17/2020 - 11:03pm

NY State official fatalities stats worksheet sorted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, comorbidities, also counties

The risk factors for #COVID19 are intriguing.

Major ones: age, sex (male), hypertension, diabetes and obesity, also, dementia but likely as a correlate of age.

Surprisingly, asthma, smoking and 'immune system impairment' are NOT risk factors. https://t.co/yy9BAOuJ63
— Prof Francois Balloux (@BallouxFrancois) April 18, 2020

Note the margins of the spreadsheet have links such as click here to see nursing home fatalities by county which gives you a word doc with the names of the nursing homes included

by artappraiser on Sat, 04/18/2020 - 3:39am

At Least 14 N.Y. Nursing Homes Have Had More Than 25 Virus Deaths Each Until the state released its accounting, residents’ relatives had been denied information on how hard homes had been hit.

By John Leland @ NYTimes.com, updated April 18

At least 14 nursing homes in New York City and its suburbs have recorded more than 25 coronavirus-related deaths, according to new data from the state Health Department that shows the virus’s impact on individual facilities, and five had 40 or more.

The homes that have been hit hardest are the Cobble Hill Health Center, a 364-bed nonprofit facility in Brooklyn, which reported 55 deaths, and the Kings Harbor Multicare Center, a for-profit, 720-bed facility in the Bronx, which had 45.

The 10 homes with the most deaths were all in the city.

The data did not include facilities with fewer than five deaths, and it did not include residents who died in hospitals.

Until the state released its partial accounting on Friday, families with relatives in nursing homes had repeatedly been denied information, which was unavailable from official sources and often impossible to get from the homes themselves.

Complaints from family members about a lack of disclosure from homes started in mid-March, when visitors were barred from entering facilities.

New York's nursing homes, more than those in any other state, have been devastated by the virus. As of Wednesday, 2,690 deaths had been linked to such facilities — an increase of more than 1,200 in just a week. Nearly a quarter of the virus-related deaths in the state involved nursing homes or assisted living facilities.

The newly released data, which the Health Department had said for weeks it would not provide, citing a need to protect residents’ privacy, included just 69 facilities in 13 counties, out of 613 licensed nursing homes in the state.

Asked on Thursday why officials were taking so long to release the data, Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo said nursing homes were “dealing with hellacious situations” — multiple health crises, staff shortages, a lack of protective masks and gowns — that made it difficult for some to file the necessary paperwork on time. Mr. Cuomo said the state would release data on more homes as it became available. [....]

by artappraiser on Sun, 04/19/2020 - 4:00am

Why We Don’t Know the True Death Rate for Covid-19

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