MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
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The End Has Begun
By Michael Wolraich on Wed, 05/07/2008 - 11:23pm | PoliticsA couple of days ago, I argued that after Tuesday, the race would essentially be over because there would no longer be a way for Clinton to win the popular vote, her only remaining plausible argument for superdelegates to vote for her.
I reran the numbers based on the tonight's results, which were substantially better for Obama than my conservative assumptions.Clinton would now have to convince at least 75% of the remaining superdelegates to vote for her in order to win the nomination. To win the popular vote, including Florida, she would need to win by average of 65% (a 20 point spread) in the remaining states, which is essentially impossible.
Meanwhile, the pundits have begun talking about the endgame even sooner than I anticipated...
CNN: Delegate counter: Can Obama be overtaken?
ABC: Hillary Squeaks Out Win in Indiana, But Will Her Campaign Stay Afloat?
NYT: Options Dwindling for Clinton
CBS: Analysis: Clinton Barely Hangs On
TPM: Is Hillary Running Out Of "Game Changers"?
FOX: Apocalyptic Sect Leader Arrested on Sex Charges
So allow me to reiterate, this will all be over soon.
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