Nate Silver just warnin' about Black and Hispanic voters:
There's some polling evidence to suggest Trump is performing better than in 2016 with Black and Hispanic voters, especially younger Black and Hispanic voters.
But polls have long had trouble reaching representative samples of Black and Hispanic voters (especially younger ones).
There's no especially pithy conclusion here. It's just something people need to keep in the back of their heads and perhaps approach overly precise claims about shifts in the Black or Hispanic vote with a little bit of caution.
Say their names indeed, I'm sure many of them were Afro-American. Remember when we were supposed to care about that? Instead everyone, including wealthy basketball players, Obama and Biden and numerous anarchists who would like to see the federal government fall, are encouraging staying on meme with solidarity with anti-police protests as a top priority right now to offer a lifeline to the Trump campaign. Start to wonder whether somehow the cop in Kenosha was a Putin agent. The lack of perspective, geez. It's just as irrational as white evangelical republicans caring a great deal about fetuses and very little about suffering live children. I'm getting sick of hearing how dumb Fox news viewers are, there's plenty of dumb people on the left who imagine police abuse has continuously going up (rather than slowly going down) instead of realizing that what really happened, what they are seeing, is the results of everyone having a video camera. Maybe we need to video cam every single Covid death and disability
The more Jared on teevee, the better chance Biden has?
"Jared Kushner, the son of a billionaire whose only professional achievements have been handed to him by members of his family, has taken a bold swipe at NBA players for their wealth and privilege."
"Jared Kushner, the son of a billionaire whose only professional achievements have been handed to him by members of his family, has taken a bold swipe at NBA players for their wealth and privilege."
It's socialism for anyone smart enough to steal from big international banks or Magnificent Mile luxury boutiques and the rest of you schlumpfs are screwed?
This whole meme gvies me a deja vus allover again from NYC back in the Reagan era, there were corporate raiders and following in their example, there were also dudes if they needed a car they just pulled out a gun and hijacked one, and if the needed those sneakers or a Walkman, they just used a knife to get one. Cause after all, Carl Icahn and Ronnie said it was okay, better than being a welfare queen, showing some gumption hustle and work ethic, not just sitting on the sofa collecting gummint checks...
Every one except the looters and some of the activists think the looting and violence is wrong. But the only way to stop violence is with violence. That's the problem but eventually they're going to have to face it. It's not going to burn itself out. The looters and the violent aren't going to just get tired of it and stop.
since I see a lot of sturm and drang after the GOP convention small "bounce" in Trump numbers, I thought this was a nice contarian tweet to that zeitgeist:
The amount of old white men we’ve sold these Biden-Harris signs to today. I’m feeling hopeful. pic.twitter.com/0eFUTUsTHM
Melania and Jared Kushner and Ivanka are big fans of the Kennedys and their Camelot myth. “It’s no coincidence that all three of their children—Arabella, Joseph, and Theodore—share names with Kennedy family members. Edward ‘Ted’ Kennedy and Joseph Kennedy you know; Arabella Kennedy was JFK and Jackie’s stillborn daughter,” Winston Wolkoff writes.
Creepy.
“she didn’t want to have to use the same shower and toilet as former First Lady Michelle Obama and was waiting for the bathroom to be renovated.” https://t.co/2TIKFhhdBU
Black Chicagoan M.D. (a pediatric cardiovascular specialist) and Cubs fan angrily tweets that Jason Heyward should go fuck himself:
On 7/31 #JanariRicks 9 y/o was shot in the chest on his porch, his mother held him while he died. Heyward went 2-4. The next day #JasonHeyward went 1-4. 38 children have died from gun violence in Chicago and you commend him for sitting out NOW. You and he can fuck yourselves.
Obviously, but again we see cops who don't understand the community they're policing. I'm sure the ducks saw the red background and thought it meant stop. Next thing you see is the cops misunderstanding the confusion for resistance and they shoot some poor little duckling.
Is clear that demanding order necessitates fascism! Chaos is freedom. Ducks should be able to chose where they want to walk, whether they want to wear a face mask or carry a gun. And cars should be able to drive over them if they can't learn to walk fast enough.
apparently rules of what White House press conferences are for have descended to the absolute depths of petty political hell:
.@PressSec Kayleigh McEnany: "We found Nancy Pelosi going into her hair salon. We will be playing the video on loop for all of you to see during the duration of this introduction...Apparently the rules do not apply to Speaker Nancy Pelosi."
Easy to play if that's your game: I wonder how Kayleigh gets her fancy blond highlighting, blowouts with curling iron work, eyebrow and eyelash extensions, television makeup jobs and fancy manicures
oy, that story is gonna rile them, it's gonna be all over talk radio. Affirmative action & cheatin' college elites all in one story, both some of the least favorite things in Wisconsin, .my great grandpa came from (pick a European country) to Ellis Island with two cents in his pocket and nobody ever gave him anything....my great grandma scrubbed floors on her hands and knees..worked the farm for food with a full time job in a factory...even the inner city version, it's get off your ass kid, nobody's gonna give you nothing..
UK overrides Brexit treaty #brexit withdrawal treaty and Northern Ireland protocol - a potentially HUGE move in negotiations; major ructions in Whitehall - my latest via @FT https://t.co/UU3VT2Yeta
In a 1987 Democratic primary debate, Biden sprinkled Kinnock’s phrases into his own speech and forgot to credit him – a blunder many believe cost him the presidency
“A different ‘peace flight’ took place last Thursday in Tel Aviv [when) a mystery band of pranksters flew a drone high above the city’s main square, dropping hundreds of bags of free weed on the stunned passersby below.” @Benhartman is on the case. https://t.co/y8wercnBhd
hoist on his own petard at only 19 (hey kid, imagine you lived several more decades, all the identity groups you might have to apologize to according to your standards):
The president is the Greatest Self-Parodist of All Time.
But this 19-year-old leftist candidate for the Kansas state legislature may be The Greatest Self-Parodist of
Wyandotte County. https://t.co/psz9GmzcF8
I am poor & disabled & therefore need affordable accessible housing. This simply does'nt exist in chicago. My friends want to help me raise $ so I'm not forced into houselessness by the city of Chicago. Plz help by donating &/or sharing this Go Fund Me. https://t.co/6lbKCSaLb7
— Black Trans Disabled Lives Matter (@ItsTransFat) September 7, 2020
They also claim she has to move. Anyway, 9000 donors in a nation of 330 million is still tiny, and who knows how much of this is sock puppet from some GOP big pockets donor using different names.
Have no desire right now to do any news thread on the Woodward book cause too much shit flying all at once in different topic directions. But this is intriguing enough to share:
October 2016, the message was he should drop out or face a big loss after Access Hollywood. The message now, attack. https://t.co/ms2cbhlmtq
This is why all the "let's have more urban density!" fans like Yglesias are big losers for the foreseeable future. Stacking us up in cubicles on small pieces of land as yummy food for viruses = ain't gonna happen now, people who have the money or ability to do so are going to spread out as much as they can. It's the poor who are gonna be stuck in dense environments. Many of which will turn to hellholes even without superbugs feeding on them, as there won't be enough taxes coming in to pay for decent services.
Now that I am done predicting the foreseeable future , whadabout those 5G towers?
People can have hipster starbucksing together without bustling metropolises of cranky people all crowded together in 10 and 20 story elevator buildings that require being crowded like sardines into mass transit, they already do on the Main Streets of many cool artsy walkable towns allover the east coast. Hudson, NY for example is way cooler than Manhattan. It started before covid. Even within NYC, the most hip neighborhoods like Bushwick in Brooklyn have a horizon with no tall buildings, 3 floors at most. Having a horizon is the key, so you don't feel cooped up in a vertical prison. Yeah to duplex kind of density, but no thanks to metropolises where loneliness has actually more often plagued people and then there's the logistics of getting all the stuff those people need to them has always been fraught with "traffic jams". It's actually absurd how getting to and from something like a doctor's visit takes a whole day. Speaking of doctors, the comparison is apt between how a patient is treated in a huge urban hospital and in a nice clinic that they drive up to.
Yeah sucks to be a place like Japan, as they aren't making any more land on this planet. They've had a super depression problem over it for decades.
Yglesias is a hypocrite on this. He grew up on the Upper East Side, which except for some high rises along its border, is exactly like a walkable small town. And then he moved to D.C. which in the good areas is a leisurely laid back city and without any tall buildings.
And what a dummy she is. Not far away on this very thread ( scroll up to tweet at my comment at Tue, 09/08/2020 - 12:44am) proof that they are just seeking $200K, give em $200K and they'll be no overthrow!
Early in the book, as an almost throwaway bit of background color, Strzok talks working the Russian "illegals" case from 2000 until their arrest in 2010. In particular, he mentions surveilling Andrey Bezrukov and Elana Vavilova as they copied one-time pad "numbers" transmissions.
Note: Less than 1,5 % of the general population (in Germany) is a member of a political party. In the US, the figure is almost a quarter of the overall population being a member of one of the two big parties.
This is the most explosive internal Facebook doc I've seen. Over the past 3 years, a junior data scientist with a talent for spotting fake accounts often found herself alone in trying to stop political manipulation in Honduras, Azerbaijan, and elsewhere. She was recently fired. pic.twitter.com/37X6N3ciEw
Boris Johnson is the lazy, over-confident middle school student who didn’t prep for the exam and is trying to fake his way through it https://t.co/wR12KHtOTC
This news threatens to suck every bit of hope out of many a soul.
Blame lean manufacturing. A decadeslong effort to eke out more profit by keeping inventory low left many manufacturers unprepared when Covid-19 struck. And production is unlikely to ramp up significantly any time soon.
Comments
Scots tape (Odd Lang Sign)
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2020/aug/26/shock-an-aw-us-teenager-...
by PeraclesPlease on Wed, 08/26/2020 - 4:16pm
Nate Silver just warnin' about Black and Hispanic voters:
by artappraiser on Wed, 08/26/2020 - 11:09pm
heh I am glad I am not watching tonite:
by artappraiser on Wed, 08/26/2020 - 11:35pm
p.s. it was bad, he says he could use more time than CNN gave him:
by artappraiser on Wed, 08/26/2020 - 11:39pm
by artappraiser on Thu, 08/27/2020 - 2:31am
Say their names?
Heckuva job Trumpie?
It's madness. Why haven't people from Florida removed their governor? Remember when Schwarzenegger became governor by recall vote?
by PeraclesPlease on Thu, 08/27/2020 - 2:55am
Say their names indeed, I'm sure many of them were Afro-American. Remember when we were supposed to care about that? Instead everyone, including wealthy basketball players, Obama and Biden and numerous anarchists who would like to see the federal government fall, are encouraging staying on meme with solidarity with anti-police protests as a top priority right now to offer a lifeline to the Trump campaign. Start to wonder whether somehow the cop in Kenosha was a Putin agent. The lack of perspective, geez. It's just as irrational as white evangelical republicans caring a great deal about fetuses and very little about suffering live children. I'm getting sick of hearing how dumb Fox news viewers are, there's plenty of dumb people on the left who imagine police abuse has continuously going up (rather than slowly going down) instead of realizing that what really happened, what they are seeing, is the results of everyone having a video camera. Maybe we need to video cam every single Covid death and disability
by artappraiser on Thu, 08/27/2020 - 3:39am
globalist Christian conspiracy to quit hating the other for what "they" did
(Is anniversary of Christchurch massacre in NZ)
by artappraiser on Thu, 08/27/2020 - 3:12pm
The more Jared on teevee, the better chance Biden has?
by artappraiser on Thu, 08/27/2020 - 4:52pm
I am coming to the conclusion that most Dem mayors overall seem to think looting as well as vandalism of community property is both wrong and illegal:
And then there's them who think Trump rules rule and what good for the goose is good for the gander and those who feel like their tribe has been victimized and are willing to grab deserve what they can get away with.
by artappraiser on Thu, 08/27/2020 - 8:24pm
It's socialism for anyone smart enough to steal from big international banks or Magnificent Mile luxury boutiques and the rest of you schlumpfs are screwed?
This whole meme gvies me a deja vus allover again from NYC back in the Reagan era, there were corporate raiders and following in their example, there were also dudes if they needed a car they just pulled out a gun and hijacked one, and if the needed those sneakers or a Walkman, they just used a knife to get one. Cause after all, Carl Icahn and Ronnie said it was okay, better than being a welfare queen, showing some gumption hustle and work ethic, not just sitting on the sofa collecting gummint checks...
by artappraiser on Thu, 08/27/2020 - 8:32pm
Every one except the looters and some of the activists think the looting and violence is wrong. But the only way to stop violence is with violence. That's the problem but eventually they're going to have to face it. It's not going to burn itself out. The looters and the violent aren't going to just get tired of it and stop.
by ocean-kat on Thu, 08/27/2020 - 9:26pm
Melania & the Heathers
by PeraclesPlease on Fri, 08/28/2020 - 12:50pm
The Onion just dug up and tweeted this March, 2018 piece. I'd love to have listened in on the discussion about doing that:
by artappraiser on Fri, 08/28/2020 - 9:02pm
by artappraiser on Fri, 08/28/2020 - 10:34pm
since I see a lot of sturm and drang after the GOP convention small "bounce" in Trump numbers, I thought this was a nice contarian tweet to that zeitgeist:
by artappraiser on Sat, 08/29/2020 - 11:03pm
Creepy.
by PeraclesPlease on Sun, 08/30/2020 - 3:11am
about new astroturf hashtag on Twitter:
by artappraiser on Sun, 08/30/2020 - 10:41pm
by artappraiser on Sun, 08/30/2020 - 11:56pm
Black Chicagoan M.D. (a pediatric cardiovascular specialist) and Cubs fan angrily tweets that Jason Heyward should go fuck himself:
(I googled-he's for real.)
by artappraiser on Sun, 08/30/2020 - 11:05pm
The death of tradition
https://www.theguardian.com/news/2020/sep/01/frank-fisher-butchers-shop-...
by PeraclesPlease on Tue, 09/01/2020 - 10:08am
Where's the outrage? Ducks should be able to walk wherever they want to!
It's like a forced march for chrissake. Japanese still up to their same old fascist tricks.
by artappraiser on Tue, 09/01/2020 - 10:59am
They understand arrows?
by PeraclesPlease on Tue, 09/01/2020 - 10:59am
I noticed that too.
by artappraiser on Tue, 09/01/2020 - 11:00am
Obviously, but again we see cops who don't understand the community they're policing. I'm sure the ducks saw the red background and thought it meant stop. Next thing you see is the cops misunderstanding the confusion for resistance and they shoot some poor little duckling.
by ocean-kat on Tue, 09/01/2020 - 11:09am
Is clear that demanding order necessitates fascism! Chaos is freedom. Ducks should be able to chose where they want to walk, whether they want to wear a face mask or carry a gun. And cars should be able to drive over them if they can't learn to walk fast enough.
by artappraiser on Tue, 09/01/2020 - 11:43am
To keep 'em in line, have to break a few eggs. Birds of a feather, y'know.
by PeraclesPlease on Tue, 09/01/2020 - 12:15pm
Bataan Rouge?
by PeraclesPlease on Tue, 09/01/2020 - 11:04am
what a country!
by artappraiser on Tue, 09/01/2020 - 8:00pm
apparently rules of what White House press conferences are for have descended to the absolute depths of petty political hell:
Easy to play if that's your game: I wonder how Kayleigh gets her fancy blond highlighting, blowouts with curling iron work, eyebrow and eyelash extensions, television makeup jobs and fancy manicures
by artappraiser on Thu, 09/03/2020 - 4:23pm
I admit I am a teeny bit envious > if we only had this charge on the internet:
The whole video is interesting beyond the quip in the headline. It's Rochester, not NYC.
by artappraiser on Thu, 09/03/2020 - 10:43pm
Wisconsin grad does good kinda
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/09/03/us/jessica-krug-gwu-black-trnd/index....
by PeraclesPlease on Fri, 09/04/2020 - 1:04am
oy, that story is gonna rile them, it's gonna be all over talk radio. Affirmative action & cheatin' college elites all in one story, both some of the least favorite things in Wisconsin, .my great grandpa came from (pick a European country) to Ellis Island with two cents in his pocket and nobody ever gave him anything....my great grandma scrubbed floors on her hands and knees..worked the farm for food with a full time job in a factory...even the inner city version, it's get off your ass kid, nobody's gonna give you nothing..
by artappraiser on Fri, 09/04/2020 - 1:23am
For those of you not keeping up with pop culture manifestations of politics: Cardi B vs. Candace O.
by artappraiser on Sun, 09/06/2020 - 9:16pm
by PeraclesPlease on Mon, 09/07/2020 - 1:36am
Shopping Channel 2020
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/09/06/business/china-livestream-shopping-sp...
by PeraclesPlease on Mon, 09/07/2020 - 2:20am
Neil Kinnock on Biden’s plagiarism 'scandal' and why he deserves to win: ‘Joe’s an honest guy'
In a 1987 Democratic primary debate, Biden sprinkled Kinnock’s phrases into his own speech and forgot to credit him – a blunder many believe cost him the presidency
@ TheGuardian.com, Sept. 7
by artappraiser on Mon, 09/07/2020 - 5:25am
by artappraiser on Mon, 09/07/2020 - 6:11am
hoist on his own petard at only 19 (hey kid, imagine you lived several more decades, all the identity groups you might have to apologize to according to your standards):
by artappraiser on Mon, 09/07/2020 - 1:34pm
He seems ok, but why not vote in the girlfriend - esp. if she's bi- and of color. We shouldn't let regressive values drag us back to the past.
by PeraclesPlease on Mon, 09/07/2020 - 3:01pm
Bony shark screws genetic line -
start over, more cohesion this time
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/sep/07/fossil-upends-theory...
by PeraclesPlease on Mon, 09/07/2020 - 3:09pm
Again: what a country!
$2,225 raised of $200,000 goal (I checked)
by artappraiser on Tue, 09/08/2020 - 12:44am
Here's apparently an easy peasy way to git over $300K through 15 min. of fame:
Don't underestimate the hatred of Pelosi and overall hatred of what many people think is the "phoniness" of politicians
by artappraiser on Wed, 09/09/2020 - 12:28am
They also claim she has to move. Anyway, 9000 donors in a nation of 330 million is still tiny, and who knows how much of this is sock puppet from some GOP big pockets donor using different names.
by PeraclesPlease on Wed, 09/09/2020 - 6:46am
Studying the invisible
(you think you got problems now - you don't know 85% if your probs)
https://www.sciencealert.com/simulation-reveals-what-dark-matter-might-l...
by PeraclesPlease on Tue, 09/08/2020 - 3:02am
Covid like BLM protesters?
https://elemental.medium.com/a-supercomputer-analyzed-covid-19-and-an-in...
by PeraclesPlease on Tue, 09/08/2020 - 5:47am
Have no desire right now to do any news thread on the Woodward book cause too much shit flying all at once in different topic directions. But this is intriguing enough to share:
by artappraiser on Wed, 09/09/2020 - 9:32pm
Anti-microbial resistance threat
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/sep/10/superbugs-a-far-greater-ri...
by PeraclesPlease on Thu, 09/10/2020 - 1:12am
This is why all the "let's have more urban density!" fans like Yglesias are big losers for the foreseeable future. Stacking us up in cubicles on small pieces of land as yummy food for viruses = ain't gonna happen now, people who have the money or ability to do so are going to spread out as much as they can. It's the poor who are gonna be stuck in dense environments. Many of which will turn to hellholes even without superbugs feeding on them, as there won't be enough taxes coming in to pay for decent services.
Now that I am done predicting the foreseeable future
, whadabout those 5G towers?
by artappraiser on Thu, 09/10/2020 - 2:22am
Turn 5G on viruses.
And people like Starbucksing together - urban deserts ain't gonna happen as a long-term thing.
by PeraclesPlease on Thu, 09/10/2020 - 3:51am
I didn't mean 1950's suburban developments.
People can have hipster starbucksing together without bustling metropolises of cranky people all crowded together in 10 and 20 story elevator buildings that require being crowded like sardines into mass transit, they already do on the Main Streets of many cool artsy walkable towns allover the east coast. Hudson, NY for example is way cooler than Manhattan. It started before covid. Even within NYC, the most hip neighborhoods like Bushwick in Brooklyn have a horizon with no tall buildings, 3 floors at most. Having a horizon is the key, so you don't feel cooped up in a vertical prison. Yeah to duplex kind of density, but no thanks to metropolises where loneliness has actually more often plagued people and then there's the logistics of getting all the stuff those people need to them has always been fraught with "traffic jams". It's actually absurd how getting to and from something like a doctor's visit takes a whole day. Speaking of doctors, the comparison is apt between how a patient is treated in a huge urban hospital and in a nice clinic that they drive up to.
Yeah sucks to be a place like Japan, as they aren't making any more land on this planet. They've had a super depression problem over it for decades.
by artappraiser on Thu, 09/10/2020 - 12:21pm
Yglesias is a hypocrite on this. He grew up on the Upper East Side, which except for some high rises along its border, is exactly like a walkable small town. And then he moved to D.C. which in the good areas is a leisurely laid back city and without any tall buildings.
by artappraiser on Thu, 09/10/2020 - 12:32pm
Bachmann Truther Overdrive
by PeraclesPlease on Thu, 09/10/2020 - 1:57am
And what a dummy she is. Not far away on this very thread ( scroll up to tweet at my comment at Tue, 09/08/2020 - 12:44am) proof that they are just seeking $200K, give em $200K and they'll be no overthrow!
by artappraiser on Thu, 09/10/2020 - 2:51am
Give Garnet an inch, she'll take a Telathon.
by PeraclesPlease on Thu, 09/10/2020 - 4:02am
Rusky Spook Screwup
by PeraclesPlease on Thu, 09/10/2020 - 2:09am
George Wallace would love it
by artappraiser on Sat, 09/12/2020 - 6:58pm
by artappraiser on Mon, 09/14/2020 - 5:44am
Cohen's daughter, Trump's demeaner
https://www-dailymail-co-uk.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8726813/amp/Michael-Cohens-daughter-calls-Ivanka-phony-gross-says-dad-felt-sorry-Don-Jr.html
by PeraclesPlease on Mon, 09/14/2020 - 6:40am
by PeraclesPlease on Mon, 09/14/2020 - 3:40pm
by artappraiser on Mon, 09/14/2020 - 5:33pm
This news threatens to suck every bit of hope out of many a soul.
by artappraiser on Thu, 09/17/2020 - 1:03am