The Bishop and the Butterfly: Murder, Politics, and the End of the Jazz Age

Those Gallup numbers must mean that

Obama was leading Romney on Thursday

For the 7 days to Wednesday R had a 7 point average lead. So

 

R  7 times  53 =s                             371

O              46                                   322

 

Then for the 7 days to  Thursday R had a 6 point lead. That must mean that

R   6 days  times                      53

     + 1 day (thursday) times      X

      Total                                            367  an average of  52.5

 

O  6 days times                        46

     + 1 day times                        Y

     Total                                              327 an average of  46.5

 

X must be 49 and Y must be 51.

 

If Friday continues this 49 to 51 Obama lead Gallup will report that its tracking poll shows a 4 or 5 point Romney lead. But that's speculation , the above is just math

.............................................................................................................................

Saturday update

Gallup did not improve to  a less than 6 point lead  so the results for Friday by itself were probably

Romney                  53

Obama                    47

 

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