MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop
MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
By Nate Silver @ FiveThirtyEight.com, JUL. 29, 2022, AT 8:10 AM
As was the case when we launched the forecast a month ago, the Deluxe version of FiveThirtyEight’s midterm model still rates the battle for control of the Senate as a “toss-up.” But within that category there’s been modest, but consistent movement toward Democrats. Their chances of winning the Senate now stand at 55 percent. That’s up from 47 percent from forecast launch on June 30. It’s also up from 40 percent in a retroactive forecast dated back to June 1.1 [....]
This is matched by Democrats’ improved position on the generic congressional ballot, which asks voters which party they would support in a congressional election. Democrats are now essentially tied with Republicans in our generic ballot polling average, after having trailed by 2 to 3 percentage points over most of the late spring and early summer [....]
Comments
because?
by artappraiser on Mon, 08/01/2022 - 5:51am
by artappraiser on Mon, 08/01/2022 - 4:35pm
by Orion on Tue, 08/02/2022 - 8:00pm
is this what you meant to post? your comment didn't take but I saw the hashtag on the little "Recent Comments" panel
by artappraiser on Tue, 08/02/2022 - 9:57pm
For whatever reason - maybe he thinks things have changed? - Ron Johnson has decided to touch the third rail:
by artappraiser on Thu, 08/04/2022 - 6:17pm
by artappraiser on Sat, 08/06/2022 - 5:22pm
(Retweeted by Yglesias)
by artappraiser on Sun, 08/07/2022 - 6:31pm
Brandon don't give 2 fucks
by PeraclesPlease on Mon, 08/08/2022 - 2:00am
by artappraiser on Mon, 08/08/2022 - 8:38pm
Kentucky!
by artappraiser on Tue, 08/09/2022 - 6:30am
by artappraiser on Tue, 08/09/2022 - 10:39pm
The current governor of Pennsylvania -
He's a Democrat re-elected in Nov. 2018 (and his Lt. Gov. Fetterman is currently running for the U.S. Senate against Oz.)
by artappraiser on Fri, 08/12/2022 - 6:27pm
Grossman is Michigan State political scientist & @ippsr Director;@hookedlansing Co-owner; Also:@niskanencenter @fivethirtyeight; New book: How Social Science Got Better
by artappraiser on Fri, 08/12/2022 - 10:28pm
by artappraiser on Thu, 08/18/2022 - 8:34am