MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop
MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
Investor Jeremy Grantham, well known for years and around the world (he manages more than $100 billion) has recently come around to the idea that some mortgage debt forgiveness might be necessary. Given that Grantham invests in bonds from time to time, this is amazing stuff. Bond investors hate the idea of debt forgiveness. They usually prefer "debt repayment at all costs, or I get to take your stuff." I recommend reading Grantham's latest letter to clients, which you can find here, or perhaps my own, shorter riff on this and other matters from The Daily.
It's interesting to see some of the more thoughtful members of the professional investment community coming around to the fact that the severe income inequality that has emerged in the U.S. over the last forty years is an actual threat to the system. Most of these guys are well placed at the top of the income heap so perhaps the ride towards inequality wasn't so bad for them but now people like Grantham and to a lesser extent PIMCO's Bill Gross are recognizing that it's tough for them to invest in, you know, businesses when their customer bases have been destroyed by the decline of American mass affluence. It's tough for them to invest in sovereign debt of the United States when the tax base has been so decimated that 47% of the people don't even make enough money to incur an income tax liability.
As Grantham puts it, we allowed "the vagaries of globalization" and "cheap labor from China" to lead us to this point without putting a ton of thought into the consequences. We're now at a place where the richest 10% of Americans account for 50% of all consumer spending. But, says Grantham, Hermes scarves, BMWs and Gucci are too small a segment of the consumer market to carry the economy.
Most businesses, including most consumer businesses, would be better off with a richer customer base growing wealthier by the year. That used to be the U.S. middle class. But no longer. Perhaps these corporations will try to make up the difference by selling overseas. But it occurs to me that if Grantham is right and we blindly allowed globalization to define our economy, that some of our economic competitors will not make the same mistake. China's government, it seems, prefers to define things than to be defined by them. I'm glad I don't live in the kind of dictatorship that fosters a command economy but, you know, the alternative shouldn't be total thoughtlessness.
It seems that some prominent capitalists are waking up to the notion that the inequities in our society need to be addressed. Not eliminated, but addressed. You can't do that without renegotiating some old deals and without either redistributing present assets or, more importantly, future cash flows.
Comments
So if capitalists wake up to the inequalities in our society and while the middle class slumbers on in a free market dream--will that mean that the capitalists are more concerned about the workers than the workers themselves?
by Michael Wolraich on Thu, 09/08/2011 - 10:45am
Very good article in the Daily, Destor. Particularly liked your insight that the FHFA suits provide a strong moral backing for debt forgiveness of borrowers.
I think it's great that our top line investors, like Buffet and Grantham, get their best ideas when walking across Boston Commons or sitting in the bathtub. Makes it all sound so humanizing somehow.
by Oxy Mora on Thu, 09/08/2011 - 12:11pm
Good piece, destor.
From Harold Meyerson's January 28, 2011 article in The American Prospect "Business is Booming", well worth reading in its entirety for additional data I don't want to include in this comment, at http://prospect.org/cs/articles?article=business_is_booming:
You wrote:
As the saying goes, a question for Grantham might be "who is 'we', kimosabe?" There have been a number of commenters and advocates desperately trying to call attention to this issue, leading to the very situation we face now, for many years. Most of these voices have been dismissed as wacky "leftists" for raising such concerns.
Better late than never, perhaps. It would have been really, really helpful, however, had many more prominent businesspeople, investors, lobbies representing them, and commentators sympathetic to their interests and outlook seen beyond their noses some time ago, acknowledged the real legitimacy of these concerns, and participated actively and constructively with policymakers and advocates to try to address them.
We have remarkably reactionary, ideologically hidebound business lobbies in this country that seem almost always to be unwilling or unable to do this. Maybe it's that they don't like the way folks calling attention to these issues dress or look, or the way they talk, or other aspects of their style, I don't know. DFH's and all.
But when the major business lobbies, and other individual movers and shakers who choose to do some organizing of their own, get involved, it's amazing how obstacles to policy proposals previously considered nonstarters all of a sudden become, well, starters. Here's hoping that recent comments by Buffett and these folks you mention are harbingers of a strong, albeit badly belated, trend.
by AmericanDreamer on Thu, 09/08/2011 - 12:47pm
Some good points, Dreamer.
Recently I read in regard to Apple's i-phone that only 17 cents on the dollar of direct manufacturing costs went to domestic workers and suppliers. The balance was spent overseas.
by Oxy Mora on Thu, 09/08/2011 - 1:15pm
Good piece, D23.
3 Woots.
by Qnonymous (not verified) on Thu, 09/08/2011 - 6:56pm
Not sure where to put this, but Confidence Men: Wall Street, Washington, and the Education of a President, by Ron Suskind, due out this month, promises to make a large splash:
http://www.politics-prose.com/book/9780061429255
by AmericanDreamer on Tue, 09/13/2011 - 12:39pm