Barth's picture

    Hope

    You know what hope is
    Hope is a bastard
    Hope is a liar
    A cheat and a tease
    Hope comes near you?
    Kick it's backside
    Got no place in days like these

    Nick Hornby, as sung by Ben Folds, "Picture Window" from Lonely Avenue

    It has been suggested, more than once, that the posts that appear under this name are not as cheery as they might be or once were. Starting this one with dark lyrics from song by Ben Folds and Nick Hornby about a family watching an apparently incurable loved one checking into a hospital "with a view of Parliament Hill" promises yet another trip down the same path, but there is some good news out there:

    President Obama will surely be re-elected, and that is a good thing and the virtual certainty of his re-election has little to do with Osama bin Laden. Our president is a good one, maybe a great one or one who might become a great one. We will someday remember his presidency fondly, and truly, will mourn its passage when he leaves the office in 2017. This post will not debate that, a Rachel Maddow segment linked to in last week's post makes the case as to what his presidency has accomplished so far, and this one, similar to many of her recent segments, should suffice to explain how far the Republican Party has drifted away from any platform that could elect a president. Have your Obamabot conversations elsewhere (at least this week) and save for another day your concerns that, say, a New Yorker cover could alter the likely results of next year's presidential election.

    Here, though, is our weekly dose of bad news. His re-election, even his greatness, will not---without something else that does not appear to be forthcoming---not nearly enough to prevent our further sinking into a morass from which we may become unable to escape.

    Every day we read the same general articles. The two in Wednesday's New York Times were typical (by the same reporter, Fernanda Santos, interestingly enough) but no less significant in reporting something we see almost every day that is not spent worrying about which movie star broke up with which other one:

    One reported that young teachers, recruited away from whatever more lucrative opportunities that the well educated have presented to them, likely will be among those laid off as the New York City school system is forced into massive layoffs.

    The other was about how our refusal to pay for the most essential of functions has resulted in schoolchildren forced into finding a way to get through the day without using a bathroom and special education students receiving physical therapy in a hallway "between a classroom and a tall file cabinet" as the obviously talented Ms. Santos writes.

    These stories are about New York City mainly because your blogger works there--- not far from Corona, the site of the overcrowded school Ms. Santos describes----but they surely could be from almost anywhere else in the country. And it comes on the heels of the increasing proof that the selfishness and greed that have replaced our sense of national mission to improve the lot of the people who live here and of those around the world, have consequences that are dire in ways we can hardly begin to forecast.

    These posts have cataloged some of these kind of stories before, but the latest, telling us that three quarters of high schools students could not name a power granted to Congress by the Constitution, answers such questions as why people believe that voting for some person who gets elected president is their sole responsibility as a citizen, and that if the president cannot accomplish what needs to be done, someone else should be "put in there" to solve the problem.

    An electorate with such a dim awareness of what goes on in front of their very noses, is likely to be in a constant state of agitation, but easily manipulated by those who have specific goals in mind which may not be in accord with the views of those who vote, but have no other connection to their government. With beltway enablers who believe that political neutrality means simply allowing "both sides" of an question to speak, no matter how ridiculous, selfish, greedy or otherwise absurd "one side" is, our schools crumble and idealistic teachers forced from the profession, while Congress debates just how much more it can cut from a budget which should instead be increased to meet the needs of the country. (As Rachel pointed out this week, the Sunday shows all decided that a national security issue required huge numbers of Republicans---former Bush administration officials----to be put front and center since, as we know, only Republicans know how to protect the country.)

    The shock the freshman Republicans expressed when they found out that, contrary to the Beltway wisdom, the conversion of Medicare into a voucher program, so as to finance the continuation of massive tax breaks foolishly enacted a decade ago, was grossly unpopular, is itself an indication of how out of touch our Congress for sale has become. It presents, though, little cause for hope since all the electorate cared about was getting what they had expected to get. Paying for it is of no concern, but if it is, get what the country needs from someone else.

    Hope, we recall, is a city in Arkansas that gave us a president. Hope, we recall, is what President Obama represented in 2008 but hope can also be, as Nick Hornby says, a bastard, a liar, a cheat and a tease, especially when it becomes the only way to treat a patient.

    We are a broken country but what we need cannot come from one man sitting in the White House. Hope can propel is forward, but the extent to which we ever reached greatness came from our commitments to educate our children, to care for the sick and elderly, to try to improve the lot of those with whom we share the country and the world, as well as to protect us from harm, both from abroad and self-inflicted by the greedy among us,

    not because the Communists may be doing it, not because we seek their votes, but because it is right. If a free society cannot help the many who are poor, it cannot save the few who are rich

    Those were the words, of course, of the president who inspired so many of us to heed his call and become public servants and to do for our country. And, again, while the Koch brothers or the late President Reagan tell their acolytes that it is just those public servants who are destroying their dream, these same words from That Speech, published here almost every week it seems, serve as the only real response that makes sense:

    In your hands, my fellow citizens, more than mine, will rest the final success or failure of our course. Since this country was founded, each generation of Americans has been summoned to give testimony to its national loyalty. The graves of young Americans who answered the call to service surround the globe.

    Now the trumpet summons us again -- not as a call to bear arms, though arms we need -- not as a call to battle, though embattled we are -- but a call to bear the burden of a long twilight struggle, year in and year out, "rejoicing in hope; patient in tribulation,"² a struggle against the common enemies of man: tyranny, poverty, disease, and war itself.

    Next week we will try for some giggles including a non baseball explanation of why Red Sox manager Terry Francona, in a manner similar to that of our President, has shown us all how to meet the problems we face. Promise.

    Comments

    Thanks for this, Barth.


    Barth, I will come back to this later.

    But I have to state up front that I read your essays because they cheer me up.

    I mean maybe I have neurotic tendencies or something!  But you always remind me of the good in America, the good that was and the good that will be.

    You remind me of FDR and HST and Johnson and the other good men and women who have contributed something to the American Dream.

    And you remind me that we can't always get what we want but sometimes, we get what we need.

    Hope is all some of us have as we are forced to review the latest news from FOX or the latest inanities from Boehner or the obstructionisms from from McConnell.

    We have a good man in the oval office. I would have been happy with Hillary as the first woman. But hell, these two are working together to make a better world for all of us.

    To be able to view the President making jokes about enemies of the people who would focus our attentions on birth certificates and then discover that he had finished a mission dropped from the previous administration.

    To see the legislation that was passed over the first two years of Obama's Administration with the help of Reid and Pelosi--with the knowledge that there would be a reaction to change!

    We have great people working for a greater America every day in the face of corporate power unheard of just forty years ago.

    I find your posts inspiring really.

     


    Thanks.  I am not a pessimist, as you remind me so often.

     

    Speaking of McConnell, by the way:  while his lecturing everyone on the conditions for raising the debt ceiling, can we ask him what, if anything, he knew about Senator Ensign or the efforts by a senior member of his conference to try to hush the whole thing up?  We remember what a stand up guy he was on Senator Vitter or Senator Craig.  The Republicans has a lot to say about Congresswoman Waters and Congressman Rangel, and the beltway press joined in the criticism of the Speaker.  Do the same standards apply to this Senator McConnell?


    Here's the thing to keep in mind: history does not move in a straight line. It has peaks of progress and valleys of regression. Always has.

    We tend to project our imaginations forward from the most recent curve. So when things are going uphill, we tend to project hope. When things are going downhill, we tend to project despair.

    People think that they've got objective views of the world, but in reality we're all cherry-picking. There is a lot of data out there, and it's very easy to make a case for whatever you want. The plausibility of your argument depends much more on the mood of the audience than the data itself.

    That's why in the space of two years, the media has become full of books and reports and articles about how the U.S./world is going to shit. We're primed to nod our heads sadly whenever someone puts together a list of the nation's woes, just as we were primed to nod excitedly when people offered evidence of the "new economy" during the last bubble. The exaggerated cycle of hope and despair has happened during every boom and bust that I am old enough to remember, and I'm willing to bet that it happened during every boom and bust before I was born too.

    That's not to say that there aren't serious problems, and it's not say that the arc of history isn't gradually bending downwards. It's just that we have little perspective on the big picture, especially when we're wallowing in the muck of a recession. I wish that more people were humble enough to admit that they had no damn clue.

    As for me, my rule of thumb is that when things are good, those who say that it's just going to get better are not to be trusted. Conversely, when things are bad, those who say that it's just going to get worse are not to be trusted either.

    But I might be wrong.


    310 million people in this country.

    310 million stories to paraphrase a show called the Naked City.

    The forces of evil will always be present.

    I guess I am surprised at the acts of kindness, the acts of generousity, the genuine expression of humanity!

    What I like about the web is that hidden stories on page 3 or 13 can be discussed rather easily.

    There are good good people out there doing really good things.

    And we should not be that surprised!


    But:  we are now about thrity years past the date when we could only buy gasoline every other day, and have done nothing about getting off our addiction to foreign oil,

    our infrastructure is crumbling around us, and, unless a bridge falls down we do little about it, and refuse to fund a high speed rail program so that we can move around the way almost everyone in the rest of the developed world can,

    and, speaking of that, everywhere else in the devloped world, the internet has become available in a very inexpensive and widespread way, but not here since we have compnaies making money supplying same, who do not want that spiggot turned off, and nothing is done about it,

    actually thousands of problems, with realtively simple solutions to them but a political system unable to even approach the solution,

    where one political party is able to stonewall a majority which controlled both houses of Congress simply be threatning a filibuster, and is not only unpunished in the next election, it gains seats and control of one house,

    after having prevented the passage of a clean single payer system to reform the way health care is provided to those who need it without enriching those who make it almost impossible for many to afford such insurance,

    and in a deep recession, costing millions their jobs and almost everyone else their sense of security, government is not only unable to respond adequately, it is told it must cut back.

    So, I am not certain that the swings of the pendulum will do the trick.  We have begun to swing back from the trough we walked into in November, 1980, but man, this is slow going.  I have done everything possible to bring back FDR from the dead.  It's not working.


    Barth, I don't know that FDR himself us could save us now. We are not the same people we were then. We were still willing to assist our neighbors then. Still willing to sacrifice for the greater good. I'm not sure we are anymore. As a people we've become selfish, greedy, ignorant, arrogant, rude, lazy and a whole host of other negative attributes. There are still pockets of goodness. And don't get me wrong, I think we have the CAPABILITY of remembering our roots and honoring our past. I just don't know if we will.


    You may be right.  We may no longer be the people who would respond well to this portion of the fireside chat of July 24, 1933:

     

    I have said that we cannot attain that in a nation half boom and half broke. If all of our people have work and fair wages and fair profits, they can buy the products of their neighbors and business is good. But if you take away the wages and the profits of half of them, business is only half as good. It doesn't help much if the fortunate half is very prosperous -- the best way is for everybody to be reasonably prosperous....

    it is obvious that without united action a few selfish men in each competitive group will pay starvation wages and insist on long hours of work. Others in that group must either follow suit or close up shop. We have seen the result of action of that kind in the continuing descent into the economic Hell of the past four years.

    There is a clear way to reverse that process: If all employers in each competitive group agree to pay their workers the same wages -- reasonable wages -- and require the same hours -- reasonable hours -- then higher wages and shorter hours will hurt no employer. Moreover, such action is better for the employer than unemployment and low wages, because it makes more buyers for his product. That is the simple idea which is the very heart of the Industrial Recovery Act.

    On the basis of this simple principle of everybody doing things together, we are starting out on this nationwide attack on unemployment. It will succeed if our people understand it -- in the big industries, in the little shops, in the great cities and in the small villages. There is nothing complicated about it and there is nothing particularly new in the principle. It goes back to the basic idea of society and of the nation itself that people acting in a group can accomplish things which no individual acting alone could even hope to bring about.


    You folks are crazy. Seriously, I want to grab you by the shoulders and shake you. There was 15 to 25 percent unemployment during the Great Depression. For ten years! We've had 8 to 10 percent for two. Abject working conditions, malnutrition, hundreds of thousands of homeless families, not to mention the ills of era--race persecution, gender discrimination, rampant disease. The Depression was a greater hell than any of us have ever known.

    I'm sorry, but you sound like cranky old farts sitting around the nursing home complaining about how everything is gone to the crapper having lost any perspective on what it's like when things really go to the crapper.


    Well, at least you have me laughing, Genghis! What you say is true, and only makes my point for me! Things aren't nearly as bad as they were then, but we're so spoiled you'd THINK they were! We can't take this even this comparatively small amount of discomfort, without ranting and raving about this terrible guy in the White House that hasn't been able to get things back to normal in two whole years! I'm all about picking ourselves up by our bootstaraps and putting this country back together again. But it might mean missing next week's episode of Dancing with the Stars...


    We can pick ourselves up during the commercials.

    Heck, even in the Great Depression, FDR said that the only thing we have to fear is fear itself.


    pssssssst, Oh infallible Genghis, sir. I call you out on an epic fail of reading comprehension.

    Admit it, you hadn't finished your first cup of coffee.

    No one has suggested that things are as bad as during the great depression, what they are suggesting is that back then, people saw pictures of the poor and said, how can we help, not are there no workhouses, are there no prisons?

    That may not be exactly true either, it seems to me people were plenty mean and nasty to their fellows as illustrated in The Grapes of Wrath, but then, as now, there was quite likely a couple two three decent people for every jerk running around. Decency did prevail, eventually.

    I think what Barth and Still are talking about is the lack of job creation in the face of all this record profit. The lack of concern or real reform in the housing market. The inhumanity of $100 a gallon oil while cutting heating subsides.

    Are we the same as we were then? I'd tend to think we are. We didn't get in or out of the great depression by relying on the largesse of the business community, but it did require shared sacrifice and a willingness to do more with less, and step up and work out solutions. (No I don't buy that World War 2 was the only reason we climbed out of that hole.)

    At any rate, carry on oh wise one. And please do have another cuppa coffee.

    Your humble pal,

    Bwakfat


    Pot o' tea. Don't like coffee.

    But besides that, I'm sick of the whining and brooding. America is one big pity parade lately. It's the same on the right as on the left; they just blame different actors. It's particularly pathetic coming from the biggest richest most powerfullest country in the world.

    Of course there is a lot of shit these days--unemployment, inequality, debt--and we need to focus on it, but can't we do it without all the hyperbolic moaning? From the tone, you'd think that America had never suffered from unemployment or class conflict or budget constraints.

    Heck, at least we don't have to deal with nuclear escalation, race riots, crime waves, stagflation, disease epidemics, world wars, and some of the other shit that we've had to deal with, not to mention the privations of the Great Depression.

    Speaking of which, where did anyone get the idea that people stuck together during the Great Depression. There was no Medicare back then, no Medicaid, no foodstamps, no homeless shelters. Sure, there were people engaged in charity, but there were plenty of people who said the poor were just lazy. Does no one remember that we used to have a class war in this country? That the rich used to believe in Social Darwinism? Let alone all the race discrimination and anti-immigrant xenophobia.

    PS I've got arrogance a-plenty, I just try not to apply it to prognostication.


    Oh, the humble was a shot at myself, not you. I do that. =)

    Listen you tea-drinking (TEA, is awfully suspect), youngster whipper-snapper. You want us to go without hyperbolic moaning? Why, that might be unAmerican! Back in the day we whined and moaned all day and all night, and we liked it that way. I completely reject your notion that my right to whine, cry, and otherwise use over-the-top language to bemoan the situation that I and others find ourselves in due to our own actions or inactions is somehow tiresome. I am part of generation Jones. I was bred to do this!

    Seriously, I don't know how people can forget just how bad it was during the great depression. A little trip to the LoC shoud be enough to remind anyone. Yes, indeed, our social safety net is a great and good thing in times like these, and we should never take it for granted.

    Greed and avarice will never go away, and have always been with us. All we have to decide is whether or not we are willing to work to overcome it. Sometimes, I think we will. Sometimes, I'm not so sure. I feel that you have a lot more hope than I do, and I am glad. It bolsters mine.

    But tea? Good grief!


    Ha. I like the "key characteristics" of Gen Jones according to WikiP: less optimistic, distrust of government, general cynicism

    PS A pot of rich aromatic green tea in the morning is like an optimism injection. It's the opiate of the elite.


    I wasn't around back then, Genghis, but I remember the stories my grandparents used to tell about how everyone helped each other out, pooled resources, and traded services. Maybe that is happening now, and it is just being overshadowed in my mind by the apparent heartlessness of the repubs in not wanting to extend unemployment benefits, giving more and more tax breaks to the rich while decreasing services to those who are hurting...I'm obviously having a hard time dealing with the fact that the party who CLAIMS to have God on their side is doing so much that I believe is making him weep with shame. I think it reflects poorly on us as a nation. And don't even get me started on the preoccupation with celebrities!


    Speaking of which, where did anyone get the idea that people stuck together during the Great Depression. There was no Medicare back then, no Medicaid, no foodstamps, no homeless shelters. Sure, there were people engaged in charity, but there were plenty of people who said the poor were just lazy. Does no one remember that we used to have a class war in this country?

    For one thing America was still fairly agrarian at that time. No big Corporate Farms. Still family farms. Once you got away from the cities, life was not nearly as bad. People still put up food and had gardens, even in the outskirts of the cities.

    Oh and we still have class war. Never really went away and I think now it's becoming more of a hot war rather than cold.


    Um, does the dust bowl ring any bells?

    If anything, life got a hell of a lot worse once one got out of the cities.


    Not everybody lived in the Dust Bowl and that was going on way before the Crash and depression that followed.


    The Dust Bowl, or the Dirty Thirties, was a period of severe dust storms causing major ecological and agricultural damage to American and Canadian prairie lands from 1930 to 1936 (in some areas until 1940).

    ...

    The Dust Bowl exodus was the largest migration in American history within a short period of time. By 1940, 2.5 million people had moved out of the Plains states; of those, 200,000 moved to California.[14] With their land barren and homes seized in foreclosure, many farm families were forced to leave. Migrants left farms in Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, Iowa, Nebraska, Kansas, Texas, Colorado and New Mexico

    Quick note from the wiki. Check out the FSA photos at the Library of Congress. Things were awful everywhere, but that region didn't recover for decades.

     

     


    Some facts about the Dust Bowl.

    The Dust Bowl was caused by several different factors that all seemed to come together at the same time. The reasons for this disaster didn’t just happen overnight, they had been building up for at least a decade. Over planting of crops during World War I, the government said to plant more and the farmers did. After World War I things were great, the prices for crops were good and the rains came. In order to plant more crops, farmers were buying new land and equipment on credit. New technologies were developed that farmers used to tear up land even faster. The farmers didn’t rotate crops nor did they leave areas of native grasses, they just dug up everything and planted crops. Some people started saying this is all wrong. The ground is now upside down. And it was. The native grasses were now underneath and the dirt on top.

    .............

    In 1931 there was a record wheat harvest, which depressed the price of wheat. In order to make payments on land and machinery on time and to make up for the lower price of wheat, farmers had to plant more and more which meant tearing up the land further. Farmers were warned by Native American Indians and also old time cattle ranchers that had known that land for many years, not to tear up the native grasses. But the farmers had to by now and continued to plow under even more native grasslands and plant crops. Soil conservation practices had to be abandoned so that extra crops could be planted to meet payments as the price fell for wheat and other crops.

    By the early 1930s the Great Depression had hit the country. And at this time a severe drought had started in the Great Plains. The rains didn’t come anymore as expected. In the high plains, the 1930s were known as the Dirty 30s.

    The Soil Conservation Service described the area of the severe drought as in western Kansas, eastern Colorado, the Oklahoma panhandle and the Texas panhandle.

    There were 14 severe dust storms in 1932 and in 1933 there were 38 of them reported. In 1937 there were 134 dust storms. These dust storms were called black blizzards.

    I other words, the Dust Bowl years would have been bad even if the economy was great.


    Wow. Can't admit you wrote something off the mark, eh? Well, I'm glad you "educated" yourself.

    In actuality, THINGS WERE WORSE IN RURAL AREAS DURING THE GREAT DEPRESSION.

    You're welcome.


    Not all rural areas. Upstate NY, PA, and Ohio did not do all that badly.  Most farmers there did not loose their farms. 


    All that says is that things have been worse.  That is true, but gives me no comfort.  OK. Maybe things will get better.  Yes, the social issues as a wedge is bound to end in sort order, but old fart or not, I cannot see anything on the horizon to arrest the growing disparity between rich and poor, the sacrifice of the public interests in the education of our children and health of all of us, to the greed of those in control, and the ability of non state actors to terrorize the rest of us.

    You do?

     


    Stable democracies are internally self-regulating. The greater the disparity between the rich and poor, the greater the pressure to address it. I suspect that it will get worse for a time until more people get mad enough about it to do something.

    I'm not sure why think we're sacrificing education. Our public schools suck but not because we've abandoned them. Teacher salary has stayed slightly ahead of inflation, and the student-teach ratio has decline steadily since the 70s from 22.3 to 15.5: http://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=28.

    The trouble is that it takes more than that. I'm heartened by the amount of experimentation going on right now--from charter schools to federal initiatives. Many of the reform attempts are flawed, but at least we're trying things now.


    Yep, a lot of big changes coming up in education. They are calling it Core principles or some such, but its basically getting back to the reading writing 'rithmatic stuff.

    I don't think we will "fix" education, until we fix social structure. You cannot expect children to learn and thrive in an environment devoid of love and caring. IOW: families with children require fulltime caregivers to maximize learning potential.

    Unfortunately, that would require that salaries just about double, or close to.

     


    Those teacher-student ratios aren't accurate in the public schools where I live...here they are closer to 32-34 kids per class in elementary school, and most non-academic programs are either gone, or shrinking into oblivion...art, music, field trips, phys ed. Teachers with 8 years seniority are being laid off right and left. There is talk state-wide about reducing the school year by a whole month. Yet a principal in a very small school (under a hundred kids k-8, and ALL enrichment programs gone) was just hired at 100k per year. What's wrong with that picture?

    In contrast, the private school my granddaughter attends is hurting for attendance (with all the layoffs in state employment) but so far the church is making up the budget shortfall so all the programs are intact and the kids aren't feeling the pinch. Yet.

    There is no doubt in my mind that education is in trouble, at least here in CA.


    LOL!  "Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln; what do you think of Americans?"    Cool


    Okay, so you both have me laughing! I think it's about time we stop resting on our laurels, and get back to doing and acting like the people we are deep down inside. We are better than this (or at least we were.) LOL!


    Nah. Some types of peoples never change. Shakespeare said so, maybe.

    What we tend to forget is how long society take to change. We look back on the 1930s and it doesn't register how many years it took to get in or out. Pretty much a whole generation, it took.

    What I think, is that we are far more impatient than previous generations.

    =)


    I do agree we seem more self-centered and ungenerous (is that a word?) in the main.  I also think it's very bad for millions of us, and is likely to get worse, so I'm only partially laughing, but at you, not with you.  Oops; did I get that backways?  LOL!

    The next wave of panic is hitting cities and counties, and lay-offs and sell-offs will cause more unemployment, and Giethner just ended the low-interest loans to those entities, WTF?  Tried to find one page on hunger rates and real unemployment rates, but I didn't.  I think it's worse than some believe, though; lots of experts think the real unemployment level is closeer to 20%, and one in five Americans is on food stamps (not available during the big Depression, so...

    Oh - and there's that whole other part that it doesn't have to be hjappening this way, but I'll leave that to each to consider...or not.


    To cheer everyone up, here is music you might enjoy.

    http://www.austinlizards.com/


    excellent.  thanks.  (Our era's version of Borther Can You Spare a Dime....)


    Liked it!

    Laughing 


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