The Bishop and the Butterfly: Murder, Politics, and the End of the Jazz Age

    Nevada Poll: Obama & McCain tied, voters don't prefer "unity" ticket.

    I came across this article from my old home state, Nevada.  The latest polling shows that McCain and Obama are essentially tied.
    The poll conducted June 9-11 by Washington-based Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. for the Las Vegas Review Journal showed that 44 percent of voters prefer the Republican McCain while 42 percent prefer Obama, the Democratic nominee. The results are within the poll’s error margin of 4 percentage points.

    “It’s a statistical tie. It’s a toss-up,” said Brad Coker, a pollster with Mason-Dixon.
    Undecided voters made up 14%.  A couple of interesting things to note in this poll.  First is that McCain is leading among independents(with 25% undecided).
    The poll showed McCain leading among independents with 43 percent compared to Obama’s 32 percent.
    The other interesting fact is that at least in Nevada, polling indicates that Hillary Clinton on a joint ticket would hurt Obama's general election performance.
    When asked how they would vote if Hillary Rodham Clinton were Obama’s running mate, 19 percent of voters said they would be more likely to vote for Obama, 28 percent said they would be less likely to vote for him and 51 percent said it would have no effect.

    The numbers were sharper among undecided voters, with 25 percent saying having Clinton on the ticket would make them more inclined to vote for Obama and 38 percent saying they’d be less likely to vote Democratic.

    "Those numbers are real clear that she doesn't help the ticket," Coker said. "The undecided voters especially are more likely to vote against him, and he can't afford that.".
    It seems the number among undecideds is the only one that matters.  If someone has already decided, I would view their response as a preference for running mate more than a determining factor on their vote.  But I think this speaks to Carter's view that a joint ticket might be an accumulation of the negatives instead of a combination of strengths.

    In other Nevada news, fresh from his newly sealed divorce settlement, Gov. Jim Gibbons said Friday he will call a special legislative session to take back the 4 percent cost of living raises state employees and teachers are scheduled to receive July 1.  Gotta love the GOP.