The Bishop and the Butterfly: Murder, Politics, and the End of the Jazz Age

    Predicted Fallout from Hillary's Assassination Remark

    The visceral reaction lingers, but what happens next will be more interesting. Here's my predictions:

    * The press will be playing catch-up for a few days, downplaying the seriousness of Clinton's remarks at first. They get that people are upset, but not entirely why. The usual network cast plays it as they always have, but by mid-week, it's obvious that Clinton's hopes for the nomination AND the Veep slot are beyond repair. Talk will turn to her dashed reputation and the awful waste of the Clinton legacy.

    * Superdelegates start breaking for Obama in increasing numbers today, building to waves of as many as a dozen per day within the week. Included in the coming month will be scores who had once endorsed Clinton.

    * Pelosi, Gore and a few other top names announce in about a week — before the June 3rd primaries.

    * Clinton soldiers on bravely, knowing any slot on the ticket is gone. She tearfully announces her withdrawal from the race only after the MI/FL question is resolved by the Rules Committee in early June.

    * McCain begins hitting Obama hard as soon as Clinton drops out. Several new ads are rolled out in the first week by 527 groups supporting McCain. They strike at all the soft spots, but leave out most footage of Clinton's primary campaign attacks on Obama. Only her praise for McCain makes a brief appearance. The GOP figures Clinton has exhausted her usefulness after the assassination remark.