The Bishop and the Butterfly: Murder, Politics, and the End of the Jazz Age
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    Trump to worried progressives: "I got this"

    By jollyroger on Thu, 09/08/2016 - 2:28pm |

     

    Well, thank you, Jesus!

     

     

     

     

    538 has three different models for prediction of the November outcome.

     

     

    If today, polls only, polls plus forecasts.

     

    Although the forecasts purport to be grounded in prior historical data (economic, sociological, etc.) there is one forecast that they do not, I believe, claim to embrace, and it is the most important one.

     

    Yesterday Trump fulfilled the forecast "He wil step on his own dick as soon as he has to answer even the most innocuous (pace, Matt Lauer) follow up question.

     

     

     

    Hence, President Clinton.

    Comments

    Should you have missed the original...

     


    by jollyroger on Thu, 09/08/2016 - 8:40pm

    Josh Marshall thinks that Lauer snookered Trump into ill advised candor...

     

    http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/ok-i-admit-it-i-m-a-lauer-truther


    by jollyroger on Thu, 09/08/2016 - 9:35pm

    Does Trump think you can bring home oil like the Elgin Marbles?

     

     

    There were other examples - like when Trump reeled out his inane idea of taking the oil back with us from Iraq. This came right before the passage above about 'the secret plan'. 

    TRUMP: You've been watching me I think for a long time -- I've always said, shouldn't be there, but if we're going to get out, take the oil. If we would have taken the oil, you wouldn't have ISIS, because ISIS formed with the power and the wealth of that oil.

     

    LAUER: How were we going to take the oil? How were we going to do that?

    TRUMP: Just we would leave a certain group behind and you would take various sections where they have the oil. They have -- people don't know this about Iraq, but they have among the largest oil reserves in the world, in the entire world.

    And we're the only ones, we go in, we spend $3 trillion, we lose thousands and thousands of lives, and then, Matt, what happens is, we get nothing. You know, it used to be to the victor belong the spoils. Now, there was no victor there, believe me. There was no victor. But I always said: Take the oil.

    One of the benefits we would have had if we took the oil is ISIS would not have been able to take oil and use that oil...

    LAUER: Let me stay on ISIS...

    TRUMP: ... to fuel themselves.

    I'm not going to give Lauer a Pulitzer for asking Trump the pretty obvious follow-up of 'How in the hell are we going to take the oil?' But it was effective - at least in getting Trump to expand on his nonsensical idea. I don't think Lauer needed to say anything more about how ridiculous this was.

     


    by jollyroger on Fri, 09/09/2016 - 12:03am

    Does Trump think you can bring home oil like the Elgin Marbles?

     

     

    There were other examples - like when Trump reeled out his inane idea of taking the oil back with us from Iraq. This came right before the passage above about 'the secret plan'. 

    TRUMP: You've been watching me I think for a long time -- I've always said, shouldn't be there, but if we're going to get out, take the oil. If we would have taken the oil, you wouldn't have ISIS, because ISIS formed with the power and the wealth of that oil.

     

    LAUER: How were we going to take the oil? How were we going to do that?

    TRUMP: Just we would leave a certain group behind and you would take various sections where they have the oil. They have -- people don't know this about Iraq, but they have among the largest oil reserves in the world, in the entire world.

    And we're the only ones, we go in, we spend $3 trillion, we lose thousands and thousands of lives, and then, Matt, what happens is, we get nothing. You know, it used to be to the victor belong the spoils. Now, there was no victor there, believe me. There was no victor. But I always said: Take the oil.

    One of the benefits we would have had if we took the oil is ISIS would not have been able to take oil and use that oil...

    LAUER: Let me stay on ISIS...

    TRUMP: ... to fuel themselves.

    I'm not going to give Lauer a Pulitzer for asking Trump the pretty obvious follow-up of 'How in the hell are we going to take the oil?' But it was effective - at least in getting Trump to expand on his nonsensical idea. I don't think Lauer needed to say anything more about how ridiculous this was.

     


    by jollyroger on Fri, 09/09/2016 - 12:03am

    I agree, take the oil, but he doesn't know how that's being accomplished already? Matt Lauer has to be a first class idiot to even ask such a stupid question.


    by Trace (not verified) on Fri, 09/09/2016 - 6:08am