MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
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MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
Orlov is always thought provoking:
(...) The revolutions now spreading around the world are essentially bread riots: the disastrous harvests due to heat waves and floods around the world, caused by the accelerating onset of global warming, have caused food prices to spike. It is rather unusual for democracy (of the legalistic Western kind) to succeed where stomachs are empty. One normally expects a beer putsch or two, a Kristallnacht and perhaps a Reichstag on fire. Gaddafi's socialist islamic tribalism may succeed as more and more nation states turn into failed states, as national borders dissolve, and inter-ethnic conflicts and makeshift allegiances erase all the nice straight lines so carefully drawn on maps by colonizing Westerners. For all these reasons, Gaddafi must be deposed. The question is, can the West still rise to the occasion, or is it too internally conflicted, senile and broke? A little bit of time will tell.
I don't think we are talking about an extended period of time. Just this slight Libyan kerfuffle has pushed oil prices over the threshold which the International Energy Agency has recently defined as the threshold beyond which Western economies crumble, which is when oil expenditure consumes over 5% of GDP. (The original idea, by the way, belongs to François Cellier, who used it to explain the financial crisis of 2008. The wheels of international agencies grind slowly.) This crumbling process will redirect all remaining energies (physical as well as mental) inward, to prevent or contain internal revolt, with precious little to spare for Libya or any other foreign adventure. For a little while yet we will get to watch the world burn on a variety of fashionably small electronic devices. But sooner than you might think the tweets and the video feeds will cease and the screen will go dark, as it already has in Libya. After that you'd have to go there yourself to find out what's happening. Yes, unimaginable horrors are afoot, and you can't do a damned thing about them. You might do better for yourself and your family by taking advice from Voltaire's Candide, and just cultivate your own garden. I am not a religious man, but I do sometimes like quoting the gospel (or in this case, two gospels—Matthew 8:22 and Luke 9:60): “...let the dead bury their own dead.”
Comments
David. This stuff is only thought-provoking if you enjoy pseudo-intellectual fantasy masturbation about living like cavemen. Every few sentences Orlov says something that is either completely wrong, utterly unfounded, or off the wall fantasy.
And yet, we see his nonsense strewn across supposedly intelligent liberal-lefty blogs. It's pure apocalyptic/deathwish shit, and if it was done by Glenn Beck - whose equally well-founded work is done for the Right - you'd be going ape on it. It's the same emotional impulse - people with a longing for collapse/death/starting over. You're Mr Genius Cultural Commentator, and yet you can't even see this? If some Baptist idiot babbled this sort of nonsense, you'd be all over it, looking for Murdoch's fingerprints or somesuch.
Try this from your Orlov selection:
"It is rather unusual for democracy (of the legalistic Western kind) to succeed where stomachs are empty. One normally expects a beer putsch or two, a Kristallnacht and perhaps a Reichstag on fire."
Really? Is that what one expects? A KRISTALLNACHT? I donno, lemme check the last, Ohhhh 235 years or so of Western democracy, and see how many of those we've had.
It's an asinine Beckian kindof statement, and he's got nothing under it.
And then he says this, "Just this slight Libyan kerfuffle has pushed oil prices over the threshold which the International Energy Agency has recently defined as the threshold beyond which Western economies crumble, which is when oil expenditure consumes over 5% of GDP." Really? Is that what they say? Crumble? When they crumble, do they crumble into dust, or just small bits of gravel? Or is Orlov talking out his ass? And do they say 5%? Or 3%? Or what is it? and are prices really up over that crumbling mark? And is there nothing else we can do, at all, to manage our energy use - or is it just rocks and berries from here on out?
I swear to God, this shit has invaded lefty sites and it's like arguing with children. They throw one ill-informed factoid after another at you, piling them up into a huge stinking apocalyptic heap,m and they seem to have no idea that their stuff is a perfect parallel to what the nutbar Christian Right is saying on all its shows. AND HAS SAID SINCE 1969.
To me, when people start in on this, it's like watching them reveal the most embarrassing emotional incapacity. "I can't deal with life, and so.... the world must be ending." It's exactly the sort of shit we hurl insults at the Fundamentalists for.
I love Orlov's fabulous conclusions as well. Watch how he works this stuff. "This crumbling process will redirect all remaining energies (physical as well as mental) inward, to prevent or contain internal revolt, with precious little to spare for Libya or any other foreign adventure. For a little while yet we will get to watch the world burn on a variety of fashionably small electronic devices. But sooner than you might think the tweets and the video feeds will cease and the screen will go dark, as it already has in Libya."
So.... there we are. ALL our remaining energies go to managing internal revolt. (Not just 98% - but "all.") The world burns. (Is the world actually burnable? What if it crumbled to gravel instead of dust? Cause dust can burn, but gravel, I donno.) Screens go dark. (Well, at least there's some relief from having to read shitty blogs.) And why is all this happening that again David? Because oil prices rose to $100? And what was the math on that all again? You know, the % of GDP?
Drivel. People should stop showing us their diapers and keep this shit off our screens. Or should I start bringing the Beck show in for viewings daily.
Don't answer that David. I'm sure you'd be happy if we all spent our days playing with our poo.
by quinn esq on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 10:36am
Ahh....Orlov did not write this.
by cmaukonen on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 11:38am
My apologies to him personally then.
And a big stick up the ass to bloody Seaton for saying Orlov did and linking to a blog called Club Orlov.
Which would make "Kollapsnik" - whoever they are - as big an idiot as Orlov.
Christ. They're multiplying.
by quinn esq on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 11:46am
I think he did - Kollapsnik is his posting handle, and there's no indication of a guest post.
by Donal on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 12:02pm
I stand corrected then.
by cmaukonen on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 12:08pm
Another side of the commentariat predicting collapse, Walter Russell Mead's latest in a series of blog post about the collapse of what he calls the blue social model.
Paul Krugman Gets It Half Right
He is not nearly as shrill as Orlov or Beck. In fact, he is cautiously optimistic about what lies beyond -- and -- he includes literary references.
by EmmaZahn on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 2:14pm
Sorry, commented on your other post first, but... though Mead isn't nearly as shrill, he seems to me to be peddling some pretty conservative wares. I completely agree with him on the need to transform our educational model, and on the need to slice the frictional and transaction-heavy portions out of the economy, but he almost purely targets government and the public sector - while I'd argue that the US, of the entire advanced Western world, has concentrated its fat in the PRIVATE sector - which he doesn't touch.
I guess I feel about him the way I do about Peak Oil. "Yes.... that's probably happening... who knows exactly when we cross the physical peak... but what this means is not the guaranteed social and economic apocalypse that most Peak Oil people seem to be on about, but rather, a process of managing a transformation on our energy system, which, if done poorly, will kick the shit out of working class exurbanites. This does not, however, end the world, as we regularly seem to do things which kick the shit out of this class. Britain has gas at $9.00 a gallon. Canada's at $4.60/US Gallon right now. So, no need for the world to end, at all. Just have to buy fewer guzzlers, and try to speed the turnover of the fleet. Net capital cost premium required to do that is roughly... nil. It just takes time, and the US keeps wasting it."
Jeez. I'm guess I'm becoming Mr Blase Status Quo. ;-)
by quinn esq on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 3:34pm
Oops! I responded to your reply on the other thread. This is getting confusing.
Mead is fairly conservative. He is now a history teacher but was formerly a fellow at CFR so he is or at least was probably a neo-conservative. He has a whole series of posts of the collapse of what he calls the blue social model that began about mid-December.
His is a different perspective than the norm here but challenges to ones views are often useful in strengthening them.
by EmmaZahn on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 4:43pm
I have to say that I do not agree with Meed on a number of points. His assertion that the period between 1950 and 1970 saw no innovation is just pure libertarian BS of the first order. In that period we went from vacuum tubes to the integrated circuit, from radio to color television, from people dying of heart disease to heart transplants, from cabled communication to satellites. All under a regulated economic system.
Need I go on. In the last 40 years we have seen very little true innovation. Uncontrolled, free markets are simply not interested in anything but personal gain. They have zip interest in any real innovation. Do not forget that both Apple and Microsoft STOLE their products initially from the likes of Xerox and CPM.
I am afraid that Meed is simply just another right wing clown.
by cmaukonen on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 3:52pm
Nobody's perfect?
Was that innovation thing in this post (I searched but did not find) or a previous one?
by EmmaZahn on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 4:45pm
This one Emma.
by cmaukonen on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 5:00pm
people with a longing for collapse/death/starting over.
Having read a lot of David's own blogs for several years now, I would put him in this category. So it's no surprise to me that he gets excited by such articles and wants to share them.
Sometimes one even gets a certain sense of hidden glee that "ok, now this latest conspiracy I see could finally be proof that the collapse is coming!" When that glee comes on too strong and David is challenged on that, he will protest that he doesn't really want the American people or the world's people to hurt and it makes him sad. Yet over and over in his blog posts he still hunts with glee for apocalyptic scenarios to fit most current events and news into. Becuse the sky does have to be falling and the end does have to be coming. It strikes me as a religious outlook in that there always has to be a bigger hand running the whole shebang: for others it is a god or the fates, for Seaton it is Obama's evil campaign planners fooling the youth, or China's "brilliant" rulers plotting their rise to world domination, or there's got to be something bigger behind a Russian spy ring in the U.S., or the Edward Bernays "plot" of creating the field of public relations and marketing. There's always got to be an vengeful god out there somewhere guiding things, nothing just happens, it's always according to some plan. Therefore the Tunisian and Egyptian uprisings had to be ascribed to simplistic classic Marxist revolution, they couldn't be something new and completely different and inconvenient statements of Tunisians and Egyptians must be explained away as them not knowing what they were saying. And therefore two anti-semitic incidents in the recent news must be the sign of Murdoch fomenting some great new plot to influence foreign policy and cause the sky to fall.
What would surprise me is seeing David cite an article that points out something new and different happening that no one has an explanation for, whether having positive or negative implications, any hint that change of any kind is possible. Or an article showing any evidence of progress or progression, he doesn't seem to believe progress is possible. Which is why I recently commented on one of his threads that he reminds me of an old timey Calvinist.
I would just say directly to David that more of his readers probably see this in his work than he might think, that it's pretty blatant after a sampling. And it's not the kind of writing that continually expands an audience but rather, contracts after a while, like Glen Beck's, or 9/11 truthers or the Left Behind series of books. After a while you've seen the shtick before and you might still follow it for amusement or it might just grow tiresome.
by artappraiser on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 5:00pm
See, I have no problem believing in "conspiracies." Anyone who reads political history understands that they're reading an extended series of conspiracies - to gain leadership, win elections, bring the media onside, raise money, break opponents, on and on, often with the aim of not being seen, or of having others be seen, or to be seen as doing the opposite.... but almost always, with a close group of friends/allies.
And again, the idea of the world falling apart - I have no problem with that. Clearly, the rise of Lady Gaga and the fact the Leafs haven't won the Cup since 1967 signify we've entered a long dark millenia. That, and my gout.
But it's when you see people for whom every. goddamn. thing. is a conspiracy, and every. goddamn. thing. counts as part of the total collapse.... it's that stuff that drives me nuts.
And Seaton, as you say, has danced his way well past the point of no return. I mean, has he ever come on and said, "You know, I was probably totally out to lunch on that thing I said about Mossad or the Chinese or Murdoch or __________." And after 101 visions of a conspiracy or an apocalypse, I guess I begin to mistrust the seer.
Oh well. Life in Spain must be much tougher than we think. ;-)
by quinn esq on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 6:24pm
Dunno, Quinn. Gotta disagee with you on Gaga. I've been mulling this video over for a year since Ruta posted it; I think it's genius, and it's art, laden with satire, themes, and fascinating mise-en-scene.
by we are stardust on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 7:46pm
I'm not buying.
Just interested, did you also see her videos for Telephone and Alejandro? To me, she's just another clever marketer, packaging up edge-world and flogging it to the millions.
If I see something that moves me, maybe I'll change my views. But so far? Nada.
by quinn esq on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 10:28pm
I liked her better when she was called Madonna.
by brewmn on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 10:37pm
No, I'll look them up. I did read about her 'meat clothing'; cracked me up--designed to be outrageous. It's fine to disagree about it; but then I like Shakira, too. ;o) I am a total sucker for production numbers with great dance.
by we are stardust on Tue, 03/08/2011 - 10:55pm
and now watch your worlds fall. 'Let all of the poisons that lurk in the mud hatch out'.
by Tiberius Claudi... (not verified) on Sat, 06/04/2011 - 3:09am