MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop
MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
During his keynote speech at the Energy Innovation Summit, Dr Steven Chu cited an ARPA-E grant recipient, Envia Systems, which has announced, "a more energy-dense lithium ion battery that it says will be cheaper than today's batteries and allow for an electric car with a 300-mile range."
CNet reports:
The five-year-old company today is expected to disclose technical details of its batteries which executives say could lead to cutting EV battery pack prices in half in three or four years. Envia Systems' batteries are being evaluated by a number of automakers, including its largest investor General Motors, according to CEO Atul Kapadia. ...
Envia said its batteries were tested at 400 watt-hours per kilogram at a projected cost of $125 per kilowatt-hour, which is more energy dense than most batteries and less than half of what automakers are paying today, according to the company. Its tests have also shown that its batteries perform well after 400 cycles, Kapadia said.
If the technology pans out as its performance tests indicate, it's conceivable that electric vehicles will match the cost of gasoline cars in the near future, Kapadia and Kumar said. With more energy-dense batteries, automakers can put few batteries in the car, lightening the load and reducing costs of other electric components. It takes about four years to evaluate batteries and design them into EV battery packs.
Now that sounded pie-in-the-sky to me, so I checked Green Car Congress for a more technical take. Not only did they have the story, Envia's CEO Atul Kapadia jumped in to the comment section to field some tough questions from the GCC crowd:
... What I would like Envia to evolve is into a "fabless Intel" model. If battery materials and design are key enables for batteries that are key enablers for EVs, it is somewhat similar to the Intel - IBM value chain in the early 80's. On the other hand, I do not want to go down many of our cleantech brethren that raised capital from private and government sources and never proved the model out. So a "fabless Intel" type model would make sense. My main goal in what you refer to the "cartoon" website was to get to the end-user to know that this car is inexpensive and has extended range because it has Envia enabled technology. However, I think the cartoon concept may not have been the best way for us to represent a battery company, considering the debris left behind in the past two decades. As soon as we have some bandwidth, we will come up with a new website.
In this age of connected urban cars, it's interesting that Kapadia doesn't invoke Apple. "Fabless Intel" reminds me of the wild days of PC clones, and those jokes comparing operating systems to automobiles:
4. Occasionally, executing a maneuver such as a left turn would cause your car to shut down and refuse to restart, in which case you would have to reinstall the engine.
Green Car Congress also discussed hybrid prices and adoption rates:
Future improvements in P2 hybrid systems should drop high-volume direct manufacturing costs to about $1,200 by 2020—very close to the approximately $1,000 cost threshold required for mainstream customer acceptance, according to John German, Senior Fellow and the US Lead for the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT).
GCC quotes German as saying:
I don’t think there is going to be much of a sales increase up to about 2020 or so. JD Power had 7.7% in 2018, I’m actually below that in 2018. The reason is it’s going to take time to bring out the new technology. It will take more time to build up sales so that you can actually design the vehicles around the hybrid system and that’s where you get a lot of cost reduction.
In the 2020 timeframe, I think you’ll see this all come together. [Hybrids] will go mainstream. By 2030, I’m saying 70% of the market. This is why I’m bullish about conventional hybrids; its not so much what’s happening now. Costs are too high, but they are going to come down.
Comments
My biggest problem with LI batteries is the safety factor. Charge and discharge has to be carefully monitored so that the cells do not overheat or reverse polarity which can and does cause them to self destruct in a most unpleasant manner.
I saw a report on DW about a German Company that was developing a cell that used a ceramic composite materiel that was supposed to be nearly immune to this but it was said to be years away from production. I think VW was very interested at the time.
by cmaukonen on Thu, 03/01/2012 - 10:25pm
Safety.
Good God, man. Did you ever hear of gasoline?
You know, gasoline and safety?
Gaaaaa.
by Qnonymous (not verified) on Sat, 03/03/2012 - 12:47pm
I am struck by these new ads on tv which you have seen!
I mean 650 miles without refueling?
I used to go on sojourns across America in my car. 750 miles a day was a monumental task for me! I mean it took 14 hours. And I broke speeding limits at times.
But I am struck and sucked into these ads on tv like I am some zombie in a movie which is probably how people are elected to Congress.
Why are we as a tribe so caught up in these ads? And why is it so predictable that the person with the most money wins elections?
Because I guess we are all sheep waiting for the alarms and barks and yells so that we fall in line I guess?
by Richard Day on Tue, 03/06/2012 - 6:52pm
Two useful articles on the Leaf from TTAC:
Review: A Week In A 2012 Nissan Leaf
On Hybrids & Electrics: 2012 Nissan Leaf (Again!)
by Donal on Fri, 03/02/2012 - 9:29am
From the first article, I think this is a very substantial negative:
You know the anxiety when your gas tank is nearing empty and gas stations are few and far between? Sounds like you'll feel that anxiety all the time in the Leaf. Because if you get stuck in traffic, going someplace 25 miles away, and get lost coming back , you're looking at getting stuck finding someplace where someone will let you use their electricity to charge the car for 26 hours, while you walk home the rest of the way.
I can see limiting the usage of the car to places that are like 10 miles away, in order to feel safe driving it. And limiting anything over that to the daytime, still feeling anxiety all the time.
If you miscalculate, instead of having AAA or a family member deliver gas to your empty car, you have to have the car towed to an electric outlet for a 26 hour charge, or all the way home.
And at home? You have to get 240V installed in your home garage, not an inexpensive proposition in every case, unless you are willing to wait 26 hours between drives.
by artappraiser on Fri, 03/02/2012 - 2:20pm
... 47 miles in heavy stop-and-go traffic. The traffic test cycle was 8 hours long and the A/C was in use for the entire test.
I know that, for me, driving for 8 hours straight, with the A/C on, is part of my daily routine.
by Qnonymous (not verified) on Sat, 03/03/2012 - 12:51pm
Donal, off thread. I noticed an article on Huffpo about IKEA offering a prefab house, comes partially assembled on a trailer. This could be worth following. But $80K? I love the IKEA designs and products, although much of their stuff doesn't seem very sturdy to me. One thing I've used a lot is their flat mattresses, used for built-in platform beds, etc.
I think I'm getting ill from all the seedy politics of late and need to get my animal spirits up so am penciling up a small cottage that a local builder is going to give me a quote on over the weekend. It will be really interesting to compare costs per square foot on locally built versus prefabs and manufactured housing.
by Oxy Mora on Fri, 03/02/2012 - 1:37pm
Check out Sarah Susanka's Not So Big House :-) I see she's selling home plans so it really has become a cottage industry.
I have a fair amount of IKEA stuff, and it has lasted. We went to IKEA last weekend, had free breakfast, which was worth every penny, and bought some kitchen and closet goodies. I liked the Abstrakt finish on one of the kitchen cabinet displays.
by Donal on Sat, 03/03/2012 - 7:17am
Yes Atul Kapadia is quick to jump into any discussion about Envia's battery and their technology as is evidenced here: http://engineergreen.blogspot.com/2012/03/envia-battery-technology-aargo... He must monitor this stuff rather closely via google
by Lectricgenius (not verified) on Mon, 03/05/2012 - 12:28pm
In case you hadn't heard, GM has suspended production of the Volt. Right-wingers associate the Volt with the GM bailout, even though the car was designed during the Bush administration, and it hasn't gotten very good press after a battery fire scare.
What’s ailing the Chevy Volt?
by Donal on Mon, 03/05/2012 - 8:39pm