MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop
MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
In 2014, with Russia's shipyard lease in Crimea to expire in 2017 and the deal to extend it another 30 years on the rocks with Yanukovich's ouster, Putin brazenly occupied the peninsula militarily, invoking historical precedents and the image of "Greater Russia". But despite Donbas Ukrainians dreams of uniting with Russia, Putin's heart didn't seem to be into the conflict so much as reinvigorating Crimea, and the only significant action since was a brief push towards Mariupol in the presumed attempt to give Russia an easy land route to Crimea. But aside from laughable attempts to get Russian tourists to keep Crimea afloat economically with horrendous lines at the ferry, the Russians started rebuilding their Sevastopol fleet, where most of their global naval power is housed, within weeks of occupation (scroll down for better pics of the whole fleet).
But perhaps Putin had a change of heart or wisdom about maintaining the bridge or land route to Crimea, as Russia's new $1.4 billion base is meant to open in 2020, not in Sevastopol, but in Novorossiysk heading down the Black Sea's east coast towards Sochi - firmly in undisputed Russia.
This Black Sea investment might not have seemed the greatest idea what with Russia's relationship with Turkey on the rocks, but suddenly amidst significant surprise, Russia's Turkish relations vastly improved (with Turkey & Russia now arrying out naval maneuvers together in lieu of the short-term gas embargo). Erdogan also took advantage of the "beginning of a beautiful relationship" to crack down on Islamic dissenters at home and take off the gloves as to Kurdish rebels in Syria. [Some think Erdogan is just playing East off West, but it's hard to see what he wants from the West at this point, aside from a foil and scapegoat]. Putin's obvious benefit? Anything in the Black Sea comes out the Bhosporus Straits, i.e. through good ol' ancient Byzantium, aka Istanbul.
But for an anti-Islamist such as Putin, the Syrian participation didn't make that much sense. While he would naturally oppose ISIS and prefer a more secular, old-style tyrant, he didn't seem to have much of a dog in that hunt. Except for that nice Russian naval base on the Mediterranean in Tartus [Foreign Affairs] and nearby troops housed in Latakia. And so his announcement last year that their mission was largely done made sense - as long as he retained docking & shipping rights. And indeed, Assad's fate rests firmly in Putin's hands and 1 Security Council vote away from regime change.
This wasn't a recent decision, as this Jan 2013 foray indicated: With a buildup of 16 Russian warships carrying thousands of marines on the Syrian coast “to deter the West from deploying ground forces in Syria” "... Assad nixes dialogue with "Western puppets".
Did the chemical attacks signify a serious shift in Assad's approach to the rebels - already on their heels since Aleppo - or was it an easy way for Putin to let Trump distance himself and take the heat off our domestic situation and the Russian-collusion feeding frenzy? All it took was a few Tomahawk missiles to destroy a largely abandoned airfield at 3am, and Trump's suddenly a war hero, a "statesman" and an anti-Russian security hawk.
But Putin's ambitions to master the sea lanes don't end there. More and more he's been sending boats as messengers - including nuclear subs - to the Mediterranean and Persian Gulf, into Norwegian waters, a flotilla through the English Channel, an encounter in Australia, another off a naval base in Connecticut, et al. Putin's no Peter the Great - he's too smart for another huge push for territory or more failed land wars in Asia. But boats and subs just cost a bit of oil or uranium, both in high Russian supply.
The Libyan deal is peculiar, as Putin's set up troops in western Egypt, near the Libyan border, to ally himself with the breakaway Libyan general Haftar controlling much of East Libya (the largely independent Cyrenaica of old) signing an oil deal with the eastern region just briefly before Haftar retook oil port facilities from the UN - suggesting more intrigues to come in Benghazi. Curiously enough, this Financial Times article seems to have undercurrents that Putin could also be presenting himself to the EU as the reasonable, practical man to deal with ISIS spinoffs in places like LIbya.
That would be an incredible PR success, considering acts like Russia's purported involvement in trying to assassinate Montenegro's PM might have been a twofer - halt Montenegro's membership in NATO and give Russia's fleet access to the Adriatic. That chapter's been closed, but certainly more to come.
Putin's intent on playing an actor on a bigger stage, and has been for some time. In some ways it's admirable - with Russia's waning energy fortunes showing a darkened future, he's augmented shrunken fortunes at home by projecting greater strength abroad. Too bad that this is largely of a Potemkin variety - it's hard to monetize intrigue in quite the same way as real natural resources and products of old. When your main business becomes a protection, laundering & extortion racket, how much future is there to that, however extensive the network?
Comments
As to
My understanding is that those Tomahawk missiles are precise enough to take out a license plate. Odd that they informed the Russians, (who just just MIGHT have informed Assad) about the missiles, and that the airstrip was flight-ready the next morning.
methinks that Putin is playing three-dimensional chess and the feeble-minded president is playing chinese checkers.
oh! And way too many liberals and moderates of all stripes are cheering for all the marbles.
edited for dumbness
by CVille Dem on Sat, 04/08/2017 - 10:27am
Trump plays 1 game, it's called "business as usual", i.e. art of the crooked deal. Jared wasn't in Iraq just to see what troops look like, and Trump didn't decide on this attack overnight based on some newly found humanitarian principles. Just a few weeks ago the Russians were trashing Aleppo and he had nothing to say. Think he gives a shit about whether chemical or conventional weapons, or even knows the difference? Back in the campaign he was all ready to use nukes unilaterally. Wag the Frog - 4 Frogmen of the Pepe Lips.
by PeraclesPlease on Sat, 04/08/2017 - 10:47am
Where did you find the image?
by rmrd0000 on Sat, 04/08/2017 - 10:53am
Just Googling. You can find it top row with "dailystormer pepe le frog trump" but my original search didn't have Daily Stormer.
by PeraclesPlease on Sat, 04/08/2017 - 11:06am
Your meme is picking up speed, see
Lawrence O'Donnell: Did Putin Mastermind Syria bombing, Trump/Putin Charade?
Warning:clicking on the link, means visiting the other Great Orange Satan: Daily Kos, I ended up seeing it there on a side menu when Peracles posted the DeVos/Blackwater story on another thread. Yikes it was scary dejas vus being there agin.
by artappraiser on Sat, 04/08/2017 - 6:56pm
You've been Trick Rolled.
by PeraclesPlease on Sat, 04/08/2017 - 6:58pm
I forgive you. Just like don't direct me to any former Billmon fans or the like.
by artappraiser on Sat, 04/08/2017 - 8:49pm
odd that 59 were launched but only 23 impacts are accounted for ... what happened to the missing 36?
I seriously doubt they would have allowed them to impact without detonating ... would give Russians a complete technical and engineering breakdown of our cruise missile technology.
Having work on many ordinance ranges (USAF, NAVY and Army) I've had my fair share of classified unexploded ordinance that had to be dealt with in one form or another ... nothing was ever left lying around ... it had significant Intel value no matter how mangled it was.
by Beetlejuice on Wed, 04/12/2017 - 2:07pm
Wingnuts used to talk about spy planes skipping off to space, so maybe 36 tomahawks are heading to Mars.
by PeraclesPlease on Wed, 04/12/2017 - 2:58pm
It is interesting thinking of scenarios and the implications. Speaking just of the unaccounted missiles, if they had missed and exploded in the wrong place on land we would probably know about it by now but way likely before too long. My guess is that most malfunctioned and fell into the ocean or else were exploded in air by a fail safe system on board that could identify a fatal problem and self-destruct before hitting the wrong target. Maybe gonna need a brand new generation of cruise missiles.
by A Guy Called LULU on Wed, 04/12/2017 - 3:37pm
Serious? A lot of tomahawks gone missing, and how do you lose them at sea when shooting offshore towards land?
by PeraclesPlease on Wed, 04/12/2017 - 5:16pm
Maybe I missed it, but where is it reported that so many of the missiles did not strike? Am serious, because all I find is the Russian propaganda arm media saying that:
https://www.rt.com/news/384420-pentagon-syria-tomahawk-efficiency/
and I just ran across this article at Asia Times that explains how Russia has a lot riding on proving that their S-400 defense system being used in Syria, which they just sold to India and China, works well:
http://www.atimes.com/mixed-signals-china-india-russias-s-400-syria/
Looks to me that maybe what is going on is a propaganda war between the Pentagon and Russian military about who has the better toys. And that we don't really have the truth about what failed and what didn't fail, from all sides.
by artappraiser on Wed, 04/12/2017 - 6:08pm
By the way, just ran across this April 5 piece, which contradicts earlier Russian spin:
Evidence Contradicts Russia’s Account of the Syria Chemical Attack
By JEFFREY MARCUS @ The New York Times
by artappraiser on Wed, 04/12/2017 - 6:38pm
Serious? You do know what is between a ship at sea and the shore don't you? More sea. In this case I believe it was hundreds of miles of sea but I haven't verified my memory on that.
by A Guy Called LULU on Wed, 04/12/2017 - 6:43pm
Molly McKew has some other thoughts.
by PeraclesPlease on Sat, 04/08/2017 - 5:24pm
McKew makes good points in these two graphs, even if hyperbolic:
by artappraiser on Sat, 04/08/2017 - 9:10pm
bad link
by Beetlejuice on Wed, 04/12/2017 - 2:08pm
Nope, link works: http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/04/what-did-putin-know-and-w...
by PeraclesPlease on Wed, 04/12/2017 - 2:44pm
FWIW (maybe nothing), Boris Johnson cancelled his meeting Monday with Russian Foreign Minister, says Rex is in charge (Politico)
by artappraiser on Sat, 04/08/2017 - 6:33pm
Beautiful, Boris is T. Rex's poodle now - didn't tak long. I thought Brexit was about freedom, journalist dude - yet another lie?
by PeraclesPlease on Sat, 04/08/2017 - 6:57pm
Relationship & dating experts on the internet these days are wont to advise that if you laugh at a man's jokes, he is yours:
Source: http://www.politico.eu/article/rex-tillerson-wins-applause-literally-in-nato-debut-donald-trump-foreign-policy-putin-russia/
by artappraiser on Sat, 04/08/2017 - 9:00pm
oh and didya happen to remember he's a former international oil exec?
http://money.cnn.com/2016/12/11/investing/rex-tillerson-exxon-russia-putin/
I can't wait for the post-trip conspiracy theories! Especially with virtually no media aboard.
by artappraiser on Sat, 04/08/2017 - 8:59pm
Post-trip's always the come-down, fed with a bit of paranoia. Expecting to fly? More like "strange I should change I dunno why don't you ask her." How to get a man and keep him - will look at all these books different now, in a Hannibal Lector/Buffalo Bill kind of way.
by PeraclesPlease on Sun, 04/09/2017 - 2:18am
Behooves any conspiracists to keep in mind, Team Trump still can't shoot straight:
Tillerson, Haley issue differing statements on future of Assad in Syria
@ WaPo, April 9
by artappraiser on Sun, 04/09/2017 - 11:49am
Neither of these 2 are inner-circle, so I'm not surprised. (might not make a difference anyway - Trump regularly contradicts his lieutenants). Anyway, if you consider the Syria attack as just a Potemkin showpiece, none of it matters - Trump got his war on....
by PeraclesPlease on Sun, 04/09/2017 - 12:38pm
Lavrov splains for you wassup in Putin's return in 2012, as told to Susan B. Glasser four years ago @ ForeignPolicy.com, in an audience he granted. Nothing much seems to have changed, they continue with this program:
Minister No
Sergei Lavrov and the blunt logic of Russian power.
By Susan B. Glasser, April 29, 2013, Foreign Policy Feature
MUCH MORE, THAT'S LIKE 1/3 OF THE ARTICLE
by artappraiser on Wed, 04/12/2017 - 6:59pm
Tillerson and Putin Find Little More Than Disagreement in Meeting
By DAVID E. SANGER @ The New York Times, 1 hr. ago
Includes a clip of the A.P. video of Tillerson's statement to the press after the meeting, i.e. "low level of trust" between the two countries
Excerpt, note my bold about China and Tillerson stating that interference in the U.S. election is a fact:
Could it be that Trump is responsible for that China abstenion?!!!
And after Tillerson said that about interference in the election, are they gonna trot out Kellyanne to say it was an alternative fact?
by artappraiser on Wed, 04/12/2017 - 6:31pm
They'll have Spicer announce that at least Russia never gassed its own people - a similar claim United's CEO noted about its customers. These are indeed times for low expectations and lower behavior.
by PeraclesPlease on Wed, 04/12/2017 - 7:15pm
Definitely a race to the bottom!
Putin Hoists Trump on His Own Fake News Petard By Jack Shafer @ Politico.com April 12, 2017
Got me thinking: why the hell did we expect anything different? Geez the news on Trump himself today is depressing, really showing himself to be an idiot. Where's Mike Bloomberg to defend the notion that not all billionaires are idioits or psychopaths and are capable of governing rationally? All he had was a little minor anal retentive disorder.
by artappraiser on Wed, 04/12/2017 - 9:49pm
more: Vladimir Putin Doesn’t Know Which Syria Conspiracy Theory to Believe
by Robert Mackey @ The Intercept (!!! yez, Greenwald's place!), April 12
by artappraiser on Thu, 04/13/2017 - 4:06am
Shades of Slim Shady: will the real fake news please stand up, please stand up?
by PeraclesPlease on Thu, 04/13/2017 - 4:41am
lol @ "the real fake news"
by artappraiser on Thu, 04/13/2017 - 11:02am