MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop
MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
By Annie Lowrey @ TheAtlantic.com, June 15
This week, the Federal Reserve decided to raise interest rates, a move intended to slow the economy down. It makes some sense. The current spell of growth has lasted for nearly 100 months. The jobless rate is down to 4.3 percent, and less than 2 percent in some metro areas. Wages are increasing, though not by much more than inflation. The monthly jobs numbers continue to look decent. As such, as expected, the Fed raised its benchmark rate by a quarter of a percentage point, from 1 to 1.25 percent.
But there is one main indicator that does not signal an economy getting hot—and it is one that the Fed is supposed to be keeping an eye on just as closely as it keeps an eye on employment. That is inflation. Price increases have proven remarkably, persistently sluggish [....]
This poses a quandary for the Fed, and about the Fed. Why is inflation so low if the economy looks so good, judging by other metrics? And why would the Fed raise rates—cooling the economy off and potentially keeping thousands of workers from joining the labor force, getting a gig, or getting a raise—given that inflation is so low? [....]
The root causes of today’s low rates of price growth might be mostly benign [....]
Comments
Was checking on this the other day out of curiosity. There is little inflationary pressure worth mentioning - probably due to the hidden slack in the labor market as the article mentions - but what little pressure there is is due to housing rents and sales-prices rising. Not a bubble (because that would involve a divergence betw rental rates and sales price), just more demand with no corresponding increase in supply, apparently. I'm not sure why the Fed feels it necessary to beat down on increased housing demand in the absence of any suspicious bubble. It makes no sense.
That, in addition to the the whole pretense of having 2% be the target while actually deliberately maintaining it between 1.25% and 1.75% since the financial crisis, makes the whole debate very weird. There is some elephant in the room which everyone seems to be dancing around.
by Obey on Fri, 06/16/2017 - 8:06am