Attribution Theory or why Media Elites don't like Bernie Sanders

    LizzaRight after the Democratic debate Ryan Lizza tweeted "Hillary Clinton won because all of her opponents are terrible."  Other pundits were every bit as hyperbolic as the New Yorker's snarky reporter.  The Boston Globe declared "Hillary Clinton roars, Bernie Sanders stumbles".  Politico insisted "Clinton towers, Sanders glowers."  Clinton reminded the Washington Post's Eugene Robinson of "Lebron James playing a pickup basketball game."  For the same newspaper, Dana Millbank called Clinton a "woman among boys".  Vox's Matt Yglesias wrote Clinton was not debating "first-rate competition".

    The encomiums for Clinton and disparagement of Sanders came as instant online surveys and focus groups were saying Bernie won big and before the release of reliable polls showing the opposite.  In fact, most watchers emerged from the debate with an enhanced respect for Sanders and his poll numbers did rise in NBC's post-debate poll just not as much as Clinton's did.  Yes debate watchers preferred Clinton but they did not scorn Sanders.

    What accounts for the big disconnect between the professional media class and home viewers?  Certainly, the fact that the Clintons have been reliably pro-big media since Bill approved significant media deregulation in the 90s plays a part.  Likewise, Sanders' call for much higher taxes on the wealthy cannot be welcome in the rarefied air breathed by billionaire libertarian Jeff Bezos who owns the Washington Post, Politico's 40-something multi-millionaire owner Robert Allbritton, or the suits at Time Warner/CNN.  Reporters and editors know the kind of coverage their bosses want and are eager to provide it.

    But I think something more than servility to corporate masters explains the gloating tone Lizza, et al., employed against Sanders in the aftermath of the Silver State showdown.  Yglesias mostly freelances and his boss at Vox, the relatively progressive Ezra Klein, certainly doesn't fit the casino capitalist mold even if Bezos and Allbritton do.  The real problem for Sanders is his core message - the "economy is rigged" - does not and, to a large degree, cannot appeal to media elites.

    Men like Ryan Lizza, Eugene Robinson, Dana Millbank, Matthew Yglesias are achievers.  They have climbed atop the incredibly steep and slippery journalistic mountain.  Obviously, they have talent, smarts, and assertiveness but they also benefited, with the possible exception of Robinson, from growing up in upper middle-class or affluent homes.  Lizza and Yglesias attended elite private high schools and then matriculated at the University of California and Harvard respectively.  Milbank graduated from Yale and Robinson from the University of Michigan.  Lizza and Yglesias are still in their 30s.

    Attribution theory posits that people explain or attribute good things that happen to them to their sterling character and intellect.  Likewise, they attribute bad results to external factors over which they have little control.  Top dogs are congenitally disposed to believe that they lead the pack because of speed, strength, and toughness not because they began the race way ahead.

    When Sanders says the game is "rigged".  He is telling poor and struggling folks what they already know or feel in their marrow.  They and their children are very unlikely to escape their straitened circumstances no matter how hard they work.  Only the remarkably skilled and fortunate are likely to escape poverty in America today.  But he is also telling those at the top of the ladder that they have benefited from an absence of competition from those who were not born on or near the upper rungs.

    In essence, Sanders is saying to the thought leaders, "you didn't build that" wildly successful career you're basking in on your own.  You don't write for the New Yorker (Lizza) or the Washington Post (Milbank and Robinson), you don't have a wildly successful blog (Yglesias) just because you're smart and shrewd and have a way with a phrase.  You also benefited from some or all of the following: an affluent background, good genes, a great education, and a heaping measure of good luck.  It should surprise nobody that the smartest guys in the room recoil from the man who delivers that cold wet douse of reality.

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    Comments

    I am not one to let a fellow blogger's post just sit there for hours, even a marginal work like this.

    Just kidding.

    Just when I thought​ we were moving on with some sophisticated approaches to understanding the nature of the revolution which, fortunately, is happening in the Democratic party, you get bogged down in a defensive piece of a wronged Sanders. Honestly, Hal, I don't think this kind of argument does much for your guy. I got an email from Webb's campaign about how the debate was rigged and it really turned me off. So enough with your damn complaints about the debate polls!

    Frankly, I came away with a higher regard for both Sanders and Clinton . As far as pundits of all stripes, as well as corporate media practices, they're geared for eyeballs because that's what pays the rent and their kids' tuition. I don't think Robinson was corrupted by Bezos---if that was your point.

    Hal, Sanders improved his campaign greatly with his debate performance. What matters is to keep his supporters sending in regular small donations so he can compete in the primary process and I suspect that the unfairness and psychological underpinnings of bad debate reviews might even help him in this insurgent, outsider climate.


    Oxy - don't you think it's interesting that big-name pundits were so dismissive of Sanders' performance when nearly everyone agreed he turned in a solid performance?  Doesn't the "elite" status of these thought leaders explain why they resist the call of a politician who scoffs at the idea that we live in a meritocracy?


    Hal, don't you think it's a little over the top to say, "only the remarkably skilled and fortunate are likely to escape poverty in America today". I doubt that even Sanders would go as far as you in denying the very existence of meritocracy in our society today. ​


    My language was too strong.  But economic mobility is limited in America today.  From last year's Economist: "the probability of a child born into the poorest fifth of the population in San Jose, California making it to the top is 12.9%, not much lower than in Denmark. In Charlotte, North Carolina it is 4.4%, far lower than anywhere else in the rich world."


    Most of what I've seen had Clinton & Sanders both doing well, for slightly different reasons.

    However, the media elites will always come up with some meme to copy and repeat ad nauseum. In this case it's "Hillary and the Lost Boys" to riff off Peter Pan, which probably reflects on the type of literature most of them are comfortable with.

    But it's rather funny to watch after months of "Hillary's done, stick a fork in her" from feel-the-Berners to have the outrage that ooh, the media has it in for Bernie.

    His position on guns sucks. As I noted, he could have waffled out of it with an "I"ve evolved" approach, or he perhaps could have done a Trump and said "damn right, I'm sticking to my guns", but instead he gave an awful unsatisfying response. As someone noted, Iraq no longer resonates as the brainfart it did in 2008, so HIllary's vote no longer resonates or detracts - the sting is gone. But with shootings occupying the front page, Bernie won't get a pass. Yes, that's a "stumble" and it sticks out, but it certainly wasn't the only thing they had to say, and Bernie got accolades for denouncing emails as a trifling campaign issue in these troubled times, moreso since it gave away an opening he had to improve his position at Hillary's expense.

    What I did learn was that the "socialist" Nordic countries were successfully more free-market capitalist until say the 60's. And the author credits their experience to their shared culture more than either capitalism or socialism.

    I'm not sure what attribution theory will tell you about the media elites' general hatred of the Clintons, including Bill who grew up poor in Arkansas and Hillary who went to public high school and seemed to get her breaks through hard work and standard markers of achievement like merit scholar, student council etc. Frank Bruni's been beating on her for years. Bob Somerby's been writing for 15 years now how Chris Matthews was blasting her from his Cape Cod mansion paid for by lying and sucking up to GE's Jack Welch. And how all those budding cutting-edge journalists learn to carefully temper their remarks to get their big break into mainstream TV or newsprint, such as Rachel Maddow's careful suck-uppishness to get to MSNBC and a few others, perhaps Yglesias was named if I remember correctly. The party line is always an easy destination, usually a few careful edits and platitudes and lock-steps away. 

    By the way, you might like Ralph Nader's summary of the debate, though his last line is a bit stupid and intentionally obtuse.


    I don't think the mainstream media despises the Clintons for the same reason that high-end pundits don't like Bernie.  The disdain that individual pundits express for BillnHill results from 1) the Clintons' history of dishonesty, triangulation, and hypocrisy and 2) the fact that snark directed against center-right Dems, like the Clintons and Jimmy Carter, is far less likely to result in blowback from hard-right 1% media owners than snark directed against trickle-downers like Reagan, or truly despicable right-wingers like W, Cheney, Paul Ryan, et al.


    The disdain for BillnHill comes from their history of dishonesty, triangulation, and hypocrisy.

    This is pretty demonstrably not the case.  The Clintons were outright attacked for upending D.C. society in the 1990s.


    Michael - I believe you are referring to the notorious Sally Quinn column published in the Washington Post in 1998 after the Lewinsky scandal broke.  She certainly does attribute anger at Bill to the factors you cite.  But even here Quinn quotes one insider as saying "the country might think everyone [in Washington] cheats and lies and abuses his subordinates the way the president has."

    Lots of other criticism of the Clintons came earlier though and what Quinn wrote doesn't in any way disprove what I wrote.  I can also quote lots of columnists who attack them for the reasons I cite.


    All you're saying is bullshit attack piled on bullshit attack eventually becomes true because whatever. Sorry, doesn't hold water. Whitewater held nothing, Vince Foster accusations held nothing. Washington of course cheats and lies so Sally Quinn could go fuck herself, if she weren't already dead, entiendes? These are the stupid shit well-connected assholes with primitive self-selective self-aggrandizing morals that you're using as validation, very strange for someone who claims to be anti-establishment.

    Blind pigs do find truffles.


    I like your take here.  My experience is a little closer to what Peracles Please describes. The journalism/commentary industry has its own standards for what's acceptable and what isn't. You can't get much more out there than Paul Krugman.  It's not an anything goes affair.  The journalists able to break the mold are rare.  If your point of view is to the left of The Nation, good luck getting published anywhere.  Around Vox, The New York Times and The Washington Post, The Nation barely exists.  It's a failed business and a non-profit, at that.

    Meanwhile, the success stories you meet in the business -- Malcolm Gladwell, Nick Kristoff, and the like, absolutely do not believe that radical change in our politics is necessary or good.  A smart guy like Matt Yglesias is going to find career support doing what he's been doing -- corralling think tank data and conclusions into left of center technocratic thought.

    Put another way, I think that support Michael Bloomberg for president is by any reasonable stretch a more radical proposition than supporting Sanders, but "No Label" Bloombergism is somehow still an acceptable position to hold in polite society.

    Most frustrating about this, I think, is that the big media voices do not engage in debate with left wingers anymore.  They wave their hands, call an idea radical, and move on without engaging. Having Sanders in the race and in the debates actually forces a conversation, but the usual suspects are now trying to pretend it isn't happening.


    Thanks.


    Hal, Mike has posited about the opposite of your vision of privilege and elite. Careerism and journalistic insider-ism doesn't equate to the extreme elitism you have conjectured.

     


    I agree that most reporters are not by any stretch of the imagination members of the media elite.  But, the New Yorker's Washington correspondent is and the op-ed writers for top newspapers who appear on a relatively regular basis on Sunday morning talk shows are.  Moreover, those who don't enjoy elite status probably want it.  Many of them are more than willing to tailor their message to suit their bosses and other media owners who are positioned to elevate these journalist journeymen and journeywomen to the top or near the top of the heap.


    Good comments, Michael, except that Bloomberg isn't running and Bernie is and even if Bloomberg ran, polite praise is a different reaction than blind disdain from the privileged elite---which is the thesis which Hal has presented.


    Running for Dag mediator? ;-)


    No, watching the Colt's game, it's halftime and I'm bored.

     


    I'm chewing off my Cubs fingernails and looking for diversion.


    I've posted before and I'll post again I don't see why pundits, or anyone, should pay any attention to instant on line polls and focus groups. You, and all of us, are smart enough to know they are meaningless except perhaps to sometimes indicate enthusiasm. Many of the instant on line polls explicitly state they are not using standard accepted methodology and are not scientific. You even admit in your post that they are not reliable, that, "instant online surveys and focus groups were saying Bernie won big and before the release of reliable polls showing the opposite." Why should anyone care about them?

    As has been pointed out frequently in the press headlines are rarely written by the author, usually they are selected by editors. Mostly they are click bait. Often they have little to do with the actual content of the article. Many times a sensational headline will refer to one slightly controversial  sentence buried in an article.  Why should anyone care about them?

    Win loss choices are a zero sum game. It doesn't really tell us much. Both of us hoped that Sanders had done better in the post debate polling though for much different reasons. I know you're hurt that your candidate didn't poll well but your attempt to spin it as a conspiracy in the media falls flat.


    No conspiracy is implied much less identified.  Specifically, I do not suggest, nor can one reasonably infer from what I wrote, that Lizza, Millbank, Robinson, or Yglesias consulted with each other and agreed to write the same column.  My blog explains why these high-end pundits all came to identically excessive conclusions, without the benefit of a group chat, regarding the magnitude of Clinton's win and Sander's supposed fail.  For more accurate assessments of the debate from alpha-females, see today's Washington Post columns by conservadem Ruth Marcus and moderacon (is that a word) Kathleen Parker.

    Your comment regarding headlines is inapposite.  My quotes from the four commentators were all taken from their columns not from headlines.  The headlines came from the editorials attributed to the Boston Globe and Politico.  Obviously, the publishers are responsible for the headlines.


    Why do you consider Marcus and Parker "alpha-females", and does that have any bearing on your assessment of their columns as more accurate? Your link to the Marcus article leads to Parker's piece, but what she (Parker) wrote doesn't seem much different than the others that you object to in your post. Well, except for this: "I'll say it. She looked fabulous.", followed by an explanation of why that mattered.


    I call them alpha-female pundits because they have a very coveted spot on the Washington Post's op-ed page and both are regularly on Sunday morning political talk shows.  I think they were more accurate because Parker recognized Sanders did okay.

    Sanders, though outmaneuvered by Clinton, nonetheless did well enough for his base of supporters. But his most memorable moment belonged to Clinton when he declared that Americans are “sick and tired of hearing about your damn e-mails.” "Me, too!” Clinton trilled to applause.

    I think that's about right, given the scientific polls, although I did give the win to Sanders in the debate's aftermath. 

    One line (correct link) from Marcus explains why I think she also pegged the debate better than the men.  "Twice when confronted with tough questions, Clinton deflected by invoking her gender." Unlike the guys, Marcus did not gush.

    Finally, I do think it's interesting that these two female pundits saw the debate relatively accurately.  As women in media Parker and Marcus probably faced more difficulties than the men - again with the possible exception of Eugene Robinson.  Accordingly, they are less likely to feel threatened  by Bernie's insistence that we do not live in a meritocracy.  Indeed, they may feel flattered.


    Well, Ruth Marcus has degrees from both Yale and Harvard, has been with the Post since her graduation from Harvard in 1984 and was a Pulitzer Prize finalist in 2007. Kathleen Parker has a Masters in Spanish Lit. from FSU, has been a renowned syndicated columnist since 1987 and won the Pulitzer in 2010. You mentioned a bit about such things regarding the authors you question, so it seemed fair to do the same with the two you prefer.

    Frankly, it means nothing in regard to what they - or anyone else - writes . It's all just opinion with degrees of importance decided largely by the reader. Maybe we *all* need to take a page from Hillary and grow a thicker skin ... we've a long way to go!


    Excellent take, barefooted.


    Yeah, yeah. You're bored and I'm distracted.

    Fortunately it's short term on both counts - for too many voters it's the standard.


    There you go. Peace.


    Generally, I dislike Marcus.  Parker has more good moments than any Republican commentator deserves to have.  I merely made the point that these two weren't as blinded by Hillary's alleged "dominance" at the first Democratic debate as four male commentators were.  I then provided a possible explanation for this based on my original premise that elite male pundits don't empathize with Bernie's main campaign theme that "the game is rigged" since they're likely to attribute their success to smarts and hard work and more generally their merit.


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