MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop
MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
David Lynch and Damian Paletta, WaPo this AM.
There are times when our federal government needs to be able to run deficits. Elevating balanced budgets to an overriding priority regardless of circumstances, as the Pete Peterson crowd has seemed to, is foolhardy.
What this development reflects, however, is a non-circumstantial refusal to find revenue to pay for what the current government intends to fund. As such, it is highly lamentable. It reflects an erosion of what should be a basic norm of our government to raise revenue to pay for what the government funds, to be sure usually honored in the breach, but a factor in budget policy and politics nonetheless.
The late Senator Moynihan was eloquent and showed political courage in insisting that sometimes what a government needs to do is just raise more revenue and find ways to do it no matter how much those who have to pay it don't like it, full stop. Given its exceptionally undisciplined, seat of the pants approach to "governing" (if that is what the current spectacle is), it comes as no major surprise from this Administration and GOP-controlled Congress.
Michael Lewis goes to Washington in search of Trump and winds up watching the State of the Union with Steve Bannon.
By Michael Lewis @ Bloomberg.com, Feb. 9
[Yes, that Michael Lewis: Michael Lewis is a Bloomberg View columnist. He is a contributing editor at Vanity Fair, and his books include “Flash Boys: A Wall Street Revolt,” “Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game” and “Liar’s Poker.”]
[...] Approaching any aspect of life as a zero-sum game has obvious practical costs: Deals that leave some people better off without making anyone else worse off suddenly don’t get done, because making some people better off now, by definition, makes other people worse off. It also comes with some psychological side effects. It cripples your imagination. It blinds and deafens you, as you sort of know what your adversary is going to do or say before they do or say it. Or, rather, you know how you are going to make sense of it: uncharitably.
The zero-sum approach in politics has since spread, as it tends to do wherever it takes hold. It has infected congressional Democrats and parts of the news media, and is seeping into everyday political discourse. Take the case of Stormy Daniels [....]
Book review by Adam Gopnik @ NewYorker.com, for the Feb. 12-19 print issue
[....] In the United States over the past three decades, while people argue about tax cuts and terrorism, the wave of social change that has most altered the shape of American life, as much as the new embankments of the Thames changed life then (in 1858), has been what the N.Y.U. sociologist Patrick Sharkey calls “the great crime decline.” The term, which seems to have originated with the influential Berkeley criminologist Franklin E. Zimring, refers to the still puzzling disappearance from our big-city streets of violent crime, so long the warping force of American life—driving white flight to the suburbs and fuelling the rise of Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan, not to mention the career of Martin Scorsese. (“Taxi Driver” is the great poem of New York around the height of high crime, with steam coming out of the hellish manholes and violence recumbent in the back seat.) No one saw it coming, and the still odder thing is that, once it came, no one seemed adequately equipped to praise it.
Sharkey, who came of age in that safer era, intends to be its eulogist. He begins his remarkable new book, “Uneasy Peace: The Great Crime Decline, the Renewal of City Life, and the Next War on Violence” (Norton), in the South Bronx, at a city block near Yankee Stadium, and recalls a time in the nineteen-seventies, whose climax was the fearsome blackout riots of 1977, when even the Stadium was sparsely attended [....]
By Jonathan Martin & Alexander Burns @ NYTimes.com, Feb. 10
[....] The president’s seeming indifference to claims of abuse infuriated Republicans, who were already confronting a surge of activism from Democratic women driven to protest, raise money and run for office because of their fervent opposition to Mr. Trump. “This is coming, this is real,” Stephen K. Bannon, Mr. Trump’s former chief strategist, said recently about the female-fueled wave of liberal energy [....]
“For members or anybody else who cares about keeping control of Congress, if you find yourself talking about anything but the middle-class tax cut, shut up and stop talking,” fumed Corry Bliss, who runs the primary House Republican “super PAC,” the Congressional Leadership Fund. “Any time spent on TV talking about anything but how we’re helping the middle class is a waste of time and does nothing to help us win in 2018.” [....]
Many Americans are still uncertain that they will benefit from the tax measure, Mr. Bliss conceded. He cited a wave of private polling and focus groups that his organization has conducted this year revealing much of the electorate to be skeptical that they would receive a tax cut from the bill, which was signed into law in December.
That is in part because of what mainstream Republicans describe as a destructive cycle of incentives: Mr. Trump reacts to Fox News segments about the Russia investigation or another controversy, encouraging more such coverage and prompting House conservatives from largely safe seats to make their own incendiary comments, which win them television invitations and attention from the president. Such notoriety might help those lawmakers in their deep red districts, but they do nothing for the party’s overall political standing.
“These guys are performing for the president when they go on TV,” said Jason Roe, a longtime Republican strategist who is consulting on a series of at-risk House districts in California. Representative Matt Gaetz of Florida, a first-term Republican who is one of Mr. Trump’s most visible champions outside the White House staff, all but said as much [....]
@ AIweirdness.com Blog, Feb. 10
Around Valentine’s Day in the US and UK, these things called candy hearts (or conversation hearts or sweethearts) appear: small and sugary, bearing a simple, short Valentine’s message. There are only room for a few characters, so they read something like “LOVE YOU” or “CALL ME” or “BE MINE”.
I collected all the genuine heart messages I could find, and then gave them to a learning algorithm called a neural network. Given a set of data, a neural network will learn the patterns that let it imitate the original data - although its imitation is sometimes imperfect. The candy heart messages it produced… well, you be the judge [....]
By Edgar Sandoval, Thomas Tracy and Graham Ranham @ NYDailyNews, Feb. 8
With videos including the act caught on a surveillance camera run by a neighbor: teen black on Mexican immigrant hate crime in the south Bronx. Especially disturbing because it's so atypical, a new phenomenon, hope it's not a growing trend but a crazy outlier. (In the old days, one would attack someone from a rival gang, that's gone, so we move on to immigrants just because they are from a certain country? There's a lot of them to go through!) One women from the hood taking her kid to school comments in the news video it's really crazy out there, people need to calm down, they need to crack down on all this as if she's been hearing too much anti-immigrant talk.
from the print:
“I’m worried that these type of attacks against immigrants are happening more and more,” Herrera said. “I’m still afraid, because police haven’t caught him yet. I’m nervous. Sometimes his grandma takes my son for a walk. What if (the attacker) recognizes him?”
He said he hasn’t experienced any violence since he moved to New York from Guerrero, Mexico, in 2009. Now he fears his only child may need therapy.
By Matthew Rosen @ NYtimes.com, Feb. 9
BERLIN — After months of secret negotiations, a shadowy Russian bilked American spies out of $100,000 last year, promising to deliver stolen National Security Agency cyberweapons in a deal that he insisted would also include compromising material on President Trump, according to American and European intelligence officials.
The cash, delivered in a suitcase to a Berlin hotel room in September, was intended as the first installment of a $1 million payout, according to American officials, the Russian and communications reviewed by The New York Times. The theft of the secret hacking tools had been devastating to the N.S.A., and the agency was struggling to get a full inventory of what was missing.
Several American intelligence officials said they made clear that they did not want the Trump material from the Russian, who was suspected of having murky ties to Russian intelligence and to Eastern European cybercriminals. He claimed the information would link the president and his associates to Russia. Instead of providing the hacking tools, the Russian produced unverified and possibly fabricated information involving Mr. Trump and others, including bank records, emails and purported Russian intelligence data [....]
Your move, Congress.
By Julia Preston for Politico Magazine, Feb. 9
[....] on Monday, we invited four people from across the political spectrum, people who have fought with and against each other in the trenches of the D.C. immigration debate for years, to sit at a table and talk. We asked them if they could come up with a compromise, any compromise, that might give the young immigrants a way to avoid deportation, a goal Trump too has endorsed. We gave our model Congress water, cookies, paper, pens and two hours to see what they could do. They never left the room. (But we probably would have allowed them to if they had asked.)
Over 120 minutes, we learned a lot about the contours of the current immigration debate—what both sides really care about [....]
By John Bowden @ TheHill.com, Feb. 8
Nearly half of Iowa voters said they wouldn't vote for President Trump in the 2020 election, according to a poll of likely voters released Thursday.
The Des Moines Register poll found that 48 percent of voters said they would "definitely" vote for a candidate besides Trump, while 20 percent said that they would consider it. Just 26 percent of likely voters said they would definitely vote for Trump in 2020.
Iowa traditionally holds the first caucuses of the presidential nominating process, and is set to be the first battleground for Democrats looking to run in 2020 [....]
Current headline story by Mike DeBonis and Erica Werner @ WashingtonPost.com, February 8 at 6:27 PM
Hours to a midnight shutdown deadline, congressional leaders scrambled to rally support for a sweeping half-trillion-dollar spending deal Thursday amid last-minute objections from a conservative in the Senate, and attacks from left and right in the House.
As opposition appeared to swell in the House and Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) threw up last-minute roadblocks in the Senate, White House Office of Management and Budget spokesman John Czwartacki said that “agencies are now being urged to review and prepare for lapse” in spending after midnight.
Paul, making use of Senate rules that give individual senators enormous power to slow down proceedings that often require the consent of all, demanded a vote on his amendment that would demonstrate how the two-year budget deal breaks past pledges to rein in federal spending [....]
By David Masci @ Factank @ PewResearch.org, Feb. 7
For Black History Month, here are five facts about the religious lives of African Americans.
By Claire Malone @ FiveThirtyEight.com, Feb. 6
Over the past two decades, public opinion in the U.S. has shifted dramatically on many of what we call “cultural” issues. It’s a soft-sell term, an odd way of undercutting the power that issues like drugs, marriage and abortion have to drive the politics of so many Americans.
Since the early 2000s, we’ve seen opposition to same-sex marriage and legal marijuana use drop by around 25 percentage points.1 Public opinion on abortion, however, has been less fluid. In 2000, 53 percent thought abortion should be legal in all or most cases, while 43 percent thought it should be illegal in all or most cases. In 2017, support for legalized abortion had ticked up to 57 percent, and opposition had ticked down to 40 percent. Those numbers reflect gradual shifts, far from the seismic changes we’ve seen on other cultural issues [....]
Informed insider speculation on the budget negotiations, from Greg Sargent, who as many of you know worked with Josh at tpm some time ago. WashPost, earlier this morning. This is not a "news" piece, I readily acknowledge, but is offered as a window into current state of play at the federal level.
Turkey is recruiting and retraining Isis fighters to lead its invasion of the Kurdish enclave of Afrin in northern Syria, according to an ex-Isis source.
“Most of those who are fighting in Afrin against the Kurds are Isis, though Turkey has trained them to change their assault tactics,” said Faraj, a former Isis fighter from north-east Syria who remains in close touch with the jihadi movement.
By John Bowden @ The Hill. com, Feb. 7
Israeli police chiefs will recommend to the country's attorney general that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu be indicted on corruption charges, according to reports in local media.
The Times of Israel reported Wednesday that police chiefs, including the general commissioner of Israel's police force, were in "unanimous agreement" that Netanyahu should be indicted for allegedly accepting bribes and receiving lavish gifts from wealthy benefactors, including Israeli-born Hollywood producer Arnon Milchan [....]
By Martha C. White @ NBCNews.com Business, Feb. 7
The booming stock market has been good for ordinary Americans with retirement accounts, and it also has enriched another class of investors to an extent some find problematic: Some medical economists say that nonprofit hospitals are using lucrative Wall Street portfolios to fatten their bottom lines rather than lower what patients pay for health care.
“The tenor and the responsibility of hospital CEOs has now changed over time,” said Gerard Anderson, a professor of health policy, management and international health at the Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health. “They focus on the bottom line and … they get performance ratings based on profitability,” he said [....]
By Cynthia McFadden, William M. Arkin & Kevin Monahan @ NBCNews.com, Feb. 7
The U.S. official in charge of protecting American elections from hacking says the Russians successfully penetrated the voter registration rolls of several U.S. states prior to the 2016 presidential election.
In an exclusive interview with NBC News, Jeanette Manfra, the head of cybersecurity at the Department of Homeland Security, said she couldn't talk about classified information publicly, but in 2016, "We saw a targeting of 21 states and an exceptionally small number of them were actually successfully penetrated." [....]
By Amber Phillips @ WashingtonPost.com, Feb. 7
At 10:04 Wednesday morning, House Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) took the floor for a one-minute speech — and ended up talking for eight hours and 10 minutes.
Pelosi now holds the record for the longest speech on the House floor, historians say. It's certainly the longest speech in a century. Technically, she broke the rules by even seizing the floor that long. The House more or less banned filibusters in the 1890s, said congressional rules expert Joshua Huder at Georgetown University.
Filibusters used to be a frequent thing, but a particularly nasty partisan fight changed that. In the 1890s, the majority party was frustrated that the minority party was holding up negotiations by refusing to provide a quorum [....]
Trump's military parade draws bipartisan rebuke
By Bryan Bender @ Politico.com, Feb7
Members of Congress from both parties joined retired military leaders and veterans in heaping scorn Wednesday on President Donald Trump’s push to parade soldiers and weaponry down the streets of the nation's capital — calling it a waste of money that would break with democratic traditions [....]
"I think confidence is silent and insecurity is loud,” Sen. John Kennedy, a Louisiana Republican, told reporters in expressing opposition to the idea. “America is the most powerful country in all of human history; you don’t need to show it off.”
"This is definitely not a popular idea," added Paul Rieckhoff, the CEO of Iraq and Afghanistan Veterans of America, describing the feedback he is getting from members of the largest group of post-Sept. 11 veterans. "It's overwhelmingly unpopular. Folks from all political backgrounds don't think it is a good use of resources. “We are very aware of anything that politicizes the military,” he told POLITICO.
Former Rep. Joe Walsh (R-Ill.), now a conservative radio talk show host, also attacked the idea on Twitter: “Obama wasn't a King. Trump isn't a King either. My side needs to quit treating him like one. We don't elect Kings in this country, remember? No military parade.” [....]
by Darla Cameron and Kim Soffen, WaPo, Feb. 1, 2018
In the wake of Donald Trump’s election, an unprecedented number of women — primarily Democrats — are running for office in 2018. Final numbers will not be available for some time, but Emily’s List, an organization that works to elect Democratic women, has reported being contacted by more than 26,000 women who are interested in running for office since Election Day 2016. That is compared with 920 during the entire two-year 2016 election cycle.
The open question is whether this energy will result in more women being elected in 2018. It did in Virginia’s 2017 election, where 15 more female legislators were elected to the state’s 100-member House of Delegates.
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