Huge change in projections regarding Covid 19 by The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation

By artappraiser on Tue, 04/07/2020 - 2:33am |

Huge change in the IHME model. Hospital beds needed drops by 45%, death forecast drops by 12%: https://t.co/HogaySw6A6
— Conor Sen (@conorsen) April 6, 2020

URL:

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

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About IHME:

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent population health research center at UW Medicine, part of the University of Washington, that provides rigorous and comparable measurement of the world's most important health problems and evaluates the strategies used to address them. IHME makes this information freely available so that policymakers have the evidence they need to make informed decisions about how to allocate resources to best improve population health [....]

by artappraiser on Tue, 04/07/2020 - 2:38am

Said another way?

Situation update. pic.twitter.com/oH05lRnh9l
— Linda Hubbard (@lindahubbardart) April 6, 2020

by artappraiser on Tue, 04/07/2020 - 2:42am

Global markets largely extend gains after major indexes in the U.S. jumped more than 7% amid early signs that lockdowns could be helping stem the coronavirus pandemic https://t.co/y7OPNWOaEZ pic.twitter.com/EGs9sv5gKB
— The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) April 7, 2020

by artappraiser on Tue, 04/07/2020 - 4:32am

Irrational exhuberance - what lockdowns? You can't even get Americans to wear masks. Where's the supposed downturn in infections? People are just riffing off Trump's rah-rah over-in-a-week stuff. Viruses don't do exceptionalism.

by PeraclesPlease on Tue, 04/07/2020 - 7:43am

One month ago today Trump told us he didn’t want to let people off a coronavirus-infected cruise ship because he didn’t want the number of US cases to go up. More than 10,800 Americans have died from Covid-19 since then. https://t.co/iBk7fSRBZu
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) April 7, 2020

by PeraclesPlease on Tue, 04/07/2020 - 12:56pm

A serious conservative (as in: not a pretend one) takes them on:

From me: How Irritated Should We Be with IHME Right Now? https://t.co/BtnOnVITK1
— Robert VerBruggen (@RAVerBruggen) April 10, 2020

by artappraiser on Thu, 04/09/2020 - 9:30pm

Nate Silver, click on to get entire thread:

I'm seeing people mean (at least) two different things when they use the phrase "flatten the curve" and they have different (somewhat opposite) implications for when the peak will be and whether it will come sooner or later.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) April 10, 2020

by artappraiser on Thu, 04/09/2020 - 10:00pm

Andy Slavitt:

Update COVID April 9: The big conversation is around the 60,000 death toll model so I had confidential conversations with the modelers. Can share without attribution.

Also a palliative care doc walked me through a day with a COVID patient day.

1 more Senate call. Soon.1/
— Andy Slavitt @ (@ASlavitt) April 9, 2020

check his feed for the followup tweets.

by artappraiser on Thu, 04/09/2020 - 10:10pm

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