The Bishop and the Butterfly: Murder, Politics, and the End of the Jazz Age
    David Seaton's picture

    Repent! The end is near... or maybe not

    Administration officials said that nearly 800,000 federal workers would probably be told to stop working if a deal was not reached in the next two days. Small business loans would stop. Tax returns filed on paper would not be processed. Government Web sites would go dark. And federal loan guarantees for new mortgages would become unavailable. Speaking to reporters on a morning conference call, a senior administration official said the cumulative impact of the shutdown “would have a significant impact on our economic momentum.” New York Times

    I have to admit that I still haven't quite gotten over seeing the Oscar winning documentary, "Inside Job", which is described by its director, Charles Ferguson as being about "the systemic corruption of the United States by the financial services industry and the consequences of that systemic corruption". I found myself especially depressed by the part America's most prestigious educational institutions have been playing in this corruption. This is as if America's mind itself were corrupted, with unimaginably negative consequences for the country.

    A healthy intellectual community is vital, central, to any meaningful change.  For at bottom the battle to be fought politically must be first be fought intellectually and if America's intellectuals are corrupt, who is to fight it? As the Bible says, "Ye are the salt of the earth: but if the salt have lost his savour, wherewith shall it be salted? it is thenceforth good for nothing, but to be cast out, and to be trodden under foot of men."

    What is the battle that has to be fought? Steve Walt has written a powerful paragraph that shows the outlines of it:

    Since the mid-1960s, American conservatism has waged a relentless and successful campaign to convince U.S. voters that it is wasteful, foolish, and stupid to pay taxes to support domestic programs here at home, but it is our patriotic duty to pay taxes to support a military establishment that costs more than all other militaries put together and that is used not to defend American soil but to fight wars mostly on behalf of other people. In other words, Americans became convinced that it was wrong to spend tax revenues on things that would help their fellow citizens (like good schools, health care, roads, and bridges, high-speed rail, etc.), but it was perfectly OK to tax Americans (though of course not the richest Americans) and spend the money on foreign wars. And we bought it. Moreover, there doesn't seem to be an effective mechanism to force the president to actually face and confront the trade-offs between the money he spends on optional wars and the domestic programs that eventually have to be cut back home.  Stephen M. Walt

    I confess I don't see any way of winning that battle as things stand today other than if the conservative movement simply collapses under the weight of its own stupidity, unfortunately damaging millions of people's lives and welfare in the process. I wonder how many dumb things anyone can do on borrowed money, for how long?

    I am reminded of Marx's much ridiculed prediction that capitalism would eventually collapse under the weight of its internal contradictions.  Where he went wrong, in my humble opinion, was imagining that a revolution would hurry the process. I think he made that error out of the natural and very human desire to see things we would like to happen, happen when we are still alive to see them happen. Life is very short and a human being's power to imagine future utopias nearly infinite. How many millenarians over the centuries, have sold everything and then sat in a field waiting for the world to end? Humans are always seeing signs that the end is near. Today we have the Rapture movement to prove that this waiting hopefully for the world to end is just part of the contradictory and tragic nature of our species. So, in my opinion Marx succumbed to this most human of traits, wishful thinking, when he predicted revolution being the end of capitalism and the instrument with which to effect the liberation of humanity. However, inevitably the world will end someday. Won't it?

    On the other hand his analysis of the forces within the capitalist system, those which could cause its final collapse seem to me as rationally scientific as a seismologist discussing the San Andreas Fault.... On examining the fault scientists know that something terrible is bound to happen sometime, but the they don't know when, maybe tomorrow or maybe in 300 years. The idea of a revolution causing the collapse of capitalism is like thinking that if all the inhabitants of Los Angeles jumped up and down simultaneously, that this would cause the famous earthquake called, "the big one" to occur. But just because revolution has failed doesn't mean that capitalism is safe, because it can fail all on its own and there is no guarantee that anything better will automatically replace it.

    The prime reason that the world's left(s?) appears so helpless today in the face of capitalism is that capitalism has become a truly international or better said, "a-national" movement. Today many corporations are even headquartered officially in offshore tax havens to avoid paying taxes. They are not controlled by any nation, while the left always, despite singing "The Internationale",  is inevitably attached to the states they inhabit and the only state where a revolution might actually change the whole world, The United States of America, is the state least likely to ever see one.

    However just like the Rapturettes probably all we can do is wait and hope.  

    Crossposted from: http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/

    Comments

    What? Have you given up your predictions of imminent collapse?

    Modern capitalism, for all its flaws, is not nearly as awful as it was in Marx's day. We worry about insufficient regulation and the loss of collective bargaining rights, but in the 1800s, there was no regulation and no unions. We can barely conceive of the working conditions then.

    One of the reasons Marx was wrong about revolution was because the progressive and labor movements reformed capitalism's worst excesses. Walker and friends may erase some of our progress, we're not anywhere close to where we were then.


    It's also totally possible that some one like Walker, were he able to bring us back to the worst of times, would not be able to survive them.  Koch, sure.  But probably not Walker or most of today's "brave capitalists."  A lot of Wall Streeters would have found themselves ruined, if not in prison.


    Well beckerhead tells me the end is nigh or near or neigh or something like that.

    Why would he lie to me?


    We can barely conceive of the working conditions then.

    All you have to do is look at the working conditions in the "emerging nations" to get an idea what it was like then... and that is where all the union jobs that Americans used to have... have gone.

    One of the reasons Marx was wrong about revolution was because the progressive and labor movements reformed capitalism's worst excesses.

    Totally correct! That's why it would be stupid to play with that formula... which is exactly what is happening now.

    AIDS is a wonderful political metaphor: you remove an immune system and diseases that haven't been seen or clinically described in a hundred years suddenly appear in the hospitals.

    Have you given up your predictions of imminent collapse?

    It is hard to imagine a system as intrinsically corrupt as that shown in "Inside Job" barreling along forever, but perhaps it will... more's the pity. Many very fine people know what is wrong and what to do about it, but nobody seems able to change anything... The empires of Rome and Spain took a long time -- centuries--  to collapse in their decadence... maybe we'll be lucky too.


    Here is an old post of mine that compliments this Marx business:

    “The ultimate reason for all real crises always remains the poverty and restricted consumption of the masses as opposed to the drive of capitalist production to develop the productive forces as though only the absolute consuming power of society constituted their limit.” [Marx - Capital, Volume III, Chapter 30]
    There are certain ancient temples, where, perhaps once in decades, the sunlight will shine through a tiny, hidden crack in the temple wall and for only a moment illuminate a small, unnoticed, obscure, hieroglyph among thousands... the one that contains the mystery of mysteries... The old chestnut quoted above is like that, for decades and decades it made little sense and now, sweet mystery of life, at last I know the meaning of it all.

    It goes like this:

    Because of the intense pressure of needing to be "competitive", over the years business has found ways of producing more and more things to sell, using fewer people at home or using "cheaper" people in other countries to produce them. That is why for many years now workers salaries have been more or less stagnant in real terms. This makes it difficult for impoverished people  to purchase all the things that business can produce. This has been "solved" on one hand by more and more "efficiency", technology and cheap foreign labor (thus keeping salaries and prices down) and by lowering interest rates below the rate of inflation, practically begging them to take loans so, in this way, people wouldn't notice that they were poor... almost like giving money away... almost.

    Like when Wile E. Coyote, out chasing the roadrunner, runs off a cliff and everything is fine until he looks down and then hoo hooo hooooooooooo thud he crashes to the canyon floor, the lenders got nervous, didn't want to loan any more and wanted their money back, but there actually wasn't any money there when the credit dried up.

    Here we see that the "invisible hand" has been working for years and years like a cosmic Bernie Madoff... but unlike in Bernie's case, now the rest of us have to do his time.

    But hey, it gets worse.

    The Chinese and the Indians are not content with pressing their noses to the candy store window, they want to consume too. Here is my favorite conservative economist Martin Hutchinson on what is coming down the pipe:
    I have been predicting for some time now that the inflation-suppressing effect of globalization would soon come to an end, with unpleasant results for all the cheap-money western economies. The decision by the Taiwanese contract manufacturer Foxconn to raise wages in its 300,000-employee Chinese factory by 30%, with an additional 66% to be paid as bonuses based on output, suggests that the cost revolution in outsourcing is now fully upon us. Needless to say, we are wholly unprepared.(...) Food prices in India are currently 16.7% above those of a year ago, while overall wholesale price inflation is rising at 9.6%. Like Chinese, Indian labor costs are outpacing any possible productivity improvements, with wage rises of as much as 20% in urban areas. Not only does this indicate that Indian interest rates need to rise sharply from their current 3.75%, but it also suggests that outsourcers are going to find India as well as China an increasingly expensive place to do business.(...) If the two largest sources of cheap labor that provide manufacturing and service capacity for globalized businesses both have high inflation and there are few alternatives available, then the conclusion is inescapable: cost inflation is about to hit Western economies in a big way.(...) Western sentimentalists are rejoicing currently at the vast improvements in living standards for the Foxconn workforce. They should withhold their joy; the long-term costs of those wage increases will be paid in the West.

    So on top of unemployment, stagnant salaries, paying down debt, reassuring the markets and no credit, we are going to have inflation too. The answer to all of this of course is more productivity, more efficiency, not raising salaries, while inflation eats away what little buying power those salaries had.

    But, of course if people are out of work and prices are going up, they are not going to be buying much stuff, so a lot of Chinese and Indian factories are going to close

    This is what the old guy who opened this rant used to call "contradictions".

    The result... Well, many years ago, when I was a little boy, my dad, who though a Brooks Brothers clad executive, was a fanatical Democrat, used to play a practical joke at election time; when he took cabs or went for lunch at expensive restaurants, he would leave really stingy tips with a cheery, "Vote Republican!".

    When I was a boy that was a joke...

    Nowadays that is probably what the people getting stiffed are going to do... vote Republican.

    That is the part old Karl never really got figured out.


    Will QEII still be in effect, and will the Fed still have the discount window open for the Arab Bank owned by Quadaffi and all the other crooks and commodity speculators on Wall Street... are Geithner and Bernanke 'essential personnel'?


    HEY SEATON! THE JEWS! THE JEWS!

    THEM JEWS GOT BECK, I TELLS YA!

    RUN! YOU'RE NEXT! 


    Quinn, 

    It would be prudent to wait a couple of beats before you count Beck out.

    (...) he was unhappy from almost his first day on the job, which happened to be the day before Mr. Obama was inaugurated. Even in his first year, he was contemplating an exit from Fox and wondering if he could start his own channel.(...) Fox has retained all its other high-rated hosts in the past, but they didn’t come under the intense scrutiny that Mr. Beck has faced, nor the mass opposition from advertisers. As onerous as that might have been to Fox financially, it did not seem to be an issue for Rupert Murdoch, the chairman of the News Corporation. In two recent comments to shareholders, Mr. Murdoch defended Mr. Beck. He said of the advertiser boycott, “They don’t boycott watching it. We’re getting incredible numbers.” He followed that by pointing out that even with his diminished ratings, Mr. Beck’s show provided a “terrific kickoff” to the lineup of Fox shows that followed.(...) A senior Fox News executive, Joel Cheatwood, will join Mr. Beck at Mercury Radio Arts later this month. NYT

    Reading this article in the NYT, it seems to me that Murdoch would like some sort of platform, that is even (gasp) farther to the right than Fox. It will be interesting to see what links  may develop between News Corporation and Beck's new project.

    News Flash: Glenn Beck may be replaced at Fox by... Donald Trump... (out of the frying pan).


    A Hun watching the Fox House?

    At his Beck and call?

    Over-Trumped?


    Or Trumping the Beck

    which in French - tremper le bec - just means "extortion"!!

    i.e. I'm sure there's a euro-socialist conspiracy behind all this, Glenn...


    Ow, I've been out-Francaised, je suis trompé - touché. Fetchez le vichyssoise, mon Pétain.... il faut arrêter les socialistes un fois de plus - le canal rénard m'a dit c'est vrai, bien sûr c'est indubitable, non? L'Europe pour les europayennes...


    ¡Vaya cuadrilla!


    And ¡Viva zapatos!


    Los tuyos


    You betcha!  (Palinese)