The Bishop and the Butterfly: Murder, Politics, and the End of the Jazz Age
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    The End Has Begun

    By Michael Wolraich on Wed, 05/07/2008 - 11:23pm | Politics

    A couple of days ago, I argued that after Tuesday, the race would essentially be over because there would no longer be a way for Clinton to win the popular vote, her only remaining plausible argument for superdelegates to vote for her.

    I reran the numbers based on the tonight's results, which were substantially better for Obama than my conservative assumptions.Clinton would now have to convince at least 75% of the remaining superdelegates to vote for her in order to win the nomination. To win the popular vote, including Florida, she would need to win by average of 65% (a 20 point spread) in the remaining states, which is essentially impossible.

    Meanwhile, the pundits have begun talking about the endgame even sooner than I anticipated...

    CNN: Delegate counter: Can Obama be overtaken?
    ABC: Hillary Squeaks Out Win in Indiana, But Will Her Campaign Stay Afloat?
    NYT: Options Dwindling for Clinton
    CBS: Analysis: Clinton Barely Hangs On
    TPM: Is Hillary Running Out Of "Game Changers"?
    FOX: Apocalyptic Sect Leader Arrested on Sex Charges


    So allow me to reiterate, this will all be over soon.

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    Politics