The Bishop and the Butterfly: Murder, Politics, and the End of the Jazz Age
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    South Korean Trade Agreement: Obama v. Obama

    We’ve been discussing the President a lot lately, making attempts to define him as to style, political ideology, and his place along a liberal-conservative continuum.  We’ve taken various positions partially based on issues we care about and have watched closely since the campaign; we argue about what he supported, what we ‘imagined he supported’.  This is Obama on NATFA  and his opposition to the South Korean Free Trade Agreement on 11/13/07:

     

    This is the same President two days ago announcing KORUS, the South Korean Free Trade Agreement:

    The President was warmly congratulated by many business leaders and bankers following this announcement:  Jamie Dimon, Vikram Pandit, Tom Donahue, Chairman of the Chamber of Commerce,  CEOs of GE, Amway (that cracks me up), etc.

    On the other hand, Representative Michael Michaud, co-founder of the House Trade Working Group  is up in arms over the deal, and says his beef with the deal isn't just about beef:

    "The House Trade Working Group continues to be vehemently opposed to the U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement. Our objections with the KORUS FTA go beyond the issues related to beef. 

    "This deeply flawed agreement is likely to exacerbate and accelerate the loss of good jobs in the U.S. manufacturing sector, especially in autos, apparel, and electronics.  "Unfortunately, the KORUS FTA would allow Korea to maintain a discriminatory tax structure and other non-tariff barriers, which will keep the Korean market closed to U.S. built automotive products and perpetuate our enormous auto trade imbalance.

    "We already have a $14 billion trade deficit with South Korea - almost $12 billion of that in autos and auto parts. This deal will likely jeopardize tens of thousands of U.S. auto jobs, while failing to address the array of formal and informal barriers to the sale of U.S. automobiles in South Korea. 

    "Korea is the fifth largest producer and third largest exporter of vehicles in the world and automotive trade between the United States and Korea is totally one-sided. In 2006, Korea exported 554,000 vehicles to the United States. In contrast, the United States only was allowed to export about 4000 vehicles to Korea. As a result, the United States had a nearly $12 billion auto trade deficit with Korea.

    "The Korean government has announced that it expects Korea's automotive surplus with the U.S. to grow by $1 billion per year as a result of this trade deal.  This will translate into the loss of tens of thousands of additional automotive jobs for American workers.

    "In addition, the KORUS FTA's rules on procurement have the potential to restrict public policy aims that may be met through procurement policies at the federal and state level.  These rules could be used to challenge a variety of important procurement provisions including domestic sourcing preferences, living wage laws and responsible contractor requirements.

    "Furthermore, the investment provisions in the agreement could grant foreign investors greater rights than they would enjoy under our domestic law.  The agreement's deeply flawed investor-to-state dispute resolution mechanism contains none of the controls that could limit abuse of this private right of action.

    "I am absolutely opposed to the Korea Free Trade Agreement and will continue to be a vocal opponent of this pact.  There is no ‘deal' that could be struck that would get me to support a trade agreement so unfair to our workers."

     Senator Sherrod Brown (D-OH) is probably the most knowledgeable Senator on trade, and will oppose it in its present form.

     Things are apparently blowing up within the AFL-CIO, as Obama and Hilda Solis convinced Bob King of the UAW to back the deal without consulting other members of the AFL-CIO, especially the Steelworkers Union.  That has yet to play out.

     Paul Krugman does not agree that Trade = Jobs as the President maintains.

    Like NAFTA and CAFTA, the Korea FTA (KORUS): (From Jane Hamsher, FDL)

    • Allows foreign corporations to operate inside the United States under privileged international trade agreements rather than having to obey our laws that apply to our businesses.
    • Prohibits us from limiting the size of banks — and thus we give up the right to decide what “too big to fail” is on our own shores
    • Prohibits us from banning risky financial goods and services (like derivatives trading), otherwise US taxpayers will have to pay compensation to international companies for the profits they won’t be able to steal reap from engaging in such transactions
    • Prohibits us from stopping capital transfers unless the IMF approves – even to fight money laundering and other financial
      crimes
    • Bans the government’s ability to adopt “buy American” policies, determining  how US tax dollars can be spent.
    • Limits what policies states and localities can establish over land use, and allows any such policies to be attacked in foreign tribunals if they do not conform to the trade pact’s constraints
    • Forces the United States to submit to the judgment of foreign tribunals
    • Elevates foreign corporations to equal status with the sovereign United States, empowering foreign companies with new rights to sue the U.S. government before the UN and World Bank tribunals, skirting US courts.

     Here’s what the jobs picture looks like:

     

    You decide.

    Comments

    To summarize:


    Shoot; look at all the hours I coulda saved.  Goddam me for a fool.  Tongue out

    Thanks for that.  Tonight all that's left is laughing; and more to come, with some outrage, as in:

    http://dagblog.com/reader-blogs/final-catfood-commission-report-nauseatingly-titled-moment-truth-7584


    You cite Krugman, but it's not like he exactly has clean hands in this crapfest.

    As I recall it, he spent the nineties mostly throwing turds at people like Robert Reich who were advocating for a more proactive industrial policy to keep US industries competitive internationally. He called them economically illiterate and worse things, and what makes it particularly reprehensible is that Krugman's own work on New Trade Theory and New Economic Geography provided the strongest argument for the urgency of industrial policy.

    But Krugman just pooh-poohed it all because, well, "government is useless at doing anything, right? including industrial policy, so just give it up". Useless, that is, at all industrial policy EXCEPT protecting Wall Street from the consequences of every stupid bet they've made, because THAT we know how to do, and is so great an idea, because the banks are never going to come back and basically EAT THE AMERICAN ECONOMY WHOLE, right? And also those banks were paying Krugman solid five-figure fees for every bull-crap talk he gave them, which must mean these people were solid, right?

    So my sentiment today: fuck Krugman.

    and that high horse he rode in on.

    Though, granted, it's quite a craptastic trade deal there.


    That's bad to hear about Krugman.  I got pissed at him when he and Joseph Stiglitiz went to the White House to get schooled on 'not criticizing' the Obama's economics team's policies.  Stiglitz came out of it just as critical as he went in; Krugman got tamed, and kept tamed for awhile.

    His adherents at the Cafe kept telling me that oh, no, he was back as a critic, and he has sure ramped up his analysis and rhetoric.  But hey; I'll take your word for it.  These are early days, and not much was out there yet in terms of statements beyond all the usual cheerleaders.

    Apparently the unions and trade committees were caught flat-footed since the White House had said nothing would happen on KORUS until next year.  Guess this was all designed to show Obama's chops as 'business-friendly', as if he needed to prove that further.  And he must have wanted to erase the black eye of returning from Korea without a deal.  Says he held out for a more fair deal.  Amway?  Fewer environmental protections?  Or the bit where the US hasn't any legal sovereignty over the foreign nationals operating within our borders.  That's a good one.

    Read rumors that Solis, et.al., sorta threatend the Steelworkers on some issues help if they squawked much over this deal, but no one confirmed it.  What a crock of crap.

     

    But hey: leave Krugman's horse out of it, will ya; it's arguably not his poor steed's fucking fault.   ;o)


    The opposing video clips are pretty incredible. It's amazing to me that I am getting to a point I can't even stand to listen to him anymore. The lack of trust I have in anything he says anymore makes him quite repulsive. The excuses he offers for pulling this nonsense aren't even clever anymore. Just a profoundly pathetic disappointment.


    Well, Jeezus; I think the cats have it about right, don't you?  Almost on one is paying attention to this crap; remember when The Left (whoever the hell that means any more) had its collective hair on fire over NAFTA/CAFTA and the upcoming trade agreement with Colombia?  Now, not much attention.  Maybe it's just that so many  more issues with more easy-to-grasp optics like the President's Big Waffle on the deficit...I mean the Business-Friendly Tax Cuts. 

    I did just find this chart on jobs and the KORUS from the folks at the INt'l Trade Commission and the Economic Policy Institute in July at Reformtrade.org.  Dunno how they figure this stuff out, but the guesses are pretty different.

     

    http://www.tradereform.org/tag/korus-fta/


    Thanks, AA.  UAW has approved it from the beginning, but sure; Koreans are gonna buy loads of US cars.  ;o)  Didn't know the UFCW had signed on, but there are so many problems with it all, and so much pressure from the White House and Solis.  Trumka just issues a statement, I haven't read it yet.  I had gone to FDL; Jane has been covering the issue well, and knows lots of the union bosses, and the specifics of the deals, and how little was tweaked from NAFTA.

    http://fdlaction.firedoglake.com/2010/12/09/breaking-afl-cio-head-richard-trumka-releases-statement-opposing-obamas-nafta-style-korea-free-trade-deal/

    Lots of related posts she did below today's piece.  The Steelworkers have been quiet in the press, noisy in the meetings, I guess.  And many claim it's a back-door trade agreement with China, as the stipulations as to what constitutes 'Korean Made' products are pretty small in percentages of parts and materials.


    Artie, this is the news that all the other unions have come out against the KORUS, and tells the story of the UAW wanting 'to reward the administration' for saving the auto industry...

    http://workinprogress.firedoglake.com/2010/12/09/unions-out-in-force-against-nafta-style-korea-free-trade/